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01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 22, 2016 5:57 pm

Good evening,

Sorry for the delay. I had a busy day at work. Here is my final call snow map in advance of the impending Godzilla set to hit our area beginning tonight and lasting through all of Saturday.

01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call 12615713_1057965270921898_8699424870126729708_o

I will have an additional write up later tonight detailing why I am forecasting these amounts.

Enjoy the storm!

Best,

Frank


Last edited by Frank_Wx on Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:06 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Grselig Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:02 pm

Start time 10-11 pm Sat? Seems late?
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:02 pm

@Grselig wrote:Start time 10-11 pm Sat?   Seems late?

Sorry, meant Friday

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Post by Grselig Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:03 pm

Thanks. Love the trend
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Post by sroc4 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:04 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Good evening,

Sorry for the delay. I had a busy day at work. Here is my final call snow map in advance of the impending Godzilla set to hit our area beginning tonight and lasting through all of Saturday.

01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call 10644153_1057962264255532_1849863381840165218_o

I will have an additional write up later tonight detailing why I am forecasting these amounts.

Enjoy the storm!

Best,

Frank

Nice map Frank. Check the start time and end time. I think you may be 24hrs off.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:06 pm

Fixed.

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Post by down tines Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:08 pm

I have a summer house in South Seaside Park by Island Beach State Park just received a robo call to evacuate
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:13 pm

@down tines wrote:I have a summer house in South Seaside Park by Island Beach State Park just received a robo call to evacuate

Hope it goes well for you.
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Post by frank 638 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:16 pm

its ok frank you been do busy with work snowstorm anyway this is great news to us i am happy with my foot to 18 inches good luck to everyone and let the fun begin thank you frank NOW LET IT SNOW LET IT SNOW LET IT SNOW Very Happy cheers party party

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Post by Guest Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:17 pm

Jman's going to freak when he sees that map. He's so close to the 15-24" line yet sooooooo far away. DOC AND CP 6-12" Laughing Laughing

Frank later if you can please answer my question about ratios. I think they will be A LOT higher than 10:1 inland and even about 13:1 on the coast due to how cold and dry it is out. this should increase numbers all around by 3-5"

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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:20 pm

I'm split between 6-12 and 12-18 but it's understandable because Frank knows the area hell he works here lmao
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01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call Empty good luck i hope everyone in your town will be safe we dont need a another sandy storm surge

Post by frank 638 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:21 pm

@down tines wrote:I have a summer house in South Seaside Park by Island Beach State Park just received a robo call to evacuate

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Post by devsman Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:22 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Jman's going to freak when he sees that map.  He's so close to the 15-24" line yet sooooooo far away.  DOC AND CP 6-12" Laughing Laughing

Frank later if you can please answer my question about ratios.  I think they will be A LOT higher than 10:1 inland and even about 13:1 on the coast due to how cold and dry it is out.  this should increase numbers all around by 3-5"

Syo...heard a met talk about this. He said everyone will be about 12 to 1 at the start. During early pm, long island coast and jersey shore will become more 10 to 1 because of warm air off ocean. NW jersey and HV will have 15 to 1. We return to 12 to 1 when sun sets.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:26 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Jman's going to freak when he sees that map.  He's so close to the 15-24" line yet sooooooo far away.  DOC AND CP 6-12" Laughing Laughing

Frank later if you can please answer my question about ratios.  I think they will be A LOT higher than 10:1 inland and even about 13:1 on the coast due to how cold and dry it is out.  this should increase numbers all around by 3-5"
18 is fine with me and who knows a jog 10 more miles north and I'm in it. Overall faircall map. Nice frank.
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Post by sroc4 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:27 pm

My final call.  Win lose or draw I have to say its been quite a ride.  I feel like the anxiety over the last 2 days has been like when you are strapped into the seat of a roller coaster...click click click...up the hill butterflys and nerves about whats to come.  Well now boys and girls we no longer have to feel the anxiety of what is to come...we are just about over the top so sit back and get your hands up above our heads and enjoy the ride!!!  

01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call <a href=01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call Final_11" />


Last edited by sroc4 on Fri Jan 22, 2016 8:03 pm; edited 2 times in total

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Post by jwalsh Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:30 pm

Interesting, I keep on hearing the start time as 1 a.m. Saturday. Any reason why you're forecasting it a few hours earlier?
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:30 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Jman's going to freak when he sees that map.  He's so close to the 15-24" line yet sooooooo far away.  DOC AND CP 6-12" Laughing Laughing

Frank later if you can please answer my question about ratios.  I think they will be A LOT higher than 10:1 inland and even about 13:1 on the coast due to how cold and dry it is out.  this should increase numbers all around by 3-5"

Barely on Frank's 6-12 line a couple of miles south of thee 3-6. I've always expected this storm to torture me. So far mission accomplished.
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:33 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Jman's going to freak when he sees that map.  He's so close to the 15-24" line yet sooooooo far away.  DOC AND CP 6-12" Laughing Laughing

Frank later if you can please answer my question about ratios.  I think they will be A LOT higher than 10:1 inland and even about 13:1 on the coast due to how cold and dry it is out.  this should increase numbers all around by 3-5"
18 is fine with me and who knows a jog 10 more miles north and I'm in it. Overall faircall map. Nice frank.

