HomeHURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:01 am
sroc4 wrote:Anyone else feel like this the last few days???
Yes... 6z HWRF
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=14L&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016100306&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=0
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:04 am
6z GFDL has a 921mb low landfalling in NC on the western part of Cape Hatteras. Wow..
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by sroc4 Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:05 am
NjWeatherGuy wrote:sroc4 wrote:Anyone else feel like this the last few days???
Yes... 6z HWRF
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=14L&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016100306&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=0
Wow! Extrapolating what the last image looks like at 500mb that is likely a landfall somewhere on LI or maybe N Jersey coast. Its both frustrating yet twistedly fun at the same time...I think
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:05 am
Further west than that, outer banks, may go inland from there, ouch.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfdl-p®ion=14L&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2016100306&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=0
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfdl-p®ion=14L&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2016100306&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=0
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by sroc4 Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:06 am
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by sroc4 Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:08 am
00z UKIE: Day 6 and 7
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by sroc4 Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:10 am
6z NAVGEM:
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:13 am
Wow, HWRF sim satellite
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=14L&pkg=goes4&runtime=2016100306&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=85
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=14L&pkg=goes4&runtime=2016100306&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=85
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:14 am
sroc4 wrote:Anyone else feel like this the last few days???
Good Morning
just insanity.. 
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:15 am
Yea the NAV catches it, holy cow.... thanks models right as I was trying to get to sleep....
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by skinsfan1177 Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:19 am
So is Euro atm the only model showing it's?
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:19 am
sroc4 wrote:00z UKIE: Day 6 and 7
It seems like its already too far east or maybe its just me.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:20 am
sroc4 wrote:
Being up till after 4 my eyes can not focus..lol what is that monster blob over
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:21 am
^Ukie forecast track
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by NjWeatherGuy Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:24 am
weatherwatchermom wrote:sroc4 wrote:
Being up till after 4 my eyes can not focus..lol what is that monster blob over
North Carolina, outer banks.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by sroc4 Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:25 am
weatherwatchermom wrote:sroc4 wrote:
Being up till after 4 my eyes can not focus..lol what is that monster blob over
Just SW of the Outer Banks NC
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by sroc4 Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:26 am
NjWeatherGuy wrote:sroc4 wrote:00z UKIE: Day 6 and 7
It seems like its already too far east or maybe its just me.
Hard to tell because it's such a zoomed out image.
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 03, 2016 8:35 am
Thanks I look again. Still can't see...in all seriousness....wow...my parents best friends live by Beaufort Nc..parents were just there looking at houses to retire to....this thing would devastate that area
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by Snow88 Mon Oct 03, 2016 9:13 am
Hurricane models are west of 6z
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by jmanley32 Mon Oct 03, 2016 9:20 am
This is far from over ypu gotta give some thpught to the hurricane models. Not always wrong.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by jmanley32 Mon Oct 03, 2016 9:25 am
Wow hwrf and gfdl scary for the area hwrf crush us on thst run. I do not believe a hit for us is off the table at all. Even Ukie is far closer. I can't wait to see if euro finally jumps on board. The hurricane models are also way fast closing in around 5 days so bout sat.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by Sanchize06 Mon Oct 03, 2016 10:55 am
11 AM Update: Winds back up to 140 mph, pressure down to 941mb, movement still N at 6 mph
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by hyde345 Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:03 am
This storm is going to wreak havoc as it heads north. God help those people in the path of this monster.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by oldtimer Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:13 am
The storm is at 75w now NHC showing 74.5w in 24hrs Does that mean it will drift ne and then back nw again?
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by Sanchize06 Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:37 am
Hr 36... Matthew a little slower, ULL looks like it's moving out slightly faster, trough looks a little stronger...
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by nutleyblizzard Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:47 am
Atlantic ridge is stronger this run.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
by Sanchize06 Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:50 am
Through hr 66, coming in a little slower and west, ridge and trough look a little stronger, looks like someone is going to get hit hard this run
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