HomeHurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:32 pm
Heard that b4, and we are still not in gr8 range of the NAM.rb924119 wrote:H5 is. I haven't been paying attention to the surface. I have a feeling models may try to chase the convection early on, hence the east shift on this run. Idk, just a hunch.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by amugs Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:34 pm
H5 shows the center of the storm gest east then makes the turn west NW towards the coast at hr 45 but does so by the Delmarva
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:35 pm
NAM windfield is enourmous, doesnt have to get that close even for franks wind map to verify.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:35 pm
Why do I feel like we are the only ones here? lmfao
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:36 pm
18z was also down there at this time stamp.amugs wrote:H5 shows the center of the storm gest east then makes the turn west NW towards the coast at hr 45 but does so by the Delmarva
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by sroc4 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:36 pm
Others are here rb
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:36 pm
LOL, it does, prolly cuz no one really cares about the NAM this far out?rb924119 wrote:Why do I feel like we are the only ones here? lmfao
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by roccuweather Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:38 pm
Lurking, but reading with great interest
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:39 pm
Well obvious you'd like to kiss this storm good bye, lolrb924119 wrote:IT'S EAST!!!!!!!
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:39 pm
Oh haha being all lurky-like I couldn't tell lmfao
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by snow247 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:39 pm
I'm here too, waiting for the GFS etc.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:40 pm
just saw the avatar, el nino!!! Love that so funnyroccuweather wrote:Lurking, but reading with great interest
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:41 pm
jmanley32 wrote:Well obvious you'd like to kiss this storm good bye, lolrb924119 wrote:IT'S EAST!!!!!!!
Honestly, as absolutely fascinating as Sandy was, my family was in ground-zero and it's not something that any of us want to go through again, let alone four years later.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:42 pm
The NAM's windfield may be problematic for interior sections, but holy mama it went east. Not as strong either (with respect to the central pressure). Interesting.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by roccuweather Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:43 pm
jmanley32 wrote:just saw the avatar, el nino!!! Love that so funnyroccuweather wrote:Lurking, but reading with great interest
The best!
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by Grselig Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:44 pm
RB Just lurking with high interest. Appreciate your updates!
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by sroc4 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:44 pm
rb924119 wrote:The NAM's windfield may be problematic for interior sections, but holy mama it went east. Not as strong either (with respect to the central pressure). Interesting.
Down to 989 by hr 66. Was only 991 on 18 and 12z
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:44 pm
Wow, even though it is east of other guidance check out these winds for the shores.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:45 pm
Is that an eye in the precip, wow
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:45 pm
A later H5 interaction allowed it to remain in the southwesterly steering flow longer before being captured. Let's see if that's a trend tonight. I'm hoping.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:45 pm
Yeah strong winds still expand well inland, and rain bands rotate in from MA.rb924119 wrote:The NAM's windfield may be problematic for interior sections, but holy mama it went east. Not as strong either (with respect to the central pressure). Interesting.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:47 pm
Frank_Wx wrote:Wow, even though it is east of other guidance check out these winds for the shores.
But look at the direction-North, even North-northwest versus east-northeast. HUGE difference for surge and coastal flooding concerns.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:47 pm
Wait for it it heads NW toward LI hr 78!
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:48 pm
The 4KM NAM is NW and actually tucked in 
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2
by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:48 pm
UH OH CHECK OUT IT'S MOTION THROUGH 78!!!!
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