Re: March 2017 Observations & Discussions

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Mar 15, 2017 4:56 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:GFS is pretty warm Saturday

And NAM is colder, so who's right?

I put my money on the King king

NAM.

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Mar 15, 2017 4:58 pm

IT IS STILL SNOWING...CRAZY!! It is hard to see across the trees across the creek from my house...and winds currently nw 15mph

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Mar 15, 2017 5:28 pm

For anyone frustrated by yesterdays storm take a good look at the map below. While Alex was in Binghamton sucking all of the moisture out of the surrounding area with his heavy band sitting over him which resulted in 33.5 inches of snow, 40 miles to his west they received 3.5 inches. That my friends would drive me over the edge.

March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Snowfa11

March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Snowfa11

by SkiSeadooJoe Wed Mar 15, 2017 7:34 pm

It's finally snowing sidewards down here! March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Img_2012

by **amugs** Wed Mar 15, 2017 8:08 pm

Freehold Boro had almost 2" today1.7"
Storm for this weeeknd shaping up to be a light one for NENJ and NYC 1-3 type of event. LI and SW CT could see 2-4 maybe 3 -6 if things pan out right.
Need 50 miles hmm doesn't this sound familiar???

Crazy, my son's have been on our outdoor ice rink these past two days. Incredible. Tomorrow will make day three.

by **amugs** Wed Mar 15, 2017 8:59 pm

For tjis weeeknd storm Friday into sat.
GEFS wetter and more east
Jbs map pinkish 6" possibly more shades of blue from 2-5" as the shades get darker
March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Screen10

March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Screen10

by **Math23x7** Wed Mar 15, 2017 11:27 pm

Another cold night ahead.

FWIW, the hr 81 of the 0Z NAM:

March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Kingna10

by **aiannone** Wed Mar 15, 2017 11:34 pm

Posted these all in the Long Range thread by accident lol March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 17352011

March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 17352211

March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 17352511

March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 17353012

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Mar 15, 2017 11:38 pm

aiannone wrote:Posted these all in the Long Range thread by accident lol

Nice. Hope you top 150

by **skinsfan1177** Thu Mar 16, 2017 5:25 am

Hearing the euro and gfs are trending good for a clipper/norlun setup Friday/Saturday been trending farther and farther south. Does anyone have input on this?

by **docstox12** Thu Mar 16, 2017 5:43 am

15.1, 76%, 29.58 R

Was wondering if our resident stat guys CP or Math know how March has been running temp wise.I'm thinking it's got to be below normal.
NWS has me for 2 to 4 this Saturday.Let the good times roll.
Seeing it get colder mid week next after a brief rise into the lower 40's a few days.

by **amugs** Thu Mar 16, 2017 8:20 am

CP - NAM is leading the way AGAIN with this clipper system. It is going into retirement on the 21st - Booh Hooo. It's last hurrah!
6 z NAM
March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Sn10_acc.us_ne

6 Z GFS a bit more north
March 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Sn10_acc.us_ne

by **amugs** Thu Mar 16, 2017 8:22 am

Anyway Upton saying a 1-3" event for NNJ through LI.
Not excited about it.
If I get 2" more I will take it and run and this will give me 17.5" of white gold in 1 week - reminds me of teh 1st week March 2015!

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Mar 16, 2017 8:26 am

Started a thread for Saturday

by Guest Thu Mar 16, 2017 8:28 am

After today, the great melt will begin with daily highs in the upper 30s/lower 40s for the next 4 or 5 days.

by **algae888** Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:28 am

during the first 16 days of march 13 have been below normal with 8 of those days -10* or greater. the next 7 days are all forecast to be below normal. cpk is 4.2* below normal so far this month so it looks like the streak of warmer than normal months will be broken..

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Mar 17, 2017 1:54 pm

by **docstox12** Fri Mar 17, 2017 2:08 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I'm tracking how quickly or not the mid to late March climate will melt the current snow pack. I picked a flat spot that has no sun until the afternoon.

I ended the evening on Tuesday the 14th with a snow pack of 21 inches.

By Wednesday morning even with frigid overnight temps near 10 the compression had brought it down to 19.5 inches.

With the high of 22 on Wednesday, little sun and snow showers throughout the day the snow pack Thursday morning was 18.8, probably mostly compression more than anything.

After a high of 35 yesterday the snow pack this morning (Friday) was 17.5 inches.

It's standing up pretty well considering the time of year and sun angle. I'm hoping to enter April with the lawn at least still covered. That's my kind of March.

I'll be tracking this every day so people that like to watch paint dry can also follow this. I find it interesting at least, which says a lot about me.

