Long Range Thread 14.0
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
When was the last time I heard any of you mention even the possibility of a BECS, never maybe the big letdown of Juno, but my excitment is growing, but I am still being cautious till we are around sat. That is an amazing setup and I wonder how the blizzard of 1993 looked at that hour out, 3 pieces? Hopefully it CAN all come together to give us all a wet dream snowstorm. LOL we track as you say!sroc4 wrote:Just look at this set up! Three bundles of energy from three branches of the Jet. Polar, PAC, STJ. If these come together just right, like Frank said Frankzilla potential, AKA BECS.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Yep all set no issue to go Monday, cannot risk missing this appointment. I certainly hope Monday will be clear. then bring it on Tues!billg315 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Is that why it looks like the heaviest precip is offshore? I am not go get greedy and believe it would be a frankzilla but is there stilla a decent change this can go roid? And your not saying its impossible to become a frankzilla? I can't wait to read your writeup tonight. Just one question i'd like for you to answer now is I have a mandatory meeting at 3pm Tues, would you recommend I try to move it to Monday, because I probably can.Frank_Wx wrote:There is some convective feedback on the models. That is when you know this storm is very powerful. Many branches of energy getting involved. If it all came together, it's a Frankzilla. But I think we're looking at a strong Godzilla here. Again, will have a blog later tonight. Like 10pm.
Why not? We know the weather is fine for Monday. There is a chance of a major storm paralyzing the region Tuesday. And even if it "misses" we probably still get some inclement weather. Better safe than sorry.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
sroc4 wrote:jake732 wrote:can anyone explain y cnj on south on the euro has sooo much less snow then gfs and cmc?? almost a stupid storm for u according to euro
Watching 500mb frame by frame starting from 108 it appears the southern two bundles of energy phase whereas the polar energy is a tad late to the party. Because of this the main surface reflection is east of the BM.
SURE HOPW TO HELL THAT ISNT THE CASE!!
Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
I never in my life understood milk and bread..what are we in prison how bout some good cold cuts, not too much in case lose power chips dip etc beer duh lolsyosnow94 wrote:What's a wet dream?
Should I get the milk and bread?
Syo if you dont know what a wet dream is I am sorry but your past the age of education LMAO,
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
I moved my physical therapy appt to Monday from Tuesday already. They looked at me like I was crazy. Talking to Joe Cioffi last night he is trying to be patient and wait until tomorrow night. He's a "one at a time" kinda guy. The way this thing is going he might just jump on it tonight!
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
How close is the triple phase? I think this could happen or at least partially, we are taking baby step towards a historic maybe BECS storm here peeps, as mugs would say our main hype man. I think it can be closer to the coast. Now if it gets too close would be have issues with R/S line?jake732 wrote:sroc4 wrote:jake732 wrote:can anyone explain y cnj on south on the euro has sooo much less snow then gfs and cmc?? almost a stupid storm for u according to euro
Watching 500mb frame by frame starting from 108 it appears the southern two bundles of energy phase whereas the polar energy is a tad late to the party. Because of this the main surface reflection is east of the BM.
SURE HOPW TO HELL THAT ISNT THE CASE!!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
HOLY MOTHER OF MERCY EPS!!!!!!!!!!!!
IT IS RIODZILLA TO FRANKSZILLAAAAA _ JESUS H IT CRAWLS UP THE COAST AND POUNDS US - PRECIP FIELD RUNS FROM NY TO VA/NC BORDER AS HEAVY PRECIP!!

IT IS RIODZILLA TO FRANKSZILLAAAAA _ JESUS H IT CRAWLS UP THE COAST AND POUNDS US - PRECIP FIELD RUNS FROM NY TO VA/NC BORDER AS HEAVY PRECIP!!