Amen brother
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:38 pm

I hope this continues north for everyone! Now home go Crack one open. Can't during week but tonight fun fun!
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:39 pm

@RJB8525 wrote:I'm split between 6-12 and 12-18 but it's understandable because Frank knows the area hell he works here lmao

Speaking of work, I was in a meeting room with a bunch of Co workers watching the EURO come in. They were in awe. Fun stuff. 

@sroc4 wrote:My final call.  Win lose or draw I have to say its been quite a ride.  I feel like the anxiety over the last 2 days has been like when you are strapped into the seat of a roller coaster...click click click...up the hill butterflys and nerves about whats to come.  Well now boys and girls we no longer have to feel the anxiety of what is to come...we are just about over the top so sit back and get your hands up above our heads and enjoy the ride!!!  

01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call <a href=01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call Final_10" />

Scott, we have been tracking this storm for 10 days. I am wiped. .

@jwalsh wrote:Interesting, I keep on hearing the start time as 1 a.m. Saturday. Any reason why you're forecasting it a few hours earlier?

Just gotta look at the radar. It's already in Philly.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:39 pm

@sroc4 wrote:My final call.  Win lose or draw I have to say its been quite a ride.  I feel like the anxiety over the last 2 days has been like when you are strapped into the seat of a roller coaster...click click click...up the hill butterflys and nerves about whats to come.  Well now boys and girls we no longer have to feel the anxiety of what is to come...we are just about over the top so sit back and get your hands up above our heads and enjoy the ride!!!  

01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call <a href=01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call Final_10" />

So people in the HV are getting 2-4 or 6-10? No 4.1 to 5.9 areas. Seems extreme.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:44 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@RJB8525 wrote:I'm split between 6-12 and 12-18 but it's understandable because Frank knows the area hell he works here lmao

Speaking of work, I was in a meeting room with a bunch of Co workers watching the EURO come in. They were in awe. Fun stuff. 

@sroc4 wrote:My final call.  Win lose or draw I have to say its been quite a ride.  I feel like the anxiety over the last 2 days has been like when you are strapped into the seat of a roller coaster...click click click...up the hill butterflys and nerves about whats to come.  Well now boys and girls we no longer have to feel the anxiety of what is to come...we are just about over the top so sit back and get your hands up above our heads and enjoy the ride!!!  

01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call <a href=01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call Final_10" />

Scott, we have been tracking this storm for 10 days. I am wiped. .

@jwalsh wrote:Interesting, I keep on hearing the start time as 1 a.m. Saturday. Any reason why you're forecasting it a few hours earlier?

Just gotta look at the radar. It's already in Philly.

thanks for the final call map...I hope you are home safe and sound and are having a good dinner so you have the energy to stay up and now cast...as always I am in awe of all of your and the others knowledge on this site...I have taken a few notes and have some questions, but will ask after this storm and things settled down!!


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Fri Jan 22, 2016 7:05 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jimv45 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:46 pm

just got back looking at the last GFS looked good hope up now

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Post by sroc4 Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:48 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:My final call.  Win lose or draw I have to say its been quite a ride.  I feel like the anxiety over the last 2 days has been like when you are strapped into the seat of a roller coaster...click click click...up the hill butterflys and nerves about whats to come.  Well now boys and girls we no longer have to feel the anxiety of what is to come...we are just about over the top so sit back and get your hands up above our heads and enjoy the ride!!!  

01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call <a href=01/23/16 Storm Update #6 - Final Call Final_10" />

So people in the HV are getting 2-4 or 6-10? No 4.1 to 5.9 areas. Seems extreme.

Ahh crap CP. I didn't see that. I raced home from work to update things and missed it. Leave it to the HV guy to spot that. Lol. And now I'm mobile waiting for my pizza and garlic knots. Son of a....

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WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 22, 2016 6:50 pm

@jimv45 wrote:just got back looking at the last GFS looked good hope up now

It had All of Orange County in 12-16 range. I'd be very happy with that but of course I have my doubts. I'd take 8-10 and be satisfied after all the ups and downs of this storm.
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