April 2014 Observations and Discussion

Frank_Wx wrote:Windy and cool today

You can say that again Frank!  Felt like March out there! 

I see we may be developing a cut off low situation for the end of the month into early May - lousy weather pattern cool and wet with the possibility of cold nights for this time of year - frickin A!!

amugs wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Windy and cool today

You can say that again Frank!  Felt like March out there! 

I see we may be developing a cut off low situation for the end of the month into early May - lousy weather pattern cool and wet with the possibility of cold nights for this time of year - frickin A!!

If we're lucky we should avoid the frost most of the time, however it may occur tonight especially in northern and NWNJ, possibly tomorrow but less likely. Getting real freaking sick of having to use the defrosters for the first 15 mins before I go to work so I can see out of the windows.

You know what drives me nuts about wind? When we have a wind advisory/high wind warning, winds rarely come to fruition as originally expected. Then on days like today when we NEED an advisory/warning (there's property damage all around Harlem, patio furniture being whipped around, tree limbs falling) THERE IS NO advisory/warning! It drives me insane!

I agree!
It's much more windy than I expected. Garbage cans rolling down the street all over the place. It's a strong wind when you can get the traffic lights to sway

Some rain Friday evening into the overnight hours. Saturday should be a nice day. Will clear out in the early morning

Nasty brush fires in Jersey today.Very dry and windy.Perfect conditions for spreading flames.Hope you are all out of harms way.

Yeah its in Ocean county nj in the towns of Bayville and beachwwood it has burned over 300 acres

What a shame but since the 15th rain/ snow storm it has been dry but this will change Tom and into next week.

Temp hit 64 today but winds were gusty again today low of 38 this morning downright cold with the wind chill in low 30's

I do not like this weather. I am also sorry for the families who are losing their homes because of brush fires.

Gorgeous Day out there today - did some yard work, clean out my screend in room/porch on my Spring Break here in Hdale.

Low of 36* this morning needed the fleece and 65* here right now with a slight breeze - I would take this and about 5-10 warmer year round! Who the h am I kiddin' I would go bonkers without tracking and having SNOW!!

Rain tonight into early tomorrow morning. Around half an inch

70.5 here now. Great day.

Reached 65* before the clouds and showers came through.
Tstorm now 53*
Rain is light but lot of thunder..
Look like the heart of tstorm just to the north in Yonkers to New Rochelle.

..here comes the heavy rain

Had some small hail in the last cell

Took my wife out last night for her birthday in white plains. didn't get any thunder but it got real dark and poured. During the day it got up to 78 here!

Okay folks tomorrow seems to be the best day o fthe week with temp around the mid 60's and then Tues and Wed God Yuck!! Rain, raw and even cold. Hopefully the weeklies on the Euro and GFS come to fruition with the warm air next week if we can get the SE ridge pumping +NAO state. The EPO may go negative - just like this winter - if this occurs then we stay moderate like we've been IMO.

Today I had a 58.6* High with a 41* low - windy at times and downright chilly with the clouds this afternoon (later).

Looks like bulk of rain comes between hrs 57-84 from 18z NAM, and close to or over 3 inches, and the most looks to fall Wed and Thursday.

18z NAM

37* this morning - these next few days are going to be ugly - rain and cold.

RGEM - Get out the Arc?

Rain showers will move in tomorrow early afternoon and will persist THROUGH Thursday late morning. Wednesday will pretty much be a washout. Temps will hover around the low 60's but I would not be surprised if they do not make it out of the 50's. Up to 2 inches of rain is possible over these next few days, isolated zones may see 3+

Pretty ugly.

The weekend will be clear with temps in the 50's for the most part, possibly low 60's. Noting dramatically warm. Hovering around average.

HPC says

A deepening low is going to track toward the Great Lakes tomorrow night and cut-off from the jet to bring a surge of moisture up along the eastern seaboard. Winds tomorrow into Wednesday will come out of the east but gradually change to a south-southwest direction by Wednesday night into early Thursday morning, which is when the heaviest rain is expected to move into the Philly to NYC Metro regions. This front that forms ahead of the cut-off may bring some t-storms, especially as the warm wedge works its way in, but I think conditions are stable enough to tame severe cells. General 1-2 inches expected with isolated zones surpassing 2 inches depending on the track of the stronger cells.

Latest from Upton: Seems they feel could be up to or over 3-4 inches, get the arc out as mugs said! What a crappy day for my daughters first birthday.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY. IN
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...BERGEN...ESSEX...HUDSON...PASSAIC AND
UNION COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...ALL OF NEW YORK
CITY...AND ROCKLAND...WESTCHESTER AND NASSAU COUNTIES.

* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* RAIN WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME HEAVY AT
TIMES BY LATE DAY WEDNESDAY. FLOODING OF URBAN...LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS THE WEDNESDAY
EVENING RUSH HOUR...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED BY THAT
TIME.

* AS THE HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...INCREASING THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD...SIGNIFICANT
URBAN...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...AS WELL AS
FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS.

Quite an impressive cutoff low out there in the midwest, won't be surprised to see some areas surpass 4" but I think the majority will see 1.5-3"

i'm at 47* with a stiff east wind. will not make it out of the 40's until the warm front moves through early thurs. morning. feels like early march. where was the blocking when we needed it? the first 10 days of may look to be at or below normal. probably will not see an 80* day in nyc for some time.