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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Is he good Janet, not very familiar with him, you know him personally? I think it is smart to wait till this storm tomorrow passes but as was stated earlier this storm could actually HELP the tuesday storm, smart move moving ur appt. too, yeah they didnt say anything but sounded like she thought i was a bit nutty LOLDunnzoo wrote:I moved my physical therapy appt to Monday from Tuesday already. They looked at me like I was crazy. Talking to Joe Cioffi last night he is trying to be patient and wait until tomorrow night. He's a "one at a time" kinda guy. The way this thing is going he might just jump on it tonight!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
MEAN - I HAVE NEVER SEENA MEAN ON A ENDS EVER LIKE THIS BEFORE - WOOT WOOT!! 1.5 -2" for gods sake and its a meannnnnnnnnnnn!

_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Oh lordy are you outta the loop, ok lets be appropriate now I do not wanna get in trouble...syosnow94 wrote:Ohhhhh. A nocturnal emission. Got it Jman. (Wink wink)
mugs, snow maps for EPS? I really do not want to whip out my cc to get back on wxbell but I am sooo tempted LOL
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
jmanley32 wrote:How close is the triple phase? I think this could happen or at least partially, we are taking baby step towards a historic maybe BECS storm here peeps, as mugs would say our main hype man. I think it can be closer to the coast. Now if it gets too close would be have issues with R/S line?jake732 wrote:sroc4 wrote:jake732 wrote:can anyone explain y cnj on south on the euro has sooo much less snow then gfs and cmc?? almost a stupid storm for u according to euro
Watching 500mb frame by frame starting from 108 it appears the southern two bundles of energy phase whereas the polar energy is a tad late to the party. Because of this the main surface reflection is east of the BM.
SURE HOPW TO HELL THAT ISNT THE CASE!!
Jman this is hair away my man a P hair away - my god! Superstorm 93 was a three some phaser
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
WOW and the mean is usually on the lower end whats the control!! That includes tomorrow or no?amugs wrote:MEAN - I HAVE NEVER SEENA MEAN ON A ENDS EVER LIKE THIS BEFORE - WOOT WOOT!! 1.5 -2" for gods sake and its a meannnnnnnnnnnn!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
jmanley32 wrote:Is he good Janet, not very familiar with him, you know him personally? I think it is smart to wait till this storm tomorrow passes but as was stated earlier this storm could actually HELP the tuesday storm, smart move moving ur appt. too, yeah they didnt say anything but sounded like she thought i was a bit nutty LOLDunnzoo wrote:I moved my physical therapy appt to Monday from Tuesday already. They looked at me like I was crazy. Talking to Joe Cioffi last night he is trying to be patient and wait until tomorrow night. He's a "one at a time" kinda guy. The way this thing is going he might just jump on it tonight!
Joe works for FIOS and sometimes subs on Pix 11. Nice guy, search him on youtube, he posts great videos without the hype. I have chatted online with him a few times, skyped with him last night with a weather group I belong to.
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Man maybe I should get more gas, about 7 gal may not be enough for this storm!
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Check the low center positions on the EURO Ensembles.

MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Now THAT's a MEAN mean...



SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Frank_Wx wrote:Check the low center positions on the EURO Ensembles.
MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
OFFICIALLY EXCITED NOW
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Those ALL mostly lean inside BM, we don't I am guessing want the ones right over the area though, but wow oh wow. Whats the lowest pressure in there too small to see, I thought you said u didnt have wxbell, how u get that image sneaky LOLRJB8525 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:Check the low center positions on the EURO Ensembles.
MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
OFFICIALLY EXCITED NOW
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
I can't imagine the control, can you post the individual ensemble members?SoulSingMG wrote:Now THAT's a MEAN mean...![]()
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
I'm losing my sh*t over here. Best signal we've had in YEARS, 4-5 days out from an event...


SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0

What comes after MADDONE?!
mikeypizano- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
MEAN HOLY CRAP!!


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Ok. I'm breaking my rule as it is more than 72 hours out, but when I get an 18 point Verdana font bold "MADONNE" with 17 exclamation points from Frank I am officially aroused. As in aroused from my state of calm. Not in any other sense. Presently.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
billg315 wrote:Ok. I'm breaking my rule as it is more than 72 hours out, but when I get an 18 point Verdana font bold "MADONNE" with 17 exclamation points from Frank I am officially aroused. As in aroused from my state of calm. Not in any other sense. Presently.
The Euro aint the only thing with 12" huh?
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0

_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
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