Re: BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 3:48 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Frank, wasn't the NAM developed and designed for short range east coast storms?

Yes, especially in this time frame under 24 hours. Heck, we're under 8 hours now

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 26, 2015 3:48 pm

RJB8525 wrote:All "pros" are throwing out the NAM basically bashing it saying model huggers are loving it...party poopers, cant they have some fun?

I do not buy into the QPF amounts of the NAM. But how about its location and where it stalled? That's also key and possible still.

by carvin1079 Mon Jan 26, 2015 3:51 pm

Is this getting bigger or smaller I'm lost please help

by Abba701 Mon Jan 26, 2015 3:51 pm

How come no NWS snowfall observations yet?

by **WeatherBob** Mon Jan 26, 2015 3:51 pm

Look at the East Coast Water Vapor loop. See the Comma Head starting to develop? The dense water vapor is moving NW

by **RJB8525** Mon Jan 26, 2015 3:52 pm

it's gonna be a long awesome night

by **Taffy** Mon Jan 26, 2015 3:54 pm

[quote="RJB8525"]it's gonna be a long awesome night[/quote]

While we all sit and watch the Blizzard of Awes".

by **docstox12** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:00 pm

Taffy....awesome...... lol!

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:01 pm

Just fyi 850 hPa is already closed off

by **dad4twoboys** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:02 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:

This is almost exact to what the Euro had 24 hours ago.

What does that mean?

Drink heavily!

Which character said that in animal house? "My advice, drink heavily", Belushi?

by **GreyBeard** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:02 pm

Governor was on LI. and says ALL roads closed at 11PM except for emergency vehicles.Never have seen them ever do that.

by **Dtone** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:03 pm

This band across LI into NYC is going hard. About 3" now.

by **docstox12** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:05 pm

dad4twoboys wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:

This is almost exact to what the Euro had 24 hours ago.

What does that mean?

Drink heavily!

Which character said that in animal house? "My advice, drink heavily", Belushi?

Thanks, Dad, we need that advice for tonight.

18 degrees, light snow, must be an inch or two, blowing all around, wind picking up, barometer falling and trying to hold off first wine for 6PM. That is all.

by **docstox12** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:06 pm

rb924119 wrote:Just fyi 850 hPa is already closed off

rb, does that mean the westward tick the NAM and you mentioned before is on the table?

by **sroc4** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:08 pm

Let us not forget that the NAM during NEMO was touting huge precip amts. I think I remember a run under 24hrs that had an area in Mass. at like 60 something inches of snow. It was off on the exact location and was overdone on precip amts, but it was dead on in the fact that there was a huge swath of huge precip amts. (I think the max was like 39" in Ct) The actual swath was further west than what it showed for that particular storm. Remember guys there is no one model that is showing the exact outcome. If the soln was a cauldron of all the models, there would def be a heavy amt of Euro, with slightly less of the most recent NAM runs, with a dash of the GFS and CMC.

I actually really like my map still. The yellow dashed area may have to shift 50 miles to the west but I m not ready to call it. This systemis only just beginning to get going folks. It is going to be a sight later this eve. Look at the last few frames. Look at all the convection start to shift to the NW
BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 12 Wv-animated

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 12 Wv-animated

by **billg315** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:08 pm

22* with a steady light snow in Somerville, but the wind is starting to kick up noticeably.

by Abba701 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:09 pm

People aren't going to like me but snow lovers in NYC don't want to be wishing for the futurecast.

by **Artechmetals** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:15 pm

Abba701 wrote:People aren't going to like me but snow lovers in NYC don't want to be wishing for the futurecast.

.

Please explain

by deadrabbit79 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:17 pm

Artechmetals wrote:
Abba701 wrote:People aren't going to like me but snow lovers in NYC don't want to be wishing for the futurecast.
.

Please explain

Yes please....one small request from the participants here....more English and no more open ended statements like the one above! Lol

by Sferra01 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:17 pm

Coming down moderately here right now. Pretty much has been snowing light to moderate all day here....

by HeresL Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:17 pm

YIKES! Dave Curren (News 12) just dropped my totals to 11"??? I was at closer to 20 before...

by **crippo84** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:20 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:
Artechmetals wrote:
Abba701 wrote:People aren't going to like me but snow lovers in NYC don't want to be wishing for the futurecast.
.

Please explain

Yes please....one small request from the participants here....more English and no more open ended statements like the one above! Lol

News outlet futurecast radars are the worst prognosticators around. I wouldn't take those runs seriously with this storm. Listen to what our pros from this forum are saying.

by **cooladi** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:20 pm

Left 1WTC and made it home to Franklin Square around 30 minutes ago. Bus ride down Hillside Ave and Hempstead Tpke. took 1 hour 20 minutes, usually it's a 40 minute ride max. Lots of traffic from people leaving work early, very, very slow going. I'd say 3-4 inches here already in southwest Nassau. This is gonna be some night; I'm praying to the power Gods for sure.

by **sroc4** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:22 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:
Artechmetals wrote:
Abba701 wrote:People aren't going to like me but snow lovers in NYC don't want to be wishing for the futurecast.
.

Please explain

Yes please....one small request from the participants here....more English and no more open ended statements like the one above! Lol

The future cast is the RAP models depiction of the system. Nothing more nothing less. If you believe it then NYC wouldn't be happy. Word of advise....Don't believe it.

by deadrabbit79 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:23 pm

crippo84 wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:
Artechmetals wrote:
Abba701 wrote:People aren't going to like me but snow lovers in NYC don't want to be wishing for the futurecast.
.

Please explain

Yes please....one small request from the participants here....more English and no more open ended statements like the one above! Lol

News outlet futurecast radars are the worst prognosticators around. I wouldn't take those runs seriously with this storm. Listen to what our pros from this forum are saying.

I only pay attention to he pro/ams here. Lee just talked about heavy bands that have formed that could jack up the totals

by **RJB8525** Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:23 pm

if that is the case that's why TWC changed NYC to 8-12 and ginger zee posted on her facebook page 6-12.

by Abba701 Mon Jan 26, 2015 4:25 pm

The futurcast they showed 2 min ago was better.

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