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Wx Banter Thread 2.0

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Sep 22, 2015 7:09 pm

Wow, guess you have to have a lot of patience too!

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Post by Quietace Tue Sep 22, 2015 7:21 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Holy crap that's sick!! Looks awfully tedious,  too.
I have a week to do it. The station model plots from metar are just annoying to convert, and will take a few hours. Hand drawing isotherms aren't to bad except you have to do it in pencil then erase then plot in pen(Plus you have to take into consideration topography, aspect, ocean influence, urban influence etc.); especially this one since its from Sandy. Should have some tight gradients. Janet is right, it certainly tests your patience.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 22, 2015 7:36 pm

Can't wait to see the finished product

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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 22, 2015 8:39 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:JB is my hero

lol! your sarcasm is leaking though my PC monitor

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Sep 22, 2015 10:15 pm

I am putting this here because no one will ever see it in general banter. So in regards to my rant post on that article posted in LR thread, I find it funny (sorry if I offended anyone) that this site is plastered with swear words but I guess it was deemed necessary to sensor the unpolitically correct way of saying intellectually challenged, in my post? I mean whatever but I don't get it there are far worse things said on here and I have never seen a sensor before for anything, and most are pure swears. So I expect to see nothing but straight up politically correct weather talk from here on out! LOL JK
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Post by rb924119 Sat Sep 26, 2015 9:00 pm

Sroc, your request has been completed, all I have to do is proofread it. It's too long to be posted as a normal post, so I'm just going to ask Frank if he'd mind getting it up for me lol Hopefully you, and anybody else who is interested, will find it interesting haha I was actually dumbfounded by the results that I found, so hopefully that bodes well lmao

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Post by amugs Sat Sep 26, 2015 10:53 pm

Interesting article on tsunamis one actually hit the NJ coast in the 1938 hurricane.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/reports/tsunami.htm

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Post by amugs Sat Sep 26, 2015 10:56 pm

ber, 2000

Some Experiences With The 1938 Hurricane

  The following section relays some of the experiences that residents have given with the 1938 hurricane. These experiences are invaluable in helping to understand the nature of the storm, and to prove or disprove some of the theories as to what actually did happen.

1938 Hurricane Experiences, as relayed by Mr. Marshall Sewell, of Whiting, NJ

  Mr. Sewell was working for the former Lakewood Daily Times in 1938. The hurricane was his first major news story. He and his boss, Mr. Harold "Chick" Ober, were looking out the Times window, when the only large tree on the property fell directly between their two cars, missing them by inches. Suspecting now that a big storm was underway, Mr. Sewell called the Manasquan Inlet Coast Guard Station. The obviously upset crewman who answered the phone practically shouted at Mr. Sewell, "You won't believe this! I just saw a big piece of the boardwalk across the inlet swept inland by a huge wave, and a guy was standing on it!" Mr. Sewell, accompanied by his mother, an inveterate storm chaser, took off to Point Pleasant Beach for the Big Story. It took them almost an hour to drive the 9 miles, dodging tree limbs and downed wires all the way. Entering downtown, they saw huge sections of the boardwalk, railings still attached, that had been swept 1/2 mile down Arnold Avenue and were blocking the railroad tracks near the station. Along the beach, unprotected by dunes at that time, many of the bungalows between Arnold Ave. and the inlet had been damaged or had toppled off their pilings into the ocean, which was still turbulent.
  Further south at Risden's Pavilion, large picture windows facing the ocean had been smashed by the wave, or waves. The bartender told Mr. Sewell that he and a patron had been looking at the surf when suddenly "out of nowhere", this huge wave higher than he had ever seen rose out of the sea and came right in the pavilion. It carried the patron out the back door, still clinging to his barstool, "all the way downtown." When he hit dry land, he was heard to say, "That drink sure had a kick", although Mr. Sewell suggests this is probably what everyone had expected him to say. After a ride like that, the patron was probably too terrified to say much of anything!
  Mr. Sewell and his boss were also correspondents ("stringers") for several other papers and news services, and called as many news outlets as they could about the hurricane's effects on Ocean County. The New York Times editor took the information, but only printed some of it, since the unbelievable major disaster reports from Long Island and New England became predominant. Mr. Aber decided that the public should be better educated concerning hurricanes. He sent Mr. Sewell to Lakehurst Naval Air Station and interviewed a meteorologist, one of the few forecasters who followed the hurricane from its earliest stages. Out of this interview came a local news story that was picked up by the Associated Press and reprinted as a feature article in other papers. Interestingly, Annaliese Heinen, a daughter of an airship officer at Lakehurst, was trapped on a stalled train along the CT shoreline between Stonington, CT, and Westerly, RI, for hours during the storm. Suddenly, a huge wave knocked the cars off the tracks. Many drowned, but she survived.
  Mr. Sewell was a fellow editor with Mr. Everett S. Allen on the Middlebury College student newspaper in the 1930s. After graduation, Mr. Allen joined the New Bedford Standard Times in his home town. His first major news story was also the 1938 hurricane. He eventually progressed to editor of the paper. In 1976, he published the book, "A Wind to Shake the World", on the now infamous 1938 hurricane. The book focused on the human stories of primarily Long Island and New England.
Thank you very much, Mr. Sewell, for sharing your experiences with us!

