Re: Possible Nor'easter Dec. 9th-10th

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:20 pm

rb, i cannot believe what I am seeing for your area, try 3 ft!

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:21 pm

I honestly still don't think a track THAT far west is going to happen, nor do I think it will be even close to that extreme. I think a little further east and certainly weaker, especially since it doesn't close off at H5. HOWEVER, the fact that it does close off at H7 is very interesting, and the rapid deepening at that level is what is responsible for all of the snow. Still time.

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:23 pm

Did you post a pic? If so, it's not coming up.......

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:23 pm

NYC has a 12 hr period of the heaviest rain and wind gusts 40-55+ gusts, fun lol

by **oldtimer** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:23 pm

Jman Gee the rest of us is looking at 3-4" rain and 40mph wind That sucks

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:24 pm

It looks like another seperate LP forms to the east and rotates into way northern NE, this is a nutty run.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:25 pm

rb not yet, still precip in the area lol, want to give you the full slam

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:26 pm

Jesus this starts at 72 hrs and is stil lgoing but wakening in precip into hr 126 still!

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:26 pm

Oh damn, you right you right ahahahahaha I honestly don't even know if I want to see this because I know it ain't gonna happen hahahahaha screw it.....we're doing this live!!!!

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:26 pm

Yeah, I don't even care how little sense this makes, but this is AWESOME to dream of lmfao

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:27 pm

Euro snow map, clown or for real? For us it sucks, rain map next uggg, and winds will be higher than 40mph, may be sustained that high for a period.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:28 pm

by **oldtimer** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:28 pm

Very interesting and funny

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:30 pm

Welp, looks like I won't leave my house until April ahahaha I didn't know I lived in Hamburg, NY......

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:31 pm

Oh rb I guess I do not know my geography, where are you on the map?

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:32 pm

Ha its still going at hr 144, highest up to 36 inches, too funny

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:33 pm

See the southeastern-most bullseye in eastern Pa? Yep, that's pretty much my house lmfao btw, that "Hamburg" comment was a joke about all of the lake effect they got like three weeks ago lol

by leimatt95 Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:33 pm

I'm going to school up at Binghamton University, it'll be nice to get snow when back at home on Long Island they're just getting rain

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:35 pm

Another headache to track... Where's the tylenol.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:37 pm

For us down here, it just plain stinks. High winds and way too much rain.

Possible Nor'easter Dec. 9th-10th - Page 8 Euro_r10

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:38 pm

U aint kidding NJ, ahh gotcha RB, thats nuts!

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:45 pm

There is only one other storm that I can remember that acted the same way as this solution suggests. But the classic blizzards all share this same "cut-off" feature. I don't think this solution holds much (if any) water (or snow if you like), because it is the extreme outlier. BUT the fact that it has been so incredibly consistent is somewhat concerning at this point. If this does not change by this run tomorrow, I think we are in for a longggggggg week

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:48 pm

Well it hasnt really been a outlier till today, GFS was outlier, then Euro now. Which is it? We won't know until all 3 agree or it will be a nowcast.

by **rb924119** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:57 pm

I reallyyyyyy can't wait for the ensembles now lmao I'm assuming that the op will be an extreme outlier to its own ensemble again, but at this rate, who knows.....

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:59 pm

Freaking Euro....

The correct model will be the one that handles the northern stream energy the best.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:59 pm

yeah rb, go be a while for ensembles

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 06, 2014 2:01 pm

And when might we know that Frank, after it starts? LOL

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