Hey, CP, if you enjoy watching things melt, go to 3:30 on this clip for something a little more interesting!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjuLZwlDxh8

Nice, sunny, day.Looking forward to tomorrows snow!!!

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Mar 17, 2017 2:16 pm

docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I'm tracking how quickly or not the mid to late March climate will melt the current snow pack. I picked a flat spot that has no sun until the afternoon.

I ended the evening on Tuesday the 14th with a snow pack of 21 inches.

By Wednesday morning even with frigid overnight temps near 10 the compression had brought it down to 19.5 inches.

With the high of 22 on Wednesday, little sun and snow showers throughout the day the snow pack Thursday morning was 18.8, probably mostly compression more than anything.

After a high of 35 yesterday the snow pack this morning (Friday) was 17.5 inches.

It's standing up pretty well considering the time of year and sun angle. I'm hoping to enter April with the lawn at least still covered. That's my kind of March.

I'll be tracking this every day so people that like to watch paint dry can also follow this. I find it interesting at least, which says a lot about me.

Hey, CP, if you enjoy watching things melt, go to 3:30 on this clip for something a little more interesting!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjuLZwlDxh8

Classic Doc. I forgot the original thing melted like the wicked witch of the west. I can't believe when I watched those movies on PIX 11 as a little kid in the late 60s they actually scared me. SO tame to what's out there now.

by **docstox12** Fri Mar 17, 2017 2:29 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I'm tracking how quickly or not the mid to late March climate will melt the current snow pack. I picked a flat spot that has no sun until the afternoon.

I ended the evening on Tuesday the 14th with a snow pack of 21 inches.

By Wednesday morning even with frigid overnight temps near 10 the compression had brought it down to 19.5 inches.

With the high of 22 on Wednesday, little sun and snow showers throughout the day the snow pack Thursday morning was 18.8, probably mostly compression more than anything.

After a high of 35 yesterday the snow pack this morning (Friday) was 17.5 inches.

It's standing up pretty well considering the time of year and sun angle. I'm hoping to enter April with the lawn at least still covered. That's my kind of March.

I'll be tracking this every day so people that like to watch paint dry can also follow this. I find it interesting at least, which says a lot about me.

Hey, CP, if you enjoy watching things melt, go to 3:30 on this clip for something a little more interesting!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjuLZwlDxh8

Classic Doc. I forgot the original thing melted like the wicked witch of the west. I can't believe when I watched those movies on PIX 11 as a little kid in the late 60s they actually scared me. SO tame to what's out there now.

CP, when I saw that in the late 50's the first time, I couldn't sleep for a few nites I was scared s__tless,lol.NO special effects, just great acting!This one, War of the Worlds 1953 and Forbidden Planet are top shelf 1950's sci fi.

Sorry guys should be in general banter.

by **docstox12** Sat Mar 18, 2017 6:39 am

15.8, 86%, 29.91 F

NWS has me now 2 inches down from yesterday 3 to 5.Radar looks ragged, two separate pieces of energy.Is this fizzling out? We will see.

by **docstox12** Sun Mar 19, 2017 7:42 am

29.1, 75%, 29.92 F

Bust yesterday, not even a coating.Looks like a warm up but then a drop into the 30's late week.Looks too warm on NWS for that crazy snow map the other day.Highs in 40's Saturday and 55 on Sunday.Don't see how a big snowstorm is possible with that.

by **Radz** Sun Mar 19, 2017 9:25 am

disappointed by lack of snow yesterday, up to 37.8° already - that March sun will continue to do a number on the dwindling snowpack...

by **docstox12** Sun Mar 19, 2017 9:33 am

Yep, 39.2 already here, at the high NWS said the day would bring.It's going to be higher than that for sure.Maybe about 14 inches left of the 21 that fell by my eye.Was hoping for a 4 inch boost yesterday but that busted out.Looking at the long range right now, does not look good for any more significant snow but we will see.

by **RJB8525** Sun Mar 19, 2017 10:11 am

34* here definitely nothing to brag about winter wise..

by **dkodgis** Sun Mar 19, 2017 7:38 pm

I got beat up moving the snow around. It was a heck of a storm. But I think March is over and out. I bet we get some rain by the weekend and that will melt it all with unfortunate flooding. Remember in about eight weeks, the leaf canopy will be out. The cold is easing and today I saw 43 with lots of sun. I was chased out of the house for having the wood stove on. Can't even have the heat on because the house is so warm. Windows were open today.

by **Dtone** Sun Mar 19, 2017 9:35 pm

The snow..really ice and sleet boulders, are really melting. I noticed large patches of grass visible. It is incredibly wet, that snow pack has huge moisture content. I like snow but I'm sick of the lost lanes of traffic, congestion and impossible parking.

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