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March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

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Snow88
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Post by Math23x7 Fri Mar 17, 2017 12:19 pm

Frank, I was actually thinking last night what I would put as my snow map. This is actually pretty close to my thinking, I actually like it.

On a side note, how would it feel if the norlun trough set up over Cranford this weekend while you were in Dallas where it is set to get in the low 80s this weekend? I can only imagine the pain CP would feel if during the winter if he had to make a trip down south and during it, Orange County experienced a Frankzilla. Razz

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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 17, 2017 12:33 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:Frank, I was actually thinking last night what I would put as my snow map.  This is actually pretty close to my thinking, I actually like it.

On a side note, how would it feel if the norlun trough set up over Cranford this weekend while you were in Dallas where it is set to get in the low 80s this weekend?  I can only imagine the pain CP would feel if during the winter if he had to make a trip down south and during it, Orange County experienced a Frankzilla. Razz

Looking like an interesting snow event for tomorrow shaping up! NWS still saying 3 to 6 for me so rb and Frank are spot on with their maps.Hope the NJ Shore and LI gang gets blasted with this.Mike, if that happened to CP he would be in the OTI Sanitarium at least one year,LOL.
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Post by WeatherBob Fri Mar 17, 2017 12:33 pm

If all the heaviest precip falls during the day on Saturday,  I would not count on more than 1-2 in of mostly slush.  The sun is nearing the equator on its trip back north and it is fairly strong right now.  Hilly areas of NW NJ and the lower Hudson Valley might see 2 to 4 in. Surface temps are marginal at best during the day on sat with above freezing temps across NY Metro and LI.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Mar 17, 2017 12:57 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
@Math23x7 wrote:Frank, I was actually thinking last night what I would put as my snow map.  This is actually pretty close to my thinking, I actually like it.

On a side note, how would it feel if the norlun trough set up over Cranford this weekend while you were in Dallas where it is set to get in the low 80s this weekend?  I can only imagine the pain CP would feel if during the winter if he had to make a trip down south and during it, Orange County experienced a Frankzilla. Razz

Looking like an interesting snow event for tomorrow shaping up! NWS still saying 3 to 6 for me so rb and Frank are spot on with their maps.Hope the NJ Shore and LI gang gets blasted with this.Mike, if that happened to CP he would be in the OTI Sanitarium at least one year,LOL.

Thank Docs but I'm not expecting much here than plain rain temps are marginal for me
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 17, 2017 1:06 pm

Rgem days HELLO

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Rgemnnj.png.876a43c60010a7f9a3bba850b154a2d7

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 17, 2017 1:10 pm

Wow this is looking very interestimg. Been very busy and will b so but I'll keep check back in. Won't the snow already on the ground allow it to accumulate despite warmer surface temps?
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Post by SENJsnowman Fri Mar 17, 2017 1:11 pm

@docstox12 wrote:Hope the NJ Shore and LI gang gets blasted with this.

Appreciate the thought Doc, but the Shore especially is forecast to be WAY over temp for this. Oh well...there's always next winter!

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Post by frank 638 Fri Mar 17, 2017 2:32 pm

joe cioffi has nyc and long island for 3 to 6 inches and west of nyc to northern nj will see 2 to 4 inches

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:01 pm

@frank 638 wrote:joe cioffi has nyc and long island for 3 to 6 inches and west of nyc to northern nj will see 2 to 4 inches

That's a s good a guess as any. I'm doubtful the city sees that much with temps marginal for the event but I'm hoping they get it.
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Post by Math23x7 Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:03 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:joe cioffi has nyc and long island for 3 to 6 inches and west of nyc to northern nj will see 2 to 4 inches

That's a s good a guess as any. I'm doubtful the city sees that much with temps marginal for the event but I'm hoping they get it.

In NYC, we won't get the snow even if we get the snow. Why? Conservancy.

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Post by mmanisca Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:05 pm

Whats going on with the Euro, seems to be delayed.
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Post by Math23x7 Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:51 pm

SREFs not as impressive as before for this weekend...

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Post by RJB8525 Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:01 pm

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem,
and Easton
346 PM EDT Fri Mar 17 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for a wintry mix of precipitation, which is in
effect from 6 AM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* LOCATIONS...Berks County, the southern Poconos, the Lehigh
Valley, and adjacent northwest New Jersey.

* HAZARD TYPES...Snow and light freezing rain.

* ACCUMULATIONS...Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches, along with
around a trace to a tenth of an inch of ice. The highest
accumulations of snow and ice are expected in the higher
elevations.
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Post by aiannone Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:14 pm

KING NAM about to obliterate NYC
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:17 pm

@aiannone wrote:KING NAM about to obliterate NYC

No way. You have maps?
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:19 pm

Lee thinks most of LI gets 4+
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Post by aiannone Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:20 pm

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Nam_ms10
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Post by aiannone Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:22 pm

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Nam_ms16
March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Nam_ms15
March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Nam_ms14
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:24 pm

@aiannone wrote:March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Nam_ms16
March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Nam_ms15
March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Nam_ms14
wow that's gotta b 6?
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:25 pm

Oh boy NAM and PARA dropping da hammer here can u say SECS??. At a STEM competition all day and now hacing a St. Padds party with 20 plus so not on Al lot at all tonight. 

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 IMG_6313.GIF.efe4bbf6f81a5adbfe4877f4e39b002b

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:26 pm

Well the NAM is the KING. This would be fun. Extend the snow pack into April.

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 Imagep13
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:26 pm

Woot woot

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 IMG_6314.PNG.f90b4203c18233d78e4f27d65337b0b1

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:27 pm

Wow nam runs give me 6 to 10nwha!
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:28 pm

There is a 500mb lp imbeded into the broader 500mb lp, rare burst so has this winter been right??

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:31 pm

@amugs wrote:Oh boy NAM and PARA dropping da hammer here can u say SECS??. At a STEM competition all day and now hacing a St. Padds party with 20 plus so not on Al lot at all tonight. 

March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event - Page 4 IMG_6313.GIF.efe4bbf6f81a5adbfe4877f4e39b002b

little margin for error there especially still 24 hours out but this would be hysterical for NYC if it verified. It would top the blizzard for them.
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