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June Obs/Disco

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June Obs/Disco Empty June Obs/Disco

Post by amugs Thu Jun 01, 2017 12:41 pm

Okay so now that May is on the books and was what us SNow Weenies woudl love for Winter months lets see what June shall do. So far the first 10 days aren't too promising by the latest model runs - cool and wet - High latitude blocking - Omega like is the culprit

June Obs/Disco A.thumb.png.b15ae1f2f64e0b28e5233eed43ffa3df

June Obs/Disco B.thumb.png.a863cb218e99b4756129db4be576eb00




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Post by GreyBeard Thu Jun 01, 2017 1:54 pm

It's nice to finally see the sun again. It's a beauty today.

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Post by amugs Thu Jun 01, 2017 10:04 pm

Wth, really EPS a va fungul!!
WHERE THE H WHERE U THIS WINTER!!!


June Obs/Disco Img_2052

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jun 02, 2017 11:13 am

Hope everyone is doing well. Have not felt great lately, but doing better. Looks like we're staying dry until Sunday/Monday next week, and temps will hover near normal to slightly below. Next week does not look very warm. 60's and 70's. Personally disappointed with the weather so far. We're in June and still not seeing consistent 80's show up!

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Post by dkodgis Fri Jun 02, 2017 3:22 pm

Is this the June 2017 Observation Thread?
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jun 02, 2017 4:05 pm

Sound effect thunderstorms approaching the north shore... pretty breezy here

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Post by amugs Sun Jun 04, 2017 9:03 am

Miserable Stretch incoming peeps this evening through Wed - YUCK - rainy, overcast and BN temps then we'll rebound at the end of teh week through Mid week next week

Next weekend through Tuesday looks to be mid to upper 80's even 90* possible with dry dew pts Sat and Sun and then they creep up from the 50's to upper 60's Sunday evening through Tuesday- it will feel very welcome after what this week will bring rain and BN temps Mon through Wed.

From this Wed - trough over NE

June Obs/Disco Gfs_z500aNorm_namer_13

SE starts to pump
June Obs/Disco Gfs_z500aNorm_namer_32

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Post by amugs Sun Jun 04, 2017 6:26 pm

Disgusting weather rainy and temps at 61* - Mon through Wed in NNJ temps look to be upper 50's at best lovely
June Obs/Disco Ecmwf_mslpa_noram_9(1)

Tues.

June Obs/Disco Ecmwf_t2max_nyc_10

Wed
June Obs/Disco Ecmwf_t2max_nyc_15

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Post by frank 638 Sun Jun 04, 2017 8:24 pm

This weather sucks it feels more like the first week of September or October . My tomatoes eggplant cucumbers zucchini are not growing . By now it should be 80 degrees with sun hopefully this pattern changes soon

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Post by amugs Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:16 am

@frank 638 wrote:This weather sucks it feels more like the first week of September or October . My tomatoes eggplant cucumbers zucchini  are not growing . By now it should be 80 degrees with sun hopefully this pattern changes soon

Frank by Friday we get the SE Ridge to pump and depending on this gulf system that will cross over Fla and come up the coast - maybe a close call but Saturday through Tues next week looks to be mid to upper 80's possibly 90.

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Post by frank 638 Mon Jun 05, 2017 12:25 pm

Mugs thanks for the update

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jun 05, 2017 2:39 pm

Hmm, what's this I see? A possible warm-up??

GEFS for next Monday

June Obs/Disco Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_30

Wednesday

June Obs/Disco Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_38

Looks like a western trough develops in response to the pinched off -WPO ridge.

Warm-up from the 12th onward. Stay tuned!!





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Post by rb924119 Tue Jun 06, 2017 9:35 am

Nasty end to the workweek incoming!!! Yet another Nor'easter in the works for the entire forecast area. What a way to bring in a heatwave, although it's quite common that pattern change (regardless of duration) occurs on the heels of a major cyclone.....just usually not at this point in the year ahaha

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Post by EnyapWeather Tue Jun 06, 2017 1:07 pm

I know it is in the distance, but there is quite the storm in the forecast for the east coast. Seems like a decent amount of models picked up on it. HR 300- 384. Look at the GFS - Para. Oh my.... Shocked Shocked
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Post by amugs Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:23 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Nasty end to the workweek incoming!!! Yet another Nor'easter in the works for the entire forecast area. What a way to bring in a heatwave, although it's quite common that pattern change (regardless of duration) occurs on the heels of a major cyclone.....just usually not at this point in the year ahaha

Yup it is the Gulf Trop system that got sheared out and will cross the Fla Penn and ride up the coast - just in time for my son Prom a va fungul!!
June Obs/Disco DBpw7wMXUAAeYD1



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Post by amugs Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:28 pm

Off the coast GEFS say in contrast to EURO I posted above
June Obs/Disco Gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_11


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Post by sroc4 Tue Jun 06, 2017 4:36 pm

@amugs wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Nasty end to the workweek incoming!!! Yet another Nor'easter in the works for the entire forecast area. What a way to bring in a heatwave, although it's quite common that pattern change (regardless of duration) occurs on the heels of a major cyclone.....just usually not at this point in the year ahaha

Yup it is the Gulf Trop system that got sheared out and will cross the Fla Penn and ride up the coast - just in time for my son Prom a va fungul!!
June Obs/Disco DBpw7wMXUAAeYD1



12Z euro shifted off the coast.  Hopefully its real.  EPS mean is off the coast as well.
June Obs/Disco Ecmwf_62
June Obs/Disco Ecmwf_63
June Obs/Disco Ecmwf_64
June Obs/Disco Eps_sl15

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Post by frank 638 Tue Jun 06, 2017 8:11 pm

i just want to make sure if we are in june not nov Mad Rolling Eyes only got up 54* today

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Post by amugs Wed Jun 07, 2017 8:45 am

@frank 638 wrote:i just want to make sure if we are in june not nov Mad Rolling Eyes only got up 54* today
50* last night at 9PM in H'dale - WTH???
Monday through Wed - May heat wave then we return to low 80's

Big Height run up for temps here - SW flow but the trough in the central US looks to try and build in againJune Obs/Disco Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_21

Thursday it wanes
June Obs/Disco Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_34

Then by the end of teh run it builds back the trough not a cold look but after the incoming heat wave it looks to be about normal with teh possibility of the trough building back towards the end of the run
June Obs/Disco Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65





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Post by amugs Wed Jun 07, 2017 12:51 pm

1st week of June so far - BRRRR!! Rolling Eyes Razz


June Obs/Disco MonthTDeptNRCC

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jun 07, 2017 1:58 pm

The system Fri and system way out past day 10 seem to originate from tropics so are they actually possibily tropical cyclones? If thats the track storms are gonna take we could be in big trouble cme heart hurricane season. Looks like friday gets as far west on GFS as CT not quite here.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jun 07, 2017 2:00 pm

Oh and was 59 here at 8am, i felt cold, wore my jacket actually, 59 isnt that cold but when its supposed to be 80s it does.
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Post by amugs Wed Jun 07, 2017 2:56 pm

Look at what I found today=
June Obs/Disco DBvQ1ywVoAAwQ4-



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Post by frank 638 Fri Jun 09, 2017 8:52 pm

A perfect day today finally feeling like June now we bake .it's crazy we went to fall weather to summer weather

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Post by amugs Sat Jun 10, 2017 8:59 am

Dr Cohen saying the Aleutian Low Retrograde will open the door for a trough to set up near the Great Lakes and NE for the latter part of June, looks like a roller coaster of temps to me incoming if this holds true

June Obs/Disco Img_2055

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