BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th

mikeypizano wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

Oy, watch this end up neing for PA and upstate and its a raging rain noreaster, hopefully the NAM is dead wrong here.

Not me, I hope its right! Maybe I won't get screwed like the blizzard last year did to me!

Yeah this run will def be good for well inland areas, dunno exactly how it would look extrapolated out, maybe a better pro on that can weigh in? Stinks we wont have frank till Sunday. No offense sroc rb etc, you guys are gr8 too.

I am confused nick Gregory was saying this is going to more snow event then rain even to the coast

I don't think the nam is in range yet

TheAresian wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:I decided. I am marrying the NAM. Will propose tonight. Wish me well.

Does the 0z run mean the wedding is off?

We wont know cuz if you look back Frank is booked solid through sunday morning.

frank 638 wrote:I am confused nick Gregory was saying this is going to more snow event then rain even to the coast

I think we are worrying for nothing the NAM really is no good at hr 84 and we do not see exactly where it goes from here. Lets just wait and see sorry for bantering a bit here.

I'd be worried if the gfs shows something similar

Isn't the NAM banned? Lol

No Frank actually has liked the NAm past year or so, and it has been doing well, but I dunno at hr 84, and thats surface remember upper levels more important.

Ok, I am confused here. If the GFS and NAM show same thing almost, why is the NAM bad at hr 84?

jrollins628 wrote:I'd be worried if the gfs shows something similar

We will know soon enough and do not be surprised if the GFS still shows a coastal hugger, again even so we could still see a decent snow, with rain at some point.

Don't mistake my oat. Not model hugging here and yes the NAM is only good inside iof 80 hours but don't like seeing the LP that close to the coast

Gregory thinks no mixing and full blown snow storm

Do u think we see blizzard watch or winter storm watches go up anytime soon or is it to early .but with my guess we will see a blizzard watch I hope

Yes I was watching Gregory he did sat no mixing and he did nail the blizzard of 96

syosnow94 wrote:Not a big expert on models here but the fact that the GFS and now possibly the NAM (which has been hot this winter) both being coastal huggers is very disconcerting

Not at all

Snow88 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:Not a big expert on models here but the fact that the GFS and now possibly the NAM (which has been hot this winter) both being coastal huggers is very disconcerting

Not at all

why do you say its not disconcerting?

Here we go GFS is starting.

The silence here suggests to me either everyone is out having fun and waiting to see tomorrow or people are scared this isnt go work out.

Pay just checking in and stop the NAM is out of its range Para Nam is golden and shows exactly dynamically what a saytem should do with the convection.
GFS will jump another 50 miles west but still chase the convection to its west. 
The H5 set up on Para Nam is beautiful. 
Srefs and nmbs arms are awesome tjis far out ti be in congruence is almost unheard of.
It's coming in a big way and no negative worry wart stuff. See you all in the morning to go over 0z and 6z runs.
Night all.

Do we need to put the entire forum on suicide watch?!

jmanley32 wrote:The silence here suggests to me either everyone is out having fun and waiting to see tomorrow or people are scared this isnt go work out.

I think having fun lol

frank 638 wrote:Do u think we see blizzard watch or winter storm watches  go up anytime soon or is it to early .but with my guess we will see a blizzard watch I hope

Way to early, the earliest they would do that is Sunday, more likely the 4am update Monday. To much uncertainty still to even discuss that. A Blizzard warning is based on visibilties and wind speeds not snow amounts like many people think.

GFS is east! Not by alot but hr 72 its east.

mikeypizano wrote:Do we need to put the entire forum on suicide watch?!

Maybe just people in B oston that saw 38 inches on the Euro and now the GFS and NAM bringing them a drenching rain instead. Personally I'm done model watching till tomorrow night, you can drive yourself insane with the variations from model to model and run to run.

Why is everyone not talking about how the euro was a big hit. Is that a bad model now?

Actually the center is well west of 18z but precip seems be about the same.

track17 wrote:Why is everyone not talking about how the euro was a big hit. Is that a bad model now?

We all talked about the euro this afternoon. look back several pages.