March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
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Snow88
oldtimer
aiannone
SENJsnowman
EnyapWeather
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docstox12
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29 posters
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
What!? No wayalgae888 wrote:All of the Nam models show three to six inches of snow for the tri-state area with the 3K and am being the most bullish of six to 10. The heaviest precip comes late Saturday evening into early Sunday morning
Edit the 3K NAM actually stalls the system east of Long Island and it snows till Midday Sunday 8 - 14 inches especially for Long Island
EnyapWeather- Posts : 57
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Rgem is 3 to 5 inches of snow for the area surprisingly Long Island is not in that I think that's wrong
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Frank, I was actually thinking last night what I would put as my snow map. This is actually pretty close to my thinking, I actually like it.
On a side note, how would it feel if the norlun trough set up over Cranford this weekend while you were in Dallas where it is set to get in the low 80s this weekend? I can only imagine the pain CP would feel if during the winter if he had to make a trip down south and during it, Orange County experienced a Frankzilla.
On a side note, how would it feel if the norlun trough set up over Cranford this weekend while you were in Dallas where it is set to get in the low 80s this weekend? I can only imagine the pain CP would feel if during the winter if he had to make a trip down south and during it, Orange County experienced a Frankzilla.
Math23x7- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Math23x7 wrote:Frank, I was actually thinking last night what I would put as my snow map. This is actually pretty close to my thinking, I actually like it.
On a side note, how would it feel if the norlun trough set up over Cranford this weekend while you were in Dallas where it is set to get in the low 80s this weekend? I can only imagine the pain CP would feel if during the winter if he had to make a trip down south and during it, Orange County experienced a Frankzilla.
Looking like an interesting snow event for tomorrow shaping up! NWS still saying 3 to 6 for me so rb and Frank are spot on with their maps.Hope the NJ Shore and LI gang gets blasted with this.Mike, if that happened to CP he would be in the OTI Sanitarium at least one year,LOL.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
If all the heaviest precip falls during the day on Saturday, I would not count on more than 1-2 in of mostly slush. The sun is nearing the equator on its trip back north and it is fairly strong right now. Hilly areas of NW NJ and the lower Hudson Valley might see 2 to 4 in. Surface temps are marginal at best during the day on sat with above freezing temps across NY Metro and LI.
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
docstox12 wrote:Math23x7 wrote:Frank, I was actually thinking last night what I would put as my snow map. This is actually pretty close to my thinking, I actually like it.
On a side note, how would it feel if the norlun trough set up over Cranford this weekend while you were in Dallas where it is set to get in the low 80s this weekend? I can only imagine the pain CP would feel if during the winter if he had to make a trip down south and during it, Orange County experienced a Frankzilla.
Looking like an interesting snow event for tomorrow shaping up! NWS still saying 3 to 6 for me so rb and Frank are spot on with their maps.Hope the NJ Shore and LI gang gets blasted with this.Mike, if that happened to CP he would be in the OTI Sanitarium at least one year,LOL.
Thank Docs but I'm not expecting much here than plain rain temps are marginal for me
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Rgem days HELLO
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Wow this is looking very interestimg. Been very busy and will b so but I'll keep check back in. Won't the snow already on the ground allow it to accumulate despite warmer surface temps?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
docstox12 wrote:Hope the NJ Shore and LI gang gets blasted with this.
Appreciate the thought Doc, but the Shore especially is forecast to be WAY over temp for this. Oh well...there's always next winter!
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
joe cioffi has nyc and long island for 3 to 6 inches and west of nyc to northern nj will see 2 to 4 inches
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
frank 638 wrote:joe cioffi has nyc and long island for 3 to 6 inches and west of nyc to northern nj will see 2 to 4 inches
That's a s good a guess as any. I'm doubtful the city sees that much with temps marginal for the event but I'm hoping they get it.
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:frank 638 wrote:joe cioffi has nyc and long island for 3 to 6 inches and west of nyc to northern nj will see 2 to 4 inches
That's a s good a guess as any. I'm doubtful the city sees that much with temps marginal for the event but I'm hoping they get it.
In NYC, we won't get the snow even if we get the snow. Why? Conservancy.
Math23x7- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Whats going on with the Euro, seems to be delayed.
mmanisca- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
SREFs not as impressive as before for this weekend...
Math23x7- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem,
and Easton
346 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2017
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY...
The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for a wintry mix of precipitation, which is in
effect from 6 AM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday.
* LOCATIONS...Berks County, the southern Poconos, the Lehigh
Valley, and adjacent northwest New Jersey.
* HAZARD TYPES...Snow and light freezing rain.
* ACCUMULATIONS...Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches, along with
around a trace to a tenth of an inch of ice. The highest
accumulations of snow and ice are expected in the higher
elevations.
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem,
and Easton
346 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2017
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY...
The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for a wintry mix of precipitation, which is in
effect from 6 AM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday.
* LOCATIONS...Berks County, the southern Poconos, the Lehigh
Valley, and adjacent northwest New Jersey.
* HAZARD TYPES...Snow and light freezing rain.
* ACCUMULATIONS...Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches, along with
around a trace to a tenth of an inch of ice. The highest
accumulations of snow and ice are expected in the higher
elevations.
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
KING NAM about to obliterate NYC
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
aiannone wrote:KING NAM about to obliterate NYC
No way. You have maps?
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Lee thinks most of LI gets 4+
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
wow that's gotta b 6?aiannone wrote:
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Oh boy NAM and PARA dropping da hammer here can u say SECS??. At a STEM competition all day and now hacing a St. Padds party with 20 plus so not on Al lot at all tonight.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Well the NAM is the KING. This would be fun. Extend the snow pack into April.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Woot woot
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
Wow nam runs give me 6 to 10nwha!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
There is a 500mb lp imbeded into the broader 500mb lp, rare burst so has this winter been right??
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event
amugs wrote:Oh boy NAM and PARA dropping da hammer here can u say SECS??. At a STEM competition all day and now hacing a St. Padds party with 20 plus so not on Al lot at all tonight.
little margin for error there especially still 24 hours out but this would be hysterical for NYC if it verified. It would top the blizzard for them.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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