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January 2017 Observations & Discussions

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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jan 12, 2017 3:30 pm

This is crazy it was 72° at 2pm now at 330pm down to 63°
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Post by frank 638 Thu Jan 12, 2017 3:54 pm

68 * this freaking crazy let's go up to 80 while we are at it lol

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Post by HectorO Thu Jan 12, 2017 4:42 pm

Should have worn shorts and a short sleeve shirt today. I read 67 in Dumont.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jan 12, 2017 4:52 pm

64* for the high today....
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Post by Isotherm Thu Jan 12, 2017 8:40 pm

+28 departure for my location today.



Hit 69.3F. Very impressive. Surges me to +2.2 for January.



Could see another sneaky anomalous positive day with a midnight high. Still mid 60s across most of the area.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 13, 2017 7:20 am

Does anyone know if records where broke yesterday
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 13, 2017 9:05 am

Many daily records were broken yesterday Skins including Central Park.

Central Park and JFK now 2.8 degrees above normal for the month, LGA 3.9 above.

This month may actually approach a plus 5, IMO anything above a plus 2 is tough to deal with. Hopefully February makes up for it as our experts seem to be hinting could happen.
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Post by Dtone Fri Jan 13, 2017 11:14 am

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Does anyone know if records where broke yesterday


Central Park 66 (old record 64)
LGA            68 (60)
JFK             61 (60)
Bridgeport    55 (52)
Newark        67 (61)


Record high low temps:
Central Park 47 (old record 46)
LGA 48   (46)
JFK 46  (44)
EWR 46  (43)
BDR  42 (41)
ISP 47  (42)


Records up and down I-95. low 60s around Bos to low 70s around DC.

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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 13, 2017 12:32 pm

What a difference a day makes!

38.4, 70%, 30.16 R

Winds are really howling up here.Would be nice to see a few flakes tomorrow but it looks like this storm is suppressed to my south.THERE'S something new and different,LOL. Might be the last flakes for a week or so.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Jan 14, 2017 9:27 am

Central Park and JFK now 3.7 degrees above normal for the month, LGA 4.8 above.

I revise what I said yesterday and say this month will definitely be a plus 5 for temperatures at every Upton reporting location.

Actually with the next two days near normal and the ten days afterward now looking to be 10-15 above normal we may be looking at a top 10 warmest January when all is said and done. That will probably depend on whether or not we get the hoped for pattern change before the month ends.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:20 am

currently 32* rf 26 wind 7mph n ne humidity 74%
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 15, 2017 10:28 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Central Park and JFK now 3.7 degrees above normal for the month, LGA 4.8 above.

I revise what I said yesterday and say this month will definitely be a plus 5 for temperatures at every Upton reporting location.

Actually with the next two days near normal and the ten days afterward now looking to be 10-15 above normal we may be looking at a top 10 warmest January when all is said and done. That will probably depend on whether or not we get the hoped for pattern change before the month ends.

Agree completely

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 15, 2017 10:38 am

Warning: I may not be posting a bunch this week. This week's and early next week's weather will feature above normal temps with a couple of rain events. I'll be keeping an eye on the LR and providing updates in the LR thread. Can't wait until the 27th gets here...gotta wait it out for now.

Here's the 500mb upper air pattern next 7 to 10 days. Horrific.

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Post by billg315 Sun Jan 15, 2017 12:32 pm

37* and Sunny. Snow is slowly melting but hanging in there in some more shady spots.
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Post by Guest Sun Jan 15, 2017 3:56 pm

I may need to change my thinking. With 2 full months of winter left most areas on LI are between 18-20" of snow so far in 1 months time. It feels like A crap winter so far because it's been so warm and the snow has only stuck around for a total of 4 days but.......if we keep going at this rate it would result in 55-60" One can only hope.

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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 15, 2017 8:23 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I may need to change my thinking. With 2 full months of winter left most areas on LI are between 18-20" of snow so far in 1 months time. It feels like A crap winter so far because it's been so warm and the snow has only stuck around for a total of 4 days but.......if we keep going at this rate it would result in 55-60"   One can only hope.
When it's active weather is fun esp in winter and snow will fall with + departures. Some trend good some bad but its the tracking thats fun. I could care less about temps just bring s/w through and It will snow in the north east in heart of winter. Yea 30" + is def possible from jfk east. Very unlikely at cpk as totals will be underestimated. 1"yesterday 11" for season. Will take this any year with snowiest climo upcoming
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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 15, 2017 8:29 pm

38/30 split for cpk . 3* under forecast. Expect more the same this week as ridging in e/ canada should keep us in cooler maritime flow. Forecast for this week are down from 50's and 60's just a few days ago to 40' s.
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Post by sroc4 Sun Jan 15, 2017 8:37 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I may need to change my thinking. With 2 full months of winter left most areas on LI are between 18-20" of snow so far in 1 months time. It feels like A crap winter so far because it's been so warm and the snow has only stuck around for a total of 4 days but.......if we keep going at this rate it would result in 55-60"   One can only hope.

Atta boy Jimmy. Welcome to the glass half full

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 15, 2017 10:45 pm

Zr possibly tomorrow night into Tuesday morning

And for tomorroe.mornig watch out for black ic
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
512 PM EST Sun Jan 15 2017

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-
161400-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
512 PM EST Sun Jan 15 2017

...PATCHY BLACK ICE DEVELOPS TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...

SNOW HAS MELTED AND WITH TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION...THE
RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL REFREEZE. THIS WILL BE FIRST TO OCCUR IN
OUTLYING AREAS AND INTERIOR VALLEYS AND LAST TO OCCUR WITHIN NEW
YORK CITY. THESE PATCHES OF BLACK ICE WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY...CREATING SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON SURFACES. WHEN
TRAVELING...PROCEED WITH EXTRA CAUTION AND TRAVEL MORE SLOWLY.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 16, 2017 12:06 pm

NW BURBS will it trend colder for more wide spread ZR? If it does watchout then tonoght into manana morning

January 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Img_2059

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 16, 2017 10:05 pm

NW burbs 30 miles out be careful tomorrow morning ice ice baby!! Tenths of an inch but that can wreck havoc and cause delayed opening and closings of school

January 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Img_2060

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 17, 2017 7:50 am

Looks like periods of freezing rain is possible in northern sections of the region this morning. Moderate rain is expected to move in between 5-7pm.

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Post by oldtimer Tue Jan 17, 2017 1:09 pm

39* Down 2* Light rain I thought it was to get into the mid 40's at least Did warm front slow down?

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Post by algae888 Tue Jan 17, 2017 2:05 pm

37* with light rain Ugg what a horrible day if it doesn't snow I prefer fifties and sunny
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Post by algae888 Tue Jan 17, 2017 2:06 pm

@oldtimer wrote:39* Down 2*  Light rain  I thought it was to get into the mid 40's at least  Did warm front slow down?
Warmfront not going to make it expect steady temperatures with Rain the rest of today and tonight. Old-timer this is what happens when the winds are on Shore in a torch pattern
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