Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:31 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Ryan maue tweeted euro could deliver 40 to 70 mph gusts to coastal locations. Never been in snow and wind like that as I can remember. Deepens 44mb into Canada from Carolinas wow.

Not during BDB?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:37 pm

FWIW - Back to 90% probability of snow for Saturday from 60% at noon from 90% at 6am, on TWC.

They're like a roulette wheel.

by BARBIEFLY Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:39 pm

I LOVE YOU GUYS!! BRING THE SNOW!! TAX SEASON WORKER HERE LOOKING FOR A DAY OFF ALREADY!!! Smile

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:45 pm

Solid hit on 18z NAM

by Guest Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:46 pm

I NEED ADVICE!!!!
I usually drink 1 cold beer in front of the fire for every 2 inches of snow during a storm. (I love 2+ inch an hour rates) Based on the EURO run I'm between a six pack and a twelve pack. Any advice? Looking to save a few bucks here.

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:47 pm

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:47 pm

Quietace wrote:Solid hit on 18z NAM

Let the hits keep coming. Any maps?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:48 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I NEED ADVICE!!!!
I usually drink 1 cold beer in front of the fire for every 2 inches of snow during a storm. (I love 2+ inch an hour rates) Based on the EURO run I'm between a six pack and a twelve pack. Any advice? Looking to save a few bucks here.

AA

by **nutleyblizzard** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:49 pm

Something to take note: If you take the Euro run verbatim, unless this storm really hauls ass out of here, I believe the liquid totals might be underdone. NYC for example showed 1.25 qpf. With a 969 mb low cranking at the BM, expect to see higher amounts where the CCB band sets up. More in the order of 1.50+. With that in mind, those lucky areas could see lollipop amounts attaining HECS levels of 18+.

by **docstox12** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:49 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I NEED ADVICE!!!!
I usually drink 1 cold beer in front of the fire for every 2 inches of snow during a storm. (I love 2+ inch an hour rates) Based on the EURO run I'm between a six pack and a twelve pack. Any advice? Looking to save a few bucks here.

If this pans out, buy a keg and a tap.

by **Math23x7** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:50 pm

I Just got back from work. The 12Z CMC shows a changeover to freezing rain late morning for NYC before changing back to snow late afternoon. What are your thoughts on that?

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:52 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:Solid hit on 18z NAM

Let the hits keep coming. Any maps?

Above, they just take a while to save then post...
Snow map
Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 13 Nam_3h11

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:53 pm

docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:I NEED ADVICE!!!!
I usually drink 1 cold beer in front of the fire for every 2 inches of snow during a storm. (I love 2+ inch an hour rates) Based on the EURO run I'm between a six pack and a twelve pack. Any advice? Looking to save a few bucks here.

If this pans out, buy a keg and a tap.

I agree.

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:53 pm

Right now, it appears that the CMC is a western outlier to all other guidance (except the NAM, but it's the NAM lol). The consensus seems to a BM track, which sets up for an I-95 special.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:53 pm

Sign me up Nutley and ace what's bdb?

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:54 pm

The snow may become wetter, but I think a changeover is looking less likely at this point.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:55 pm

Quietace wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:Solid hit on 18z NAM

Let the hits keep coming. Any maps?
Above, they just take a while to save then post...
Snow map

Amounts are down substanially from the 12z?

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:57 pm

rb924119 wrote:The snow may become wetter, but I think a changeover is looking less likely at this point.

Do you have hr 78 of the Euro, only hour that didnt load on Wxbell for 12z run...925 and 850s are all at or below 0c before and after that frame......

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:57 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I NEED ADVICE!!!!
I usually drink 1 cold beer in front of the fire for every 2 inches of snow during a storm. (I love 2+ inch an hour rates) Based on the EURO run I'm between a six pack and a twelve pack. Any advice? Looking to save a few bucks here.

Buy the 12 pack, so you'll have some home already for next week! drunken

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:59 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:Solid hit on 18z NAM

Let the hits keep coming. Any maps?
Above, they just take a while to save then post...
Snow map

Amounts are down substanially from the 12z?

Well at least the LP looks good, NAM QPF is always screwy, i swear if this falls apart im pushing my new snowblower off a cliff, not like this POS clipper is doing anything for anyone besides the coast, what else is new.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:59 pm

UHG, why we posting maps from the NAM.

I need to find a way to ban that useless model.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 4:02 pm

A lot less snow on the 18z NAM vs. the 12Z NAM.

Anyone concerned?

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 4:02 pm

Ladies & Gentlemen,

May I present to you, TWC's very own, WINTER STORM IOLA.

lol!

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 4:03 pm

I'm not worried it's the Nam come on guys! Frank ur right lol

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 4:03 pm

Noooooo oh come on god

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 4:04 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:UHG, why we posting maps from the NAM.

I need to find a way to ban that useless model.

Ban The NAM and the 2/17/14 snow killer. A double header.

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 4:05 pm

Quietace wrote:
rb924119 wrote:The snow may become wetter, but I think a changeover is looking less likely at this point.
Do you have hr 78 of the Euro, only hour that didnt load on Wxbell for 12z run...925 and 850s are all at or below 0c before and after that frame......

MSLP, 1000-500 hPa thickness and 6-hour precipitation
http://proa.accuweather.com/adcgrads/graphic.aspx?mod=ecmwfued&mt=12&hr=78&map=conus&gv0=C&mv5=6&mv0=&gs=mslp_thk_pcp&mv8=scheme:white&uid=mslpthkpcp6_white
925 hPa Heights, Temperatures, Winds and RH
http://proa.accuweather.com/adcgrads/graphic.aspx?mod=ecmwfued&mt=12&hr=78&map=conus&gv0=C&mv0=&gs=hgt_rhu_tmp_wdb&mv5=925&mv7=2&mv8=scheme:white&cap=&uid=925rh_tmp_hgt_wdb2_white
825 hPa Heights, Temperatures, Winds and RH
http://proa.accuweather.com/adcgrads/graphic.aspx?mod=ecmwfued&mt=12&hr=78&map=conus&gv0=C&mv0=&gs=hgt_rhu_tmp_wdb&mv5=850&mv7=2&mv8=scheme:white&cap=&uid=850rh_tmp_hgt_wdb2_white

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