February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions

skinsfan1177 wrote:Coastal no and long island need to really pay attention here

why do you say that?
they are only predicting 1-3 for tom thru tues...here by sandy hook or are you talking about winds

18z NAM money shot for the IVT:

weatherwatchermom wrote:

skinsfan1177 wrote:Coastal no and long island need to really pay attention here

why do you say that?  
they are only predicting 1-3 for tom thru tues...here by sandy hook or are you talking about winds

I ment pay attention to any kind of shift west or precip shield coming west. Some are calling for 2-4 and if it shifts more then amounts go up

18z NAM for the coastal and IVT:

skinsfan1177 wrote:

weatherwatchermom wrote:

skinsfan1177 wrote:Coastal no and long island need to really pay attention here

why do you say that?  
they are only predicting 1-3 for tom thru tues...here by sandy hook or are you talking about winds

I ment pay attention to any kind of shift west or precip shield coming west. Some are calling for 2-4 and if it shifts more then amounts go up

tx

snow247 wrote:18z NAM for the coastal and IVT:

Sold!!!

For what it's worth Joe cioffi has coastal nj ocean and Monmouth counties in 6+ for Monday. He is usually conservative I'm surprised

Snow, please keep the IVT posts in the other thread.

Joe cioffi raised his snow totals 3 to 6 for NYC ,nassau  county to 6 to 9 Suffolk south east of jersey shore to eastern connect

This looking like last two storms go b last minute shifts possibly big to west. Seems b the way our storms ate working out. Tues is total crap shoot.

Wow cape cod blizzard warning up to 18 and gusts to 65 oh I wish I could take a trip. Ocean b wild!

jmanley32 wrote:Wow cape cod blizzard warning up to 18 and gusts to 65 oh I wish I could take a trip. Ocean b wild!

It's a monster, a mere 100 mile jog west and we'd all be in heaven, unfortunately people on the twin forks of LI might literally be if it jogged that far west.

Very unlikely this late in the game, but as I've stated before storms this big and powerful tend to have minds of their own.

I'd b watchful CP a storm this big a 100 mile jog not that big.

jmanley32 wrote:I'd b watchful CP a storm this big a 100 mile jog not that big.

I absolutely agree Jman. That's what I meant when I said they have a mind of their own when they get this powerful.

I was just looking at weatherwatchmom's beautiful link to the map showing the wind field. This beast is located just off myrtle beach and still way west of our longitude and moving more north than anything else. If it moves due north (which I know it won't) it would be west of the entrance to Chesapeake bay. That's how far west it still is. My question is even if this thing goes due east northeast from its current position starting right now ( which it probably won't do yet) we would still get the goods no? Plus the storm over the Great Lakes really hasn't come east. Anyone want to chime in?

syosnow94 wrote:I was just looking at weatherwatchmom's beautiful link to the map showing the wind field. This beast is located just off myrtle beach and still way west of our longitude and moving more north than anything else. If it moves due north (which I know it won't) it would be west of the entrance to Chesapeake bay.  That's how far west it still is.  My question is even if this thing goes due east northeast from its current position starting right now ( which it probably won't do yet) we would still get the goods no?  Plus the storm over the Great Lakes really hasn't come east.  Anyone want to chime in?

18Z GFS has it go E from NC coast, then ENE, if anything slightly more E than 12Z.

Who knows at this stage.

Gotta watch radar and satellite now which look good!

Are you guys now casting this? or can anybody post an updated snow totals map of possible . I Always go by this forum you guys are awesome!!!!!

Nyi1058 wrote:Are you guys now casting this? or can anybody post an updated snow totals map of possible . I Always go by this forum you guys are awesome!!!!!

The scroll has my thoughts and timing. Also a couple pages back is a map.

http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_ncep_jet


Current HRRR looks good.

Frank_Wx wrote:

That looks rather ominous, no?

SoulSingMG wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

That looks rather ominous, no?

Looks awesome to me.

jmanley32 wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

That looks rather ominous, no?

Looks awesome to me.

I dont know they only have my area for 1-3 inches...so I will enjoy game and friends and hope everyone else does too!! will check in later!!

Looks like cut off is the Westetn NJ border.

Starting to read on other boards that the storm is still not moving east and it's likely coming a bit further west than modeled. Every mile counts