NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Page 11 of 14 Previous  1 ... 7 ... 10, 11, 12, 13, 14  Next

Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:49 am

I'm stepping away from the maps for a little while, starting to get dizzy. I can't really take the ups and downs, I'll check in occasionally now and see what our experts here are advising and as always just go with that.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:50 am

Agreed Doc, nice little snowfall going on here right now Doc, and I didn't expect it yet.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:51 am

Has the euro been on this solution last few days ?
Artechmetals
Artechmetals
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 547
Reputation : 3
Join date : 2014-01-01
Age : 54
Location : Livingston , NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:52 am

metals yes, and I believe I told u that yesterday about 6-7 runs now, and nam came to it and maybe more. but still more models other way still. My bet is the euro is right but that's MO.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:54 am

9-12 hours of blizzard conditions can be expected along the coast beginning tonight. Less further inland.

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 B8SYZ02IQAAhzuo

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by toople Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:56 am

What map is that, Frank?

toople

Posts : 36
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2015-01-01
Location : Nutley, NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:58 am

Too late to worry about the models now I say. What happens tonight and tomorrow happens. Let's watch it develop in real time.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3634
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:58 am

Frank I noticed NYC blizzard warning lowered their winds, what is your thinking for my area for possible highest gusts, accuwx says 73 on tues, but I don't buy that, maybe on LI but not here I can't imagine, they are never right with winds.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 10:59 am

Exactly, now we watch the beauty of the storm developing bombing out doing its magic, whatever will be will be
RJB8525
RJB8525
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1970
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 35
Location : Hackettstown, NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:04 am

That's a awesome map, frank, never seen that before, looks like I get 6-9 hrs at least yikes!
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by suds123 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:09 am

Anyone concerned that the RAP model matches the GFS??

suds123

Posts : 26
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-12-04

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by jimv45 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:16 am

Just herd John Elliott say latest guidance has 30 inch with ratios moving west looking at Nam i bet!! never said a word about GFS!!!!

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1140
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : Ulster county ny

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by mako460 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:17 am

I'm in the 12-15! Whoo Hoo!!!!!!!!!!!

mako460
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 346
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 55
Location : Gerritsen Beach Brooklyn

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:20 am

People i follow who have their own thing like Frank have now gone nuts over the NAM..nobody is even talking about the GFS LOL
RJB8525
RJB8525
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1970
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 35
Location : Hackettstown, NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by hyde345 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:25 am

It's amazing how when we should be in a now casting mode there is so much model dicrepancy, especially between the Euro and GooFuS. I just can't see the Euro changing that much since it's been so damn consistent for 2-3 days now. I think after this plays out we are going to see another huge win for the Euro.
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 895
Reputation : 48
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Dtone Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:26 am

"Bill Evans retweeted
Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi
Believe the NAM is better than the GFS is NAM agrees with Euro within 24 hours of storm"

If B Evans retweets it he must be thinking similar.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:29 am

YAY, 2+ feet for me with ratios possible then !
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:31 am

Coastal has officially started developing. 1004mb about 75 miles east of Hatteras.


Last edited by rb924119 on Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:35 am; edited 1 time in total

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by bloc1357 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:35 am

Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore 24m24 minutes ago

Coming around to the EURO??? RT @MikeWDross: 30" of Snow in #NYC per the 12Z NAM-12km ! @JimCantorehttps://twitter.com/MikeWDross/status/559737476932435968/photo/1

bloc1357

Posts : 311
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-03-05
Age : 44
Location : West Babylon, NY - 11704

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by algae888 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:35 am

okay everyone what we have is the euro and nam showing near record-breaking snowfall euro has been consistent nam has been consistent three of the last four runs which is its good time frame. the GFS has also been consistent however today's run shows 6 to 9 inches for New York City. hard to believe that plus the GFS has a progressive and East bias.  then we have the rgem that concerns me it shows around 12 to 15 inches. to me that is possible. can the GFS solution happen I think highly unlikely given all the other solutions out there and has to be considered an oulier at this time.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:40 am

I don't know what's going on today but I just turned on the weather channel to see how that great series they had going on yesterday when airplane problems suddenly strike ends.

It seems today they're covering the weather. Very odd.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:43 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I don't know what's going on today but I just turned on the weather channel to see how that great series they had going on yesterday when airplane problems suddenly strike ends.

It seems today they're covering the weather. Very odd.

i think last night they went full boston mode lol
RJB8525
RJB8525
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1970
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 35
Location : Hackettstown, NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Guest Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:46 am

If you average out all the low(bust) models with the high models it still comes out to about 20" area wide.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by tigernumba1 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:53 am

does anybody know if the GFS even matched the current surface maps?
tigernumba1
tigernumba1

Posts : 298
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2013-11-22
Age : 26
Location : East Northport, NY, 11731

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 11:54 am

NAM is insane for NYC, Al if we verify holy crap!
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 11 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 11 of 14 Previous  1 ... 7 ... 10, 11, 12, 13, 14  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum