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March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

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Snow88
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Post by crippo84 Sat Mar 18, 2017 9:47 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:THE NAM went from KING to peasant on this one. Those maps showing 12.6 inches over NYC yesterday were amusing though.

Lately (like over the past couple years) it seems like the models have been like Lucy picking up the football just as Charlie Brown is about to kick it with many of these storms. Gotta be very frustrating for meteorologists.

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Post by amugs Sat Mar 18, 2017 9:59 am

The NAM as we once knew it is officially being put out to pasture on the 21st and the new nam the Para is taking over. Hopefully it performs better than the this NAM. Time will tell.
CP LOL with the above post

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Post by RJB8525 Sat Mar 18, 2017 10:17 am

Mt Holly is calling for 3-6 but they fine tuned it. Mostly on 1000 ft elevations and 1-3 in the valley

Also snow will instant melt on ground contact until night fall

To me this means getting squat lol
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 18, 2017 10:41 am

Uptons latest

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 6 StormTotalSnowWeb

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by rb924119 Sat Mar 18, 2017 11:20 am

It shouldn't come as too large of a surprise that the models went from "hero" to "zero" with this particular event. These setups are probably some of, if not THE, hardest events to predict because of their small scale and intricacy. Disappointing, for sure, though.

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Post by Taffy Sat Mar 18, 2017 12:32 pm

I had snow for about a hot minute and like Kaiser Soze.....whoosh, it was gone.
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Post by Vinnydula Sat Mar 18, 2017 2:38 pm

Not much on the radar but it's been snowing light for an hour
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Post by Grselig Sat Mar 18, 2017 3:34 pm

light snow here too. Last gasps of winter?
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Mar 18, 2017 3:42 pm

Pretty decent snow falling now, had a tiny bit of a mix earlier. 35*

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 18, 2017 3:53 pm

In Park ridge NJ today and light to moderate snow here the last hour.

Doc if you're around today what's going on by us?
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Mar 18, 2017 3:56 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:In Park ridge NJ today and light to moderate snow here the last hour.

Doc if you're around today what's going on by us?

You're like 5 minutes from me and mugsy! Yes, nice snow band moving through....

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Math23x7 Sat Mar 18, 2017 3:58 pm

rain here Mad

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Post by amugs Sat Mar 18, 2017 4:01 pm

Nice moderate snow band here. CP stop by if u are around. Can have some of my homemade Bailey's and hot cocoa my man.

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Guest Sat Mar 18, 2017 4:05 pm

I've been on this forum 4 years and I LOVE IT!!! However every winter the models have gotten worse and worse.  the accuracy is inexcusable.  How about we say something like SNOW?  What?  South and east of I95 in March??  Snow in March.  Ha Ha very funny.  THAT IS AN ACCURATE FORECAST.  F#@% the models.  How can a model go from 12.6" to 0 IMBY in 6 hours and be considered reliable.  It's all guesswork.  God Bless America that in 2017 this is the best we can do. shout shout shout shout

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Mar 18, 2017 4:07 pm

amugs wrote:Nice moderate snow band here. CP stop by if u are around. Can have some of my homemade Bailey's and hot cocoa my man.


party At mug's place!

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 18, 2017 4:36 pm

amugs wrote:Nice moderate snow band here. CP stop by if u are around. Can have some of my homemade Bailey's and hot cocoa my man.

Well mugs I'd love too but can't today unfortunately. Now that I know how close you are let's get the founding fathers plus Janet together and have a lunch or dinner down here. It can be an OTI plus one dinner.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 18, 2017 6:18 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
amugs wrote:Nice moderate snow band here. CP stop by if u are around. Can have some of my homemade Bailey's and hot cocoa my man.

Well mugs I'd love too but can't today unfortunately. Now that I know how close you are let's get the founding fathers plus Janet together and have a lunch or dinner down here. It can be an OTI plus one dinner.

CP, sounds great on that OTI shindig!! I'm in.

Nothing much up here today.A few periods of light to moderate snow that didn't stick due to above freezing temps.Now 32.1, very light snow.Radar very disorganized, probably just a dusting if anything.
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 18, 2017 9:20 pm

CP tat would be awesome!! 
Kinchleys for lunch.
I had my homemade Bailey's all ready for you today!!
It literally snowed light to moderate to heavy fir a time from about 2pm and still niw. IF the BL surface temp was ever at freezing today wed have at least two inches.
Some on the snoepack.here.
Ready to lock this up come the am

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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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