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January 7th-8th Wave 2 Snow Event

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Post by jake732 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:00 am

can this skid west a bit still and give me in the jersey shore a plowable snow?

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:03 am

jake732 wrote:can this skid west a bit still and give me in the jersey shore a plowable snow?

I very much doubt it.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:06 am

12z RGEM. Looks like a moderate hit for NYC, Eastern NJ, LI

January 7th-8th Wave 2 Snow Event - Page 20 I_nw_EST_2017010612_031

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Post by jake732 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:07 am

damn last night looked soooo good!!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:11 am

Wow just checking in ...looks like things went kapooie...Frank quick question..will you still be posting a snow map later in the day...just curious...Have a good one..you guys always are so dedicated!!

sorry was rushing did not see the scroll on the top...lol
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Post by Snow88 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:12 am

RGEM is better than the 6z run. The snow shield gets to about west of NYC with moderate snow in NYC with heavy snow in central to eastern LI and then eastern SNE.

2-3 inches for NYC with more towards central to eastern LI
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:17 am

Video to be posted soon.

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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:24 am

rb924119 wrote:Video to be posted soon.

Ohhh boy. The nail in the 2nd wave's coffin! Mad
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Post by jake732 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:34 am

cmon gfs lets see what u got!!
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Post by Snow88 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:36 am

12z GFS shifted west
http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs/current/12z/GFS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f30.png?1364096147
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:39 am

12z GFS - a coating to 2 inches for NYC and 3"+ for central and eastern LI

January 7th-8th Wave 2 Snow Event - Page 20 586fb9fceeb03

Looks like we're finding consensus this morning.

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Post by jake732 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:40 am

frank, what about jersey shore?
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:43 am

jake732 wrote:frank, what about jersey shore?

It's a C-2" for NYC, 2-4" for JS and central/eastern LI

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Post by jake732 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:45 am

YAY!! not
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:46 am

I forgot to include the isentropic maps, but my walkthrough of the temperature advection stuff essentially explains it anyway. Sorry for not getting this out yesterday like I wanted to, but I had issues. I hope you enjoy! Any questions or comments, let me know!!

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0Byod2Sk27yNYS2F3WU1ySk1TaGM

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Post by jake732 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:53 am

http://www.lakewood732.com/2017/01/friday-morning-update.html
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Post by Snow88 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:58 am

Need this to trend further west
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Post by sroc4 Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:59 am

In all likely hood totals on my snow map will need to be cut. Tired Mad

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:03 am

sroc4 wrote:In all likely hood totals on my snow map will need to be cut.  Tired Mad

LOL. Doc. at least you are getting something.Cp and I went from getting 1000 or so flakes on our properties down to maybe 10 or 15 now,LOL.Enjoy the snow!!!
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Post by hyde345 Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:08 am

docstox12 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:In all likely hood totals on my snow map will need to be cut.  Tired Mad

LOL. Doc. at least you are getting something.Cp and I went from getting 1000 or so flakes on our properties down to maybe 10 or 15 now,LOL.Enjoy the snow!!!

N and W screw job for sure.
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Post by Snow88 Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:20 am

12z CMC is more northwest with the precip

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/cmc/current/12z/CMC_MSLPThickQPF_na_f33.png?1364096147
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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:21 am

Now the CMC is west again. Looks like RGEM. Brick
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:22 am

We have consensus this morning. Will have a snow map later on.

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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:30 am

CAPE C(G)OD ...congrats eastern LI, too!

January 7th-8th Wave 2 Snow Event - Page 20 Img_1813
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Post by Snow88 Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:33 am

JB is still thinking 3-6 for NYC
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Post by Guest Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:40 am

C-2" Book it.

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Post by Guest Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:42 am

WSW for the Cape and Boston were just cut from 9-16" down to 6-12" for the cape and now 4-8" for Boston with a preference for the lower. We are done here on and off flurries tomorrow.

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