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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Vinnydula Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:36 pm

I can't wait for ten Sad

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:36 pm

MWS is siding with the WPC, which is why their upton snow map is low, the discussion eludes to the very good possibility that everything will need to be increased.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:37 pm

Frank said he was speechless at 12z Euro, and went nuts on this himself which I have never seen him do to this extent, can;t wait to talk to him and everyone else at 10.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:39 pm

Frank is in extreme godzilla storm mode! New awesome graphic!  Now we just need to get to frankzilla level 36+ to see his face on godzilla lol.
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:40 pm

SNOW MAN wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
SNOW MAN wrote:
docstox12 wrote:I think you are right, Skins. My sister in Ocean Grove is gonna freak out, she's. at age 73, a snow maniac like me!!

I know what you mean Doc. My mom's almost 80 and lives down in Whiting in SJ and she is hardcore snow weenie. Mom's going to love this forecast and REALLY love it if it happens.

Snowman whiting not far from me and I consider whiting Cnj lol

Skins, I just call it SJ because my grandparents had a house in Ortley beach and I spent most of my summers at the shore when I was young. My parents always use to say we're going to South Jersey to visit your grandparents on vacation. I guess that's why I consider it SJ.

All good snowman it's always debatable this area that's why I mentioned it. Lol
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Post by Artechmetals Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:43 pm

I can't wait for 10 !
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:45 pm

Latest SREFS are further west and bring 18 inches of snow to NYC with ratios

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 10734130_874223979296449_7721689936537641367_n

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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:45 pm

Okay. ONE of you is gonna need to still post updates in here after 10pm Cuz I'll be at work and unable to join the chat! :-(
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Post by Artechmetals Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:47 pm

Frank , how confident are you on this huge storm ?
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:49 pm

One of my winter outlook analogs were 1977-1978. Also in my original outlook from November I called for a Godzilla in mid to late January. This storm happened in that winter.

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 Blizzard%20of%201978%20snow%20totals

I may have jumped the gun on the winter to update it back on January 1st. Then again, you don't usually predict these type of storms that could bring your seasonal average in 1 shot and I did mention that in the updated outlook.

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Post by Vinnydula Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:50 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Okay. ONE of you is gonna need to still post updates in here after 10pm Cuz I'll be at work and unable to join the chat! :-(

Chat works from my phone. S5
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:53 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Latest SREFS are further west and bring 18 inches of snow to NYC with ratios

Wow look at that dark blue in Monmouth and Ocean counties

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 10734130_874223979296449_7721689936537641367_n
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 8:59 pm

00z NAM is rolling

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Post by devsman Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:03 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:One of my winter outlook analogs were 1977-1978. Also in my original outlook from November I called for a Godzilla in mid to late January. This storm happened in that winter.

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 Blizzard%20of%201978%20snow%20totals

I may have jumped the gun on the winter to update it back on January 1st. Then again, you don't usually predict these type of storms that could bring your seasonal average in 1 shot and I did mention that in the updated outlook.

This is what i said before. The fact that you called this back then is amazing.
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:03 pm

12z ARW has a sub 970 mb just inside the BM

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 F66

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:05 pm

I meant 21z

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:06 pm

That is a beast stronger than euro with that lp come west young man!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:13 pm

The NAM to me looks like it's struggling to bring the mid level trough negative. Has been positively tilted for most of the run so far. Let's see what happens, wouldn't surprise me if it's east of BM

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Post by Puff the magic dragon Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:19 pm

Where does Long Island Nassau county look in the forecast?

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:22 pm

Puff the magic dragon wrote:Where does Long Island Nassau county look in the forecast?

I don't answer these types of questions until my 1st snow map is released. But, welcome to the forum Very Happy

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Post by carvin1079 Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:26 pm

I'm so lost we were just trying to get a clipper now we are talking inches now we are thinking about feet wow amazed

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Post by mancave25 Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:28 pm

Frank do u think this storm gets pulled further west or does it have a chance of going east of where the euro has it now

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:28 pm

Stormvista is having problems tonight. Sever overload.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:29 pm

mancave25 wrote:Frank do u think this storm gets pulled further west or does it have a chance of going east of  where the euro has it now

BM is where I'm pegging this storm to track

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:29 pm

Bring that yellow and orange over to NY on sref's lol Hey I can deal with 18, but am hoping and praying we get absolutely crushed. NAM meh, not to worried if it is not a great solution, what do u think if it is east frank?
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:29 pm

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 26 Post-767-0-63485900-1422147588

Snow ratio on euro is awesome 850's are -14 no p type problem here folks skins relax now

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 9:30 pm

00z nam doesn't look good. Phase looks late and trough as I said was too positive. Then again..it's the worst model ever.

See you at 10. Bug gfs run tonight.

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