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BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:22 pm

Guys and Gals there is a lot of chatter in here that is banter esque. Remember this is an observation thread. Please post your observations in here and complaints etc in the banter thread. Thanks

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:23 pm

Guys my sister in syracuse is getting a very far reaching band of snow, and says its heavy, I think this storm is going to explode and just go nuts. it is huge large and i n charge!

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Post by snemiroff Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:24 pm

I there too! Dix Hills...smack in the middle of the island

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:25 pm

sroc you are totally right a few of my posts probably belong there, sorry bout that.
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Post by Mathgod55 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:26 pm

I'm on the Great South Bay in West Islip, Suffolk County NY. Things have really picked up in the last 20 minutes. It's really cranking out there!
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Post by 2004blackwrx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:26 pm

Just went to Dunkin Donuts to get my free Monday Ice coffee, not too much traffic roads still good.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:28 pm

sroc should I be concerned, about some of these comments about nyc etc? Or are we getting blasted like devsman said, i think blasted, and better a lot of prep was put in over here and a lot of anticipation.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:29 pm

Patience it's coming together. Temp dropped to 28° wind has picked up big time
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Post by Vinnydula Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:29 pm

Getting windy 23 light snow. 2in
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Post by Mathgod55 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:30 pm

Sit back, relax, and let the orchestra start playing the symphony! It's going to be spectacular!
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:31 pm

jmanley32 wrote:sroc should I be concerned, about some of these comments about nyc etc?  Or are we getting blasted like devsman said, i think blasted, and better a lot of prep was put in over here and a lot of anticipation.

Jman you have to stop asking. Whether it's 15 inches or 24, it's still a lot. Too tough to tell right now until the storm reaches a better latitude.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:32 pm

This is the NAM simulated radar between 9-10pm. I just looked at the 7pm and it's about a half hour behind, but it's matching up closely.

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 22 Rad8

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:33 pm

Their was wind gust locally at 28mph
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:33 pm

Check out the kink off the coast of NC at H5. It's really trying

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 22 500mb_sf

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:34 pm

23* 16mph winds cant see shit

Lonnie Quinn had his sleeves rolled up, CBS is sticking with the coverage for now..

Showed the differences in models how the nam shows over 30 for the city

Euro shows 17 for the city on HIS maps

still sticking with 12-24" for the region
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Post by HectorO Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:35 pm

billg315 wrote:A couple thoughts for people getting antsy. The storm is already developing as expected. It will be historic. It may be that the heaviest totals are over Long Island and Conn., rather than NYC and NE NJ, but that says nothing about the magnitude of the storm just a modest shift in location. And if most of NW NJ and Central NJ get 6-12" of snow that is not a bust. Any other time where we weren't comparing those amounts to feet, and we'd be talking about 6-12" as a major snowstorm. On Saturday morning most mets were calling for 1-3 inches today. Total. Anyway, I'm still not sure most of us aren't going to get over a foot anyway. Let's be patient.

6-12 after calling for an epic snowstorm not seen for quite some time, yes it is a bust. Had they downgraded their predictions, then it wouldn't be a bust. I think sometime in February we could see something big, but I couldn't shake a disappointment feeling about this storm for the snow weenies. It reminds me of when I lived in FL. Hurrican Floyd was supposed to slam into Jacksonville as a cat 4 and rip us but at the last minute shifted and carolina a pounding.
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Post by meeka312 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:35 pm

Is there a good radar site I can use?

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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:35 pm

So if the h5 closes by 930 Frank that will cause the storm to stall ?
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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:36 pm

look at those bands and where they are headed
http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-rad-48
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Post by billg315 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:36 pm

Looking at the wrap around snow filling in from Central PA to D.C./MD, some of which seems to be of fairly good intensity. Am I wrong to believe that eventually pulls east as the storm deepens to fill in behind whatever bands come in off the ocean? Or does it just dissipate to the west of us?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:37 pm

Artechmetals wrote:So if the h5 closes by 930 Frank that will cause the storm to stall ?

Hopefully 9:30 is not too late. 9:00pm is better. But yea it would stall near the BM

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Post by devsman Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:38 pm

When the hell did 12-24 become a bust? No one really believed 4-5 feet but just enjoy the satellites images. This is an amazing storm forming. I am in awe. And still to come...THUNDERSNOW!
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Post by mako460 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:38 pm

Everyone just take a step back....Central Park already has more snow in one day than it has gotten all winter, be happy! This storm is still getting its act together and can still dump a yearly average on us in the next 24 hours. Yes a jog to the east or to the west may change accumulations by a few inches to any particular area but.................we are still talking about a major amount of snow and wind and drifting. Just sit back and ENJOY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:38 pm

Got home from work about an hour ago. Working at a supermarket, I spent the bulk of my shift pushing carts. Since we were under that band of heavy snow, it became a struggle to do so. Luckily, the manager give me a few extra employees to help with them. By 3 PM the big crowd diminished greatly. In fact, the guy in the snowplow helped by driving the carts across the parking lot (while I helped steer them). It was kind of cool to say the least.

Anyway, I think Bellerose (where I am) is in for a long night as the latest guidance has the snow wrapping around giving us moderate to heavy snow through at least 8 PM.

Here was the radar map from weatherbell.com as of 7:15 PM (Bellerose is where the pink pushpin is):

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 22 Wxbell11

Look at that band near Montauk! That is tracking westward towards where Scott is.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:38 pm

meeka312 wrote:Is there a good radar site I can use?

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-24#

http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ny/new-york-city/okx/

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:42 pm

Seriously if we can't keep banter in the banter thread I am going to delete posts.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by 2004blackwrx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:43 pm

Looks like moisture dies at NY CT border

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