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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:47 am

Artechmetals wrote:What time is euro run

About 1pm

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:48 am

Euro likes its 1 time slots lol

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:49 am

I'm stepping away from the maps for a little while, starting to get dizzy. I can't really take the ups and downs, I'll check in occasionally now and see what our experts here are advising and as always just go with that.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:50 am

Agreed Doc, nice little snowfall going on here right now Doc, and I didn't expect it yet.
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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:51 am

Has the euro been on this solution last few days ?
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:52 am

metals yes, and I believe I told u that yesterday about 6-7 runs now, and nam came to it and maybe more. but still more models other way still. My bet is the euro is right but that's MO.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:54 am

9-12 hours of blizzard conditions can be expected along the coast beginning tonight. Less further inland.

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 B8SYZ02IQAAhzuo

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Post by toople Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:56 am

What map is that, Frank?

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Post by billg315 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:58 am

Too late to worry about the models now I say. What happens tonight and tomorrow happens. Let's watch it develop in real time.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:58 am

Frank I noticed NYC blizzard warning lowered their winds, what is your thinking for my area for possible highest gusts, accuwx says 73 on tues, but I don't buy that, maybe on LI but not here I can't imagine, they are never right with winds.
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:59 am

Exactly, now we watch the beauty of the storm developing bombing out doing its magic, whatever will be will be
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:04 am

That's a awesome map, frank, never seen that before, looks like I get 6-9 hrs at least yikes!
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Post by suds123 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:09 am

Anyone concerned that the RAP model matches the GFS??

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Post by jimv45 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:16 am

Just herd John Elliott say latest guidance has 30 inch with ratios moving west looking at Nam i bet!! never said a word about GFS!!!!

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Post by mako460 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:17 am

I'm in the 12-15! Whoo Hoo!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:20 am

People i follow who have their own thing like Frank have now gone nuts over the NAM..nobody is even talking about the GFS LOL
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Post by hyde345 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:25 am

It's amazing how when we should be in a now casting mode there is so much model dicrepancy, especially between the Euro and GooFuS. I just can't see the Euro changing that much since it's been so damn consistent for 2-3 days now. I think after this plays out we are going to see another huge win for the Euro.
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Post by Dtone Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:26 am

"Bill Evans retweeted
Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi
Believe the NAM is better than the GFS is NAM agrees with Euro within 24 hours of storm"

If B Evans retweets it he must be thinking similar.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:29 am

YAY, 2+ feet for me with ratios possible then !
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:31 am

Coastal has officially started developing. 1004mb about 75 miles east of Hatteras.


Last edited by rb924119 on Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:35 am; edited 1 time in total

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Post by bloc1357 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:35 am

Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore 24m24 minutes ago

Coming around to the EURO??? RT @MikeWDross: 30" of Snow in #NYC per the 12Z NAM-12km ! @JimCantorehttps://twitter.com/MikeWDross/status/559737476932435968/photo/1

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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:35 am

okay everyone what we have is the euro and nam showing near record-breaking snowfall euro has been consistent nam has been consistent three of the last four runs which is its good time frame. the GFS has also been consistent however today's run shows 6 to 9 inches for New York City. hard to believe that plus the GFS has a progressive and East bias.  then we have the rgem that concerns me it shows around 12 to 15 inches. to me that is possible. can the GFS solution happen I think highly unlikely given all the other solutions out there and has to be considered an oulier at this time.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:40 am

I don't know what's going on today but I just turned on the weather channel to see how that great series they had going on yesterday when airplane problems suddenly strike ends.

It seems today they're covering the weather. Very odd.
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:43 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I don't know what's going on today but I just turned on the weather channel to see how that great series they had going on yesterday when airplane problems suddenly strike ends.

It seems today they're covering the weather. Very odd.

i think last night they went full boston mode lol
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Post by Guest Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:46 am

If you average out all the low(bust) models with the high models it still comes out to about 20" area wide.

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Post by tigernumba1 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:53 am

does anybody know if the GFS even matched the current surface maps?
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:54 am

NAM is insane for NYC, Al if we verify holy crap!
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