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July 2016 Observations & Discussions

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jul 24, 2016 1:08 pm

Humidity or not irs too freaking hot. No pool for my usage so I'm ready for winter lol

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Post by amugs Sun Jul 24, 2016 1:50 pm

93* with 44% hum-i-di-ti-ty!!

Looks like some t-storms tomorrow night hopefully later than earlier so we can get to triple digits - lets go all the way - 97,98,99 are just teases IMO.


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Post by frank 638 Sun Jul 24, 2016 2:19 pm

Lol I am ready for winter to not a bad day at least the humidity is down for now but we will be sweating by tom

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jul 24, 2016 2:39 pm

Latest models show a bit more in the way of clouds and rain. Should prevent temps from exceeding 100 degrees. Will probably be 92-96

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:03 pm

It's all about dewpoints
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jul 24, 2016 9:55 pm

Yep, I am hearing low 70 dew point which is pretty humid. If WRF is correct the parameters for severe weather are gping to be ripping. Supercell (SCP) levels are going to be very high around 1-4pm and CAPE pushing 2000-4000+ j/kg (can that be right? seems awfully high for the area) and simulated radar shows some pretty serious storms later in the evening rolling through. I did not note anything on the radar for the morning, if we do not get rain or cloud cover in the AM I think SPC will up chances of a bigger storm threat. Regardless of any storm potential its gonna be HOT!! Be careful if you have to go out and hopefully no one loses power, I hear Riverdale Bronx did today, and right now a large portion of the Bronx behind Gunhill Rd. is out, like 1300 customers.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jul 25, 2016 5:12 am

Disgusting out already and storms firing up already in cnj
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 25, 2016 6:12 am

Interesting SPC moved their slight area to a completely different area than last night, now they feel the best chance of (downbursts!) will be in PA and southern jersey, because cloud cover wont be a issue and other convective parameters. I think most of us see a bunch of sun as that area of storms and rain s not going to hit up here and then it will probably clear up. Wouldn't be surprised to see them extend slight area a bit more north to include NYC. maybe parts southern hudson valley.
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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Jul 25, 2016 7:37 am

Central and southern NJ getting rain again, hardly anything here in Bergen County....

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jul 25, 2016 9:00 am

Got a good storm earlier. Temp has dropped to 70° before rain it was 80°. I don't see it coming even close to 100° today clouds are over us and that rain dropped temps
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Post by algae888 Mon Jul 25, 2016 9:50 am

jman this is for you
July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 Hrrr_ref_frzn_us_13
July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 Nam4km_ref_frzn_us_20
July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 Rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_7
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Post by ak926 Mon Jul 25, 2016 10:18 am

My 10am temp/dewpoint 83/74, is the same as Ft Myers Florida !

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jul 25, 2016 10:30 am

My temp and dewpoin t are both 76
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jul 25, 2016 10:59 am

currently 81* and 85% humidity....not even fit outside for pool..think we will have PJ Day...sun is starting to come out...128 days until meteorological winter!!
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Post by Vinnydula Mon Jul 25, 2016 11:30 am

90
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Post by amugs Mon Jul 25, 2016 11:49 am

92* full sun/77* DP - feels like YUCK outside.

RGEM, 4K NAM and HRRR all barking at t-storms this afternoon - if we can get them later than sooner and we do not get cloud debris we have a shot at 100's If we have clouds we are mid 90's 95-96 ( hope that year comes out again!!!)

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July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 RT_PN_012_0000

12K NAM
July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_12

4K NAM
July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 Nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_12

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Post by jake732 Mon Jul 25, 2016 1:02 pm



lakewood weather
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Lakewood Weather: HEAT ADVISORY!!! http://lakewood732weather.blogspot.com/2016/07/heat-advisory.html?spref=tw …

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 25, 2016 1:18 pm

Severe t-storm watch was issued for most of the area, storms are popping, model runs show some intense storms around 00z which is what 6 or 7?
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Post by algae888 Mon Jul 25, 2016 2:03 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:It's all about dewpoints
Agree. 91* dp72 heat index 100. Waiting impatiently for winter. Very Happy
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jul 25, 2016 2:27 pm

Wow just got home from work. Got .77 of an inch from storms this morning. Current dewpoin t is at 80° never seen it that high. Currently 94° realfeel of 103°
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Post by amugs Mon Jul 25, 2016 2:50 pm

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 Ww0415_overview_big_wou.thumb.gif.0104f7fbbecf2d4861bcf53707863b1e

Round one incoming then two behond it
July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 F39bdf357bacc67978d43f6c06bc1b57

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Post by Vinnydula Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:09 pm

Temperature drops 11 degree in mins.just wind here
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Post by Vinnydula Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:10 pm

Dropping like crazy now 80 was 96 wth
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Post by amugs Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:13 pm

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 10 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:30 pm

That second line and the super cells in between mean business. One tornado warning already long lived south of eimira ny in pa.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:33 pm

Latest me so scale discussion spc has decided to upgrade to enhanced risk.
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Post by algae888 Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:42 pm

The storms over East Central PA just north of Allentown are legit. Look to be heading straight for New York City metro. looks like we're going to get hit good today. already had a heavy shower here in White Plains.
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