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Long Range Thread 14.0

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:19 pm

@billg315 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:There is some convective feedback on the models. That is when you know this storm is very powerful. Many branches of energy getting involved. If it all came together, it's a Frankzilla. But I think we're looking at a strong Godzilla here. Again, will have a blog later tonight. Like 10pm.
Is that why it looks like the heaviest precip is offshore? I am not go get greedy and believe it would be a frankzilla but is there stilla a decent change this can go roid? And your not saying its impossible to become a frankzilla? I can't wait to read your writeup tonight.  Just one question i'd like for you to answer now is I have a mandatory meeting at 3pm Tues, would you recommend I try to move it to Monday, because I probably can.

Why not? We know the weather is fine for Monday. There is a chance of a major storm paralyzing the region Tuesday. And even if it "misses" we probably still get some inclement weather. Better safe than sorry.
Yep all set no issue to go Monday, cannot risk missing this appointment. I certainly hope Monday will be clear. then bring it on Tues!
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Post by jake732 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:20 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@jake732 wrote:can anyone explain y cnj on south on the euro has sooo much less snow then gfs and cmc?? almost a stupid storm for u according to euro

Watching 500mb frame by frame starting from 108 it appears the southern two bundles of energy phase whereas the polar energy is a tad late to the party. Because of this the main surface reflection is east of the BM.

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_4510
Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_4511

SURE HOPW TO HELL THAT ISNT THE CASE!!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:22 pm

syosnow94 wrote:What's a wet dream?  

Should I get the milk and bread?
I never in my life understood milk and bread..what are we in prison how bout some good cold cuts, not too much in case lose power chips dip etc beer duh lol

Syo if you dont know what a wet dream is I am sorry but your past the age of education LMAO,
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:24 pm

I moved my physical therapy appt to Monday from Tuesday already. They looked at me like I was crazy. Talking to Joe Cioffi last night he is trying to be patient and wait until tomorrow night. He's a "one at a time" kinda guy. The way this thing is going he might just jump on it tonight!

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:24 pm

@jake732 wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@jake732 wrote:can anyone explain y cnj on south on the euro has sooo much less snow then gfs and cmc?? almost a stupid storm for u according to euro

Watching 500mb frame by frame starting from 108 it appears the southern two bundles of energy phase whereas the polar energy is a tad late to the party. Because of this the main surface reflection is east of the BM.

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_4510
Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_4511

SURE HOPW TO HELL THAT ISNT THE CASE!!
How close is the triple phase? I think this could happen or at least partially, we are taking baby step towards a historic maybe BECS storm here peeps, as mugs would say our main hype man. I think it can be closer to the coast. Now if it gets too close would be have issues with R/S line?
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Post by amugs Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:24 pm

HOLY MOTHER OF MERCY EPS!!!!!!!!!!!!

IT IS RIODZILLA TO FRANKSZILLAAAAA _ JESUS H IT CRAWLS UP THE COAST AND POUNDS US - PRECIP FIELD RUNS FROM NY TO VA/NC BORDER AS HEAVY PRECIP!!

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 58c1ab5988741

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Post by Guest Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:26 pm

Ohhhhh. A nocturnal emission. Got it Jman. (Wink wink)

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:26 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:I moved my physical therapy appt to Monday from Tuesday already. They looked at me like I was crazy. Talking to Joe Cioffi last night he is trying to be patient and wait until tomorrow night. He's a "one at a time" kinda guy. The way this thing is going he might just jump on it tonight!
Is he good Janet, not very familiar with him, you know him personally? I think it is smart to wait till this storm tomorrow passes but as was stated earlier this storm could actually HELP the tuesday storm, smart move moving ur appt. too, yeah they didnt say anything but sounded like she thought i was a bit nutty LOL
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Post by amugs Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:27 pm

MEAN - I HAVE NEVER SEENA MEAN ON A ENDS EVER LIKE THIS BEFORE - WOOT WOOT!! 1.5 -2" for gods sake and its a meannnnnnnnnnnn!

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 IMG_0726.thumb.PNG.891efc8942cc266ccf4a2e5ceec8c2bd

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:28 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Ohhhhh. A nocturnal emission. Got it Jman. (Wink wink)
Oh lordy are you outta the loop, ok lets be appropriate now I do not wanna get in trouble...

mugs, snow maps for EPS? I really do not want to whip out my cc to get back on wxbell but I am sooo tempted LOL
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Post by amugs Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:28 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@jake732 wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@jake732 wrote:can anyone explain y cnj on south on the euro has sooo much less snow then gfs and cmc?? almost a stupid storm for u according to euro

Watching 500mb frame by frame starting from 108 it appears the southern two bundles of energy phase whereas the polar energy is a tad late to the party. Because of this the main surface reflection is east of the BM.

