Re: BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD

by **RJB8525** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:56 pm

Cuomo putting road bans on..what roads? i have no idea all "major roads" mass transit will officially shut down by 11

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:56 pm

She's coming west...

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 14 Low

by deadrabbit79 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:58 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:She's coming west...

wow

by **RJB8525** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:58 pm

No games being played. if you are found on the road in a car it will be considered a criminal offense against the state.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:59 pm

The NAM and GFS are 100 miles apart in the positioning of the surface low and we are under 12 hours. Never seen this much disagreement so close to a storm

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 14 F12

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 14 F12

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:00 pm

So many people around here are down playing it even neighbors . With it snowing lightly all day they think it's all the storm has to offer I'm like it hasn't even started people fooled to easily

by smoggy14 Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:00 pm

I second Pete's claim. Been some pretty intense banding and high winds in bloomfield for over an hour.

by JDKWeather Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:00 pm

[quote="RJB8525"]Cuomo putting road bans on..what roads? i have no idea all "major roads" mass transit will officially shut down by 11[/quote

All roads - everything - can't even walk the dog-

Mine just peed in the house.

by **RJB8525** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:01 pm

Lee says no doubt about it the city can get within top 5 storms

lol JDK i might actually let mine do it i'm not walking him in the height of it

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:01 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:She's coming west...

That's inline withe nam.

wow

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:03 pm

It's getting close to go time

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:03 pm

meeka312 wrote:Just left NYC midtown and got on the ferry, snowing hard, big flakes, and wind is strong out of ten NE. Probably 3 or 4 inches already where it wasnot shoveled

How sad it will never be recorded.

by **amugs** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:04 pm

rb924119 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Just fyi 850 hPa is already closed off

rb, does that mean the westward tick the NAM and you mentioned before is on the table?

Just my opinion, but absolutely. I have been looking at a lot of things, I truly believe that this is going to come further west than most (if not all) guidance suggests.

Rb I here ya you and it will over perform tonight as well in QPF and strength as modeled - can't wait to get up and not see my car - see a mound. NAM is going to nail this in terms of track cut the qpf by 20% and I think we are good IMO - could be wrong but......

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:04 pm

Very impressive band sitting over LI/NYC/North-Central NJ possibly due to 850mb lift

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 14 Untitled

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 14 Untitled

by **2004blackwrx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:06 pm

weather channel mentioning models for city vary from 2 to 4 to 18 inch plus. already eliminating lower models since those amounts have been achieved

by HeresL Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:06 pm

I'm starting to feel like I'm just too far west to get the big snow. I'm not used to this. NWNJ is usually the winner when it snows.. I'm feeling like I just lost my dog.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:06 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I just watched The Weather Channel. A live update. They have NYC area 8 to 12 thru tomorrow. Here's the problem with that...It's 430 in the afternoon and the main storm doesn't start for another 3 hours supposedly and we're working on inch number 4 out by me and over 3 by my parents in Floral Park (nassau/queens border) also. With dropping temperatures and higher ratios incoming we would have to only get another 4 to 8 inches for TWC to be right. Where's the common sense, or am I just crazy.

They are counting on the central park zookeeper to do his usual. He takes what he measures and divides by 2.

by **amugs** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:08 pm

If and when the NAM verifies I will beat CP to the punch I love you

(ring a bell) HAHAHA

This may have an eye like a cyclone - my god!

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:08 pm

amugs wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Just fyi 850 hPa is already closed off

rb, does that mean the westward tick the NAM and you mentioned before is on the table?

Just my opinion, but absolutely. I have been looking at a lot of things, I truly believe that this is going to come further west than most (if not all) guidance suggests.

Rb I here ya you and it will over perform tonight as well in QPF and strength as modeled - can't wait to get up and not see my car - see a mound. NAM is going to nail this in terms of track cut the qpf by 20% and I think we are good IMO - could be wrong but......

I think it may even come further west than the NAM.....I can explain why if you want, but I think Frank may already be on it. Let me know, though.

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:09 pm

HeresL wrote:I'm starting to feel like I'm just too far west to get the big snow. I'm not used to this. NWNJ is usually the winner when it snows.. I'm feeling like I just lost my dog.

From what I'm seeing, DON'T BET ON IT.

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:09 pm

So we have a westward track and what are some other observations I know Frank gave a list of 3 things to watch

by **amugs** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:09 pm

I am in a dry slot now - snowing in Southern Bergen County about 7-8 miles from US Dunzoo included

by mancave25 Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:10 pm

Frank could u explain to us why u think the storm is going west, it seems like the low on that image is moving ne

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:10 pm

Impressive

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 14 Untitled

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:11 pm

I'm in a dry slot come on moisture fill in

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:11 pm

People in NW NJ. I think you may be setting your hopes high. I 'only' have you in 6-12 inches. I would not expect more than that. There is a sharp cut-off expected

by mancave25 Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:12 pm

Please explain

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