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Post by sroc4 Sun Sep 27, 2015 7:37 am

@rb924119 wrote:Sroc, your request has been completed, all I have to do is proofread it. It's too long to be posted as a normal post, so I'm just going to ask Frank if he'd mind getting it up for me lol Hopefully you, and anybody else who is interested, will find it interesting haha I was actually dumbfounded by the results that I found, so hopefully that bodes well lmao

Looking forward to it rb

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
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Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Post by docstox12 Sun Sep 27, 2015 7:41 am

LOL, "that drink sure had a kick!".Good thing that guy was stewed for that crazy ride.Great articles,Mugsy, on NJ storm history.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 27, 2015 6:31 pm

I am putting this here as per sroc but dayum, the models have been consistent on laying out about a half a foot of rain or more within the 7 day, drought buster and major flood maker for sure since it comes in two single storms. Lots of wind too but I won't hype that cuz we know how that goes over. LOL I understand the models can have errors but these extreme rain totals have been for a few days now so I am thinking its a real possibility that at least two coastals hit us maybe 3. Imagine DJF if its like this now, just no snow as we know Oct snow often rest winter stinks.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 2 Gfs_pr10
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 27, 2015 9:28 pm

I know its a long ways off but my sister in law is getting married in Hopewell Junction On October 25th outside! Its at 1pm, is it gonna be a winter coat wedding judging from these changes?
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Post by snow247 Sun Sep 27, 2015 10:54 pm

Check out this NHC screw up

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 2 Fn4kft
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 5:51 am

Opps, well with the Euro ensembles there is a slight chance this could be coming in the ten day, look at a few of these omg at the top one, ok ya so I lied about not posting lol. But I am not expecting that to happen.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 2 Eps_sl10
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 5:52 am

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 2 Eps_sl11
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:11 am

Look at the HWRF - when was teh last time this nailed a storm?? Shocked Laughing

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 2 Hwrf_mslp_wind_11L_34

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:27 am

Gfdl roo further west same intensoty. Gfdl better so like I said and sorry for post in several thread. I will try delete the others wasn't sure where put it.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:09 pm

One thing about the HWRF forget the insane intensity its taking that westward hook and placing NYC and jersey in the corss hairs exactly like Sandy.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 2 Hwrf_m10
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Post by rb924119 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:10 pm

Wow

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:15 pm

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 2 Gfdl_m11
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:17 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Wow

Wow.....I don't think this has much merit, if it does its within 5 days and NHC better get on the ball. Seems unlikely but my main point was the change in position.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:19 pm

Latest EURO run is actually looking a bit scary so far too......

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Post by rb924119 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:20 pm

Correction: It's still early in the run, but it's looking quite scary....

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Post by sroc4 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:24 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Correction: It's still early in the run, but it's looking quite scary....

Is that Ida milling around the Bahamas on the Euro at hr 96??

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
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Post by rb924119 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:26 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Correction: It's still early in the run, but it's looking quite scary....

Is that Ida milling around the Bahamas on the Euro at hr 96??

It's something tropical....Idk which one though.

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