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BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:23 pm

if that is the case that's why TWC changed NYC to 8-12 and ginger zee posted on her facebook page 6-12.

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Post by Abba701 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:25 pm

The futurcast they showed 2 min ago was better.

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Post by dsvinos Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:27 pm

Abba701 futurecast who showed was better??? Smile
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Post by meeka312 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:27 pm

Just left NYC midtown and got on the ferry, snowing hard, big flakes, and wind is strong out of ten NE. Probably 3 or 4 inches already where it wasnot shoveled

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:28 pm

Snow bands filling in and intensifying and beginning to rotate into all of LI. Mod snowfall ATM. I have a 12 pack of Magic Hat Number 9 ready to go. Actually I only have 10 left.

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 13 WUNIDS_map?station=OKX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0.8347826086956521&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=407.1875&centery=231.61458333333331&transx=7.1875&transy=-8

.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Grselig Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:28 pm

Let's not forget the significant under performance of this past weekend storm. A dusting to 2 inches was predicted for Wayne by the TV Professionals and NJ Strong and a few other sites were on the ball. We got 7 inches. EPWA and NJ Strong have earned my trust
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:30 pm

Light snow here in Hillsdale,NJ 20* with 2.5" on the ground of white gold

Scott, in answer to Nemo it had a jackpot zone of northern bergen county into southern ct of 30-40 inches it was off by about 20 miles from me here but nailed sct and i blieve one of our members recorded being in the jackpot zone. yes it had parts of Mass at 50-60" and the recorded 4' so it gets overdone in QPF but nailed the track as you said

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Post by aiannone Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:31 pm

sroc4 wrote:Snow bands filling in and intensifying and beginning to rotate into all of LI.   Mod snowfall ATM.  I have a 12 pack of Magic Hat Number 9 ready to go.  Actually I only have 10 left.
.  

Magic Hat? Reppin Vt, I like it. Clouding up here and expecting 4-8" now

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:32 pm

The Nam was insane 40 to 50 nyc. That's paralyzing beyond belief. I wouldn't discount it history foes repeat itself. Stop with the future cast it's garbage. Frank when will u make ur call on if u believe nam qpf at all?
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:33 pm

meeka312 wrote:Just left NYC midtown and got on the ferry, snowing hard, big flakes, and wind is strong out of ten NE. Probably 3 or 4 inches already where it wasnot shoveled


My husband got in at 2pm on the ferry at belford..roads were starting to get slick(I picked him up)..he said ride over was good except a bit rough under verrazano...which is must be rough for him to say that because it is always rough under that bridge...safe travels home!!


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Guest Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:34 pm

I just watched The Weather Channel. A live update. They have NYC area 8 to 12 thru tomorrow. Here's the problem with that...It's 430 in the afternoon and the main storm doesn't start for another 3 hours supposedly and we're working on inch number 4 out by me and over 3 by my parents in Floral Park (nassau/queens border) also. With dropping temperatures and higher ratios incoming we would have to only get another 4 to 8 inches for TWC to be right. Where's the common sense, or am I just crazy.

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:35 pm

Reading other places so many people threw out the NAM before it even finished..they didnt even look that it took the correct path needed and the tilt into consideration the HI-RES also agreed..

Syo TWC is actually being careless and stupid for doing this. They want everyone off the streets many people will not think 8-12 is not bad and think it will just keep going under according to them. they are fools


Last edited by RJB8525 on Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:36 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Guest Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:36 pm

I just watched The Weather Channel. A live update. They have NYC area 8 to 12 thru tomorrow. Here's the problem with that...It's 430 in the afternoon and the main storm doesn't start for another 3 hours supposedly and we're working on inch number 4 out by me and over 3 by my parents in Floral Park (nassau/queens border) also. With dropping temperatures and higher ratios incoming we would have to only get another 4 to 8 inches for TWC to be right. Where's the common sense, or am I just crazy.

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Post by mmanisca Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:38 pm

The Weather Channel is still a day behind. They are catching up from "When Planes Crash"
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Post by meeka312 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:41 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
meeka312 wrote:Just left NYC midtown and got on the ferry, snowing hard, big flakes, and wind is strong out of ten NE. Probably 3 or 4 inches already where it wasnot shoveled


My husband got in at 2pm on the ferry at belford..roads were starting to get slick(I picked him up)..he said ride over was good except a bit rough under verrazano...which is must be rough for him to say that because it is always rough under that bridge...safe travels home!!
Thanks. I'm getting off at Atlantic highlands.

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Post by Dtone Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:41 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I just watched The Weather Channel.  A live update.  They have NYC area 8 to 12 thru tomorrow.  Here's the problem with that...It's 430 in the afternoon and the main storm doesn't start for another 3 hours supposedly and we're working on inch number 4 out by me and over 3 by my parents in Floral Park (nassau/queens border) also.  With dropping temperatures and higher ratios incoming we would have to only get another 4 to 8 inches for TWC to be right.  Where's the common sense, or am I just crazy.

ha I was thinking the same thing, its only going to snow 4 -7 more inches then. They clearly aren't monitoring in real time, but they are a national outlet so they are slow to focus so locally I guess.

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:42 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I just watched The Weather Channel.  A live update.  They have NYC area 8 to 12 thru tomorrow.  Here's the problem with that...It's 430 in the afternoon and the main storm doesn't start for another 3 hours supposedly and we're working on inch number 4 out by me and over 3 by my parents in Floral Park (nassau/queens border) also.  With dropping temperatures and higher ratios incoming we would have to only get another 4 to 8 inches for TWC to be right.  Where's the common sense, or am I just crazy.

Exactly. Your not crazy

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:42 pm

Haha WXRISK asked Nick Gregory what he thought of TWC calling 8-12" he responded they've been behind the eightball all weekend with this storm
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:43 pm

docstox12 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Just fyi 850 hPa is already closed off

rb, does that mean the westward tick the NAM and you mentioned before is on the table?

Just my opinion, but absolutely. I have been looking at a lot of things, I truly believe that this is going to come further west than most (if not all) guidance suggests.

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Post by HeresL Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:43 pm

If we are really only getting 11" here in West Milford that is neither historic or unusual. We get this much snow here regularly...
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:49 pm

My wife left work at 1:30pm from Jericho/Syosset area. She is still not home to Wading River yet. She said LIE is like a parking lot.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:51 pm

Bronx river was crawling home finally but nowhere to park ugg. Who knows about nam some throw out but the other one agreed and it's like euro maybe a bit too extreme though it does tend to overdo precip
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:52 pm

The bands currently look like they're missing the HV, hope this isn't a bad sign.
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Post by essexcountypete Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:52 pm

Well over 2" here in Bloomfield. Nice banding rolling through.
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Post by 2004blackwrx Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:53 pm

Weather channel totals are usually written as additional snowfall so 8-12 would be on top of what is already there.

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:56 pm

Cuomo putting road bans on..what roads? i have no idea all "major roads" mass transit will officially shut down by 11
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:56 pm

She's coming west...

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