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_4510
Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_4511

SURE HOPW TO HELL THAT ISNT THE CASE!!
How close is the triple phase? I think this could happen or at least partially, we are taking baby step towards a historic maybe BECS storm here peeps, as mugs would say our main hype man.  I think it can be closer to the coast.  Now if it gets too close would be have issues with R/S line?

Jman this is hair away my man a P hair away - my god! Superstorm 93 was a three some phaser

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:29 pm

@amugs wrote:MEAN - I HAVE NEVER SEENA MEAN ON A ENDS EVER LIKE THIS BEFORE - WOOT WOOT!! 1.5 -2" for gods sake and its a meannnnnnnnnnnn!

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 IMG_0726.thumb.PNG.891efc8942cc266ccf4a2e5ceec8c2bd
WOW and the mean is usually on the lower end whats the control!! That includes tomorrow or no?
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:37 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Dunnzoo wrote:I moved my physical therapy appt to Monday from Tuesday already. They looked at me like I was crazy. Talking to Joe Cioffi last night he is trying to be patient and wait until tomorrow night. He's a "one at a time" kinda guy. The way this thing is going he might just jump on it tonight!
Is he good Janet, not very familiar with him, you know him personally?  I think it is smart to wait till this storm tomorrow passes but as was stated earlier this storm could actually HELP the tuesday storm, smart move moving ur appt. too, yeah they didnt say anything but sounded like she thought i was a bit nutty LOL


Joe works for FIOS and sometimes subs on Pix 11. Nice guy, search him on youtube, he posts great videos without the hype. I have chatted online with him a few times, skyped with him last night with a weather group I belong to.

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by mikeypizano Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:37 pm

Man maybe I should get more gas, about 7 gal may not be enough for this storm!
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:46 pm

Check the low center positions on the EURO Ensembles.

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 58c1aef9dbf58_Low2.thumb.png.c2d4b1349583bdda641f37cd6a8abac5

MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:51 pm

Now THAT's a MEAN mean... Laughing

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_3414
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Post by RJB8525 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:51 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Check the low center positions on the EURO Ensembles.

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 58c1aef9dbf58_Low2.thumb.png.c2d4b1349583bdda641f37cd6a8abac5

MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

OFFICIALLY EXCITED NOW
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:55 pm

@RJB8525 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Check the low center positions on the EURO Ensembles.

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 58c1aef9dbf58_Low2.thumb.png.c2d4b1349583bdda641f37cd6a8abac5

MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

OFFICIALLY EXCITED NOW
Those ALL mostly lean inside BM, we don't I am guessing want the ones right over the area though, but wow oh wow. Whats the lowest pressure in there too small to see, I thought you said u didnt have wxbell, how u get that image sneaky LOL
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:56 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Now THAT's a MEAN mean... Laughing

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_3414
I can't imagine the control, can you post the individual ensemble members?
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:58 pm

I'm losing my sh*t over here. Best signal we've had in YEARS, 4-5 days out from an event...

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Img_3415
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Post by mikeypizano Thu Mar 09, 2017 2:58 pm

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Euro_m10

What comes after MADDONE?!
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Post by amugs Thu Mar 09, 2017 3:00 pm

MEAN HOLY CRAP!!

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 3 Snowfall_total_accum_10to1_NECONUS_hr162.thumb.png.3d712016cd91c1d576bf80c3baf7ee9c

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 Thu Mar 09, 2017 3:05 pm

Ok. I'm breaking my rule as it is more than 72 hours out, but when I get an 18 point Verdana font bold "MADONNE" with 17 exclamation points from Frank I am officially aroused. As in aroused from my state of calm. Not in any other sense. Presently.
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Post by mikeypizano Thu Mar 09, 2017 3:06 pm

@billg315 wrote:Ok. I'm breaking my rule as it is more than 72 hours out, but when I get an 18 point Verdana font bold "MADONNE" with 17 exclamation points from Frank I am officially aroused. As in aroused from my state of calm. Not in any other sense. Presently.

The Euro aint the only thing with 12" huh?
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Mar 09, 2017 3:11 pm

facepalm

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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