Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:07 pm

This looks like a NEMO redux, meh...

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:18z gfs snow map

This should shake things up at the NWS. Or is this considered a feedback error also? Thumbs up

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:18z gfs snow map

HOLY SH*T.

My twitter feed just lit up like a christmas tree -- everyone jumping on the bandwagon now, even those who yelled 'convective feedback..' Very Happy

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:10 pm

So, we're one of the few weather forums that haven't had an issue yet crashing. A lot are down Smile

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:11 pm

Wow I guess word is quickly spreading around. American WX site just crashed!

by deadrabbit79 Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:11 pm

Fwiw....Jeff smith just said on Twitter that these model runs are amongst the most threatening he has ever seen

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:11 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:So, we're one of the few weather forums that haven't had an issue yet crashing. A lot are down

THAT IS WHY I CAN'T RELOAD THE AMERICAN WX FORUM! hahahahah i was like 'WTF is wrong with my internet!'

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:12 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:Fwiw....Jeff smith just said on Twitter that these model runs are amongst the most threatening he has ever seen

That was me he tweeted that to! Very Happy

by deadrabbit79 Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:13 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:Fwiw....Jeff smith just said on Twitter that these model runs are amongst the most threatening he has ever seen

That was me he tweeted that to!

Hahahaha! Awesome! Well at least it verifies my post! Lol

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:14 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:Fwiw....Jeff smith just said on Twitter that these model runs are amongst the most threatening he has ever seen

That was me he tweeted that to!

Hahahaha! Awesome! Well at least it verifies my post! Lol

Haha, sure does. Jeff will be on at 6pm, very interested in hearing his prelim analysis on this.

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:15 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:So, we're one of the few weather forums that haven't had an issue yet crashing. A lot are down

Frank I hope this site has a good server. I only follow this site and American. If you go down, I'm screwed. I'll be left with Lonnie Quinn and his 1 to 3 inch forecast!

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:15 pm

Prelim call based on current data, far

NWNJ/NEPA 2-4"
CNJ, most of EPA including SEPA, HV 4-6"
SCNJ around and se of 95 through NYC proper and furthest west LI counties, in NJ, w Monmouth, w Ocean counties 6-10"
Immediate coasts and eastern LI including New England over 12"+ possible and blizzard conditions

by New Yorker 234 Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:18 pm

I'm getting my hopes up!

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:21 pm

Very tentative so do not take as a given, a lot can still change

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:46 pm

Yes very tentative things change quickly as we all know

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:02 pm

Poor Jeff Smith lol, I'd hate to be the first big MET on TV after those model suites. Here goes! Let's listen in and see what he thinks...

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:04 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Poor Jeff Smith lol, I'd hate to be the first big MET on TV after those model suites. Here goes! Let's listen in and see what he thinks...

He said it could be a blockbuster event for at least parts of the area.

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:07 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:Poor Jeff Smith lol, I'd hate to be the first big MET on TV after those model suites. Here goes! Let's listen in and see what he thinks...
He said it could be a blockbuster event for at least parts of the area.

He looked spooked, paused, swallowed, and then said that. GAME ON. cheers

by **amugs** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:12 pm

GEFS ARE GORGEOUS - like STAR! oy new Snow Queen!! almost 18 hours of white gold - LI gets crushed on this

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 23 GEFSUSPrecip18060

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 23 GEFSUSPrecip18060

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 23 GEFSUSPrecip18072

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 23 GEFSUSPrecip18078

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:15 pm

After todays debacle in Central Park, I'm guessing they will need 40 plus inches from this storm to break the Feb 11-12 2006 record of 26.9 inches. Even then it would be iffy.

Send in those e-mails everyone. At least put them on notice for Tuesday.

by carvin1079 Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:20 pm

Frank must have a lot of trust to start at god Zillah as the low end

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:22 pm

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/24/potential-for-blockbuster-snow-storm-along-northeast-coast-monday-night-tuesday/

Alarms are sounding...

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:28 pm

UPTON:

THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM...A
NOR`EASTER...TO AFFECT THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING WELL OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW
ALONG WITH HIGH WINDS THAT WOULD RESULT IN BLIZZARD OR NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE REGION. WHILE
LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT CURRENTLY APPEAR TO HAVE A HIGHER
THREAT FOR THESE CONDITIONS...THE THREAT FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM
EXISTS FOR THIS REGION AS WELL.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:31 pm

RGEM - OH Sweat Jesus this is EURO part2 - GFS makes jump to euro tonight watch in terms of qpf on western flank - there is nothing to stop or prevent westward qpf expansion on this one EPA gets in on the act as well -

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 23 GZ_D5_PN_054_0000

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 23 GZ_D5_PN_054_0000

by **devsman** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:38 pm

I still don't know how Frank called this god damn storm a month ago. This man has super powers.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:51 pm

18z GFS Bufkit snowfall totals 15" for LGA, 23" for ISP. Ratios between 20 to 25 to 1 - that is with 1.25 qpf even thughtheOP showed 1.5 qpf and euro qpf is 2.5 mean - that is

25" -30" LGA
32- 40" ISP

HOLY MOLY!!!
Blockbuster is right BECS!!!

by **SNOW MAN** Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:53 pm

amugs wrote:RGEM - OH Sweat Jesus this is EURO part2 - GFS makes jump to euro tonight watch in terms of qpf on western flank - there is nothing to stop or prevent westward qpf expansion on this one EPA gets in on the act as well -

Let's hope so Mugs. I would hate to be left out of the big snows and only get a few flurries. That would SUCK ! Mad

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