Hurricane Hermine Discussion

rb924119 wrote:Wait until you see these wind maps Jman........

I have weatherbell, I get high TS force too, jersey just wow.

amugs wrote:

crap for NJ big issue, not 18 ft like Sandy surge and bet hurricane watches would likely b posted.

98.6 kt gusts just offshore at height of it.  anymore west at hr 66 and we all screwed.

NYC still on north cusp of rain, it amazes me the rain is not more expansive, or at least banding. Then again Sandy I got almost no rain.

jmanley32 wrote:NYC still on north cusp of rain, it amazes me the rain is not more expansive, or at least banding.  Then again Sandy I got almost no rain.

It will be as it wraps all of this moist air onto the land

That is truly a destructive euro run...

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR UP TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF INUNDATION HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OF LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK CITY...
CONNECTICUT...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...AND TIDAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS
WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND
BARRIERS WILL BECOME STRESSED AND LIKELY OVERWHELMED.
- SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS.
- MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. MANY
SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED.
- ALONG THE OCEANFRONT...AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION FROM STORM SURGE
AND BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS,
WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING
DEBRIS.

please let this go ots. this looks devastating.

do not want a repeat of sandy. losing power for a week when its going to get really hot again would stink

I personally feel with all the latent heat waters this sucker is going to blow up and deepen. I think the hybrid blend of the GFS, UKIE, GEM and EURO show this as a stronger storm and coming further west - not weenie but looking at how it depicted this down in Fla leads me to believe it will be stronger and more powerful - just using logic

Check this out from teh great UNC W
1894 Hcane/Trop cyclone - hmmmmm similar type of path - History repeats itself

Holy hell the EURO

I live about 100 feet from the beach, this is a dramatic turn of events. I will not be evacuating and will post observations from the front lines.

Cray run....Frank you said you were doing a blog this afternoon, are you now waiting because its pushed back a bit?

smoggy14 wrote:I live about 100 feet from the beach, this is a dramatic turn of events.  I will not be evacuating and will post observations from the front lines.

If this plays out they may be mandatory...

I could see these winds being even higher and bit further inland, not wishcasting, just thinking about the potential to grow over those waters, cannot wait to see what happens when it emerges off Carolinas.

smoggy14 wrote:I live about 100 feet from the beach, this is a dramatic turn of events.  I will not be evacuating and will post observations from the front lines.

You'll probably see mandatory if this keeps up

aiannone wrote:

I was thinking it looked awefully similar, wouldn't be surprised to see further expansion and intensity of winds in future runs, a redux of sandy would be crazy, do remember Joaquin was showing this possible too but this looks like its not going to have a escape like Joaquin had.  Get ready today and tomorrow, can never be too prepared, if it ends up being not as bad you will be ready for the next one, and I wouldn't be surprised if theres more than one big threat this season.

Wait is Hermines, actually stronger I nthe center than sandy!

As scary the models have trended today, with the very high SSTS sitting off the coastline its not out of the question Hermine gets even stronger than currently depicted. Weather events like this don't come around very often... that's why we're here and what we live for. It will be both an exciting and frightening couple of days tracking this storm. Everyone hunker down and be save if Hermine lives up to her potential. Frank now might be a good time to schedule a live chat.

weatherwatchermom wrote:

dolphins222 wrote:please let this go ots. this looks devastating.

do not want a repeat of sandy. losing power for a week when its going to get really hot again would stink

I agree with you if this was snow I would say bring it on....water is scary...and we lost power for 13 days...

After seeing the model runs today and waiting for the Euro to be done I said to my students on the way out the door "see you guys in 10 days" And i wasn't kidding.