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Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:35 pm

NAM windfield is enourmous, doesnt have to get that close even for franks wind map to verify.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:35 pm

Why do I feel like we are the only ones here? lmfao

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:36 pm

@amugs wrote:H5 shows the center of the storm gest east then makes the turn west NW towards the coast at hr 45 but does so by the Delmarva
18z was also down there at this time stamp.
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Post by sroc4 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:36 pm

Others are here rb

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:36 pm

IT'S EAST!!!!!!! savior savior savior savior savior

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:36 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Why do I feel like we are the only ones here? lmfao
LOL, it does, prolly cuz no one really cares about the NAM this far out?
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Post by roccuweather Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:38 pm

Lurking, but reading with great interest
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:39 pm

@rb924119 wrote:IT'S EAST!!!!!!! savior savior savior savior savior
Well obvious you'd like to kiss this storm good bye, lol
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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:39 pm

Oh haha being all lurky-like I couldn't tell lmfao

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Post by snow247 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:39 pm

I'm here too, waiting for the GFS etc.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:40 pm

@roccuweather wrote:Lurking, but reading with great interest
just saw the avatar, el nino!!! Love that so funny
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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:41 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:IT'S EAST!!!!!!! savior savior savior savior savior
Well obvious you'd like to kiss this storm good bye, lol

Honestly, as absolutely fascinating as Sandy was, my family was in ground-zero and it's not something that any of us want to go through again, let alone four years later.

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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:42 pm

The NAM's windfield may be problematic for interior sections, but holy mama it went east. Not as strong either (with respect to the central pressure). Interesting.

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Post by roccuweather Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:43 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@roccuweather wrote:Lurking, but reading with great interest
just saw the avatar, el nino!!! Love that so funny

The best!
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Post by Grselig Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:44 pm

RB Just lurking with high interest. Appreciate your updates!
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Post by sroc4 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:44 pm

@rb924119 wrote:The NAM's windfield may be problematic for interior sections, but holy mama it went east. Not as strong either (with respect to the central pressure). Interesting.

Down to 989 by hr 66. Was only 991 on 18 and 12z

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:44 pm

Wow, even though it is east of other guidance check out these winds for the shores.

Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2 - Page 4 CrZX-gDXYAIj9Xp

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:45 pm

Is that an eye in the precip, wow

Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2 - Page 4 Nam_re10
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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:45 pm

A later H5 interaction allowed it to remain in the southwesterly steering flow longer before being captured. Let's see if that's a trend tonight. I'm hoping.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:45 pm

@rb924119 wrote:The NAM's windfield may be problematic for interior sections, but holy mama it went east. Not as strong either (with respect to the central pressure). Interesting.
Yeah strong winds still expand well inland, and rain bands rotate in from MA.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:47 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Wow, even though it is east of other guidance check out these winds for the shores.

Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2 - Page 4 CrZX-gDXYAIj9Xp

But look at the direction-North, even North-northwest versus east-northeast. HUGE difference for surge and coastal flooding concerns.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:47 pm

Wait for it it heads NW toward LI hr 78!
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:48 pm

The 4KM NAM is NW and actually tucked in silent silent silent

Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2 - Page 4 Nam4km_mslp_wind_neus_41.thumb.png.eb6152146560bc4f9ea013efd31016ee

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Post by snow247 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:48 pm

LOL, 4km NAM.

Hurricane Hermine Discussion Part 2 - Page 4 Nam4km_mslp_uv850_neus_42
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Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:48 pm

UH OH CHECK OUT IT'S MOTION THROUGH 78!!!!

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