NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

+27
Dunnzoo
nutleyblizzard
mikeypizano
GreyBeard
Quietace
dsix85
WeatherBob
devsman
algae888
aiannone
jwalsh
frank 638
jimv45
carbomb31
weatherwatchermom
jake732
hyde345
EnyapWeather
amugs
skinsfan1177
jmanley32
SoulSingMG
Snow88
Frank_Wx
Sanchize06
rb924119
sroc4
31 posters

Page 2 of 21 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 11 ... 21  Next

Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:07 am

Hr 120
Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_wind_us_21

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:09 am

Wow landfall in Long island... Edit miles off the tip into ri or mass.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:13 am

Cmc is west a bit too.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:14 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Wow landfall in Long island... Edit miles off the tip into ri or mass.

This run may wake some people up lol

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:20 am

Any further west and this would landfall in NJ or NYC. Either way this run was a big hit for the area due to his size and especially for coastal areas.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:24 am

Wait wth! Jose does a loop to come back for seconds?!
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:27 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Wait wth! Jose does a loop to come back for seconds?!

And Lee is coming lol

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:28 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Wait wth! Jose does a loop to come back for seconds?!


I really should be sleeping right now so I don't want to get too involved in the hopes of trying to get back to sleep after CMC comes in, but yes, though as a much weaker non-tropical entity. This would mean a potentially extremely scary situation if the next system comes north of the Bahamas, but let's focus on one at a time. FWIW cat-1 into Long Island, cat-2 just east of AC

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:32 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Wait wth! Jose does a loop to come back for seconds?!


I really should be sleeping right now so I don't want to get too involved in the hopes of trying to get back to sleep after CMC comes in, but yes, though as a much weaker non-tropical entity. This would mean a potentially extremely scary situation if the next system comes north of the Bahamas, but let's focus on one at a time. FWIW cat-1 into Long Island, cat-2 just east of AC
Yeah but still bizarre run and I'm guessing the rotation of the remnant could steer Lee into coast? That would surely buffet nj and NYC with a cat 2 to 1 passing that close. Not eastern side but still.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:40 am

@jmanley32 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Wait wth! Jose does a loop to come back for seconds?!


I really should be sleeping right now so I don't want to get too involved in the hopes of trying to get back to sleep after CMC comes in, but yes, though as a much weaker non-tropical entity. This would mean a potentially extremely scary situation if the next system comes north of the Bahamas, but let's focus on one at a time. FWIW cat-1 into Long Island, cat-2 just east of AC
Yeah but still bizarre run and I'm guessing the rotation of the remnant could steer Lee into coast? That would surely buffet nj and NYC with a cat 2 to 1 passing that close. Not eastern side but still.

Not even the rotation, just the presence alone, because it would provide the exact same alley beneath/weakness in the mega North American ridge and allow the next system to follow it right on up.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:41 am

And yeah, add in new moon tides and it wouldn't be good for the whole region, unfortunately.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:42 am

@rb924119 wrote:And yeah, add in new moon tides and it wouldn't be good for the whole region, unfortunately.
Yeah at least ts force winds reach pretty far inland on that run. Is cmc stuck? And ho..Lee.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:46 am

CMC is a bit west at hr 60, much stronger ridge in the Atlantic too. Should come in west of 12z. That ridge is key, it's trending stronger and forcing Jose close to the coast

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:46 am

You know the cmc is no longer the model that crazily exaggerates intensity in fact it's the weaker even if euro I've noted. That upgrade helped. I
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:47 am

@jmanley32 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:And yeah, add in new moon tides and it wouldn't be good for the whole region, unfortunately.
Yeah at least ts force winds reach pretty far inland on that run. Is cmc stuck? And ho..Lee.

Looks like it, and yeah............I know :/ the unfortunate thing is that the pattern would likely support another East Coast threat, but I'm not really gonna stray too much into that at present aha Jose is enough of a concern right now lol

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:49 am

Yeah I spoke of the next in other thread as this is just for Jose.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:55 am

CMC is way west, similar to GFS as far as track goes

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 GZ_D5_PN_102_0000

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:55 am

Maybe a little east of GFS, but huge shift from 12z when it was the east outlier

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 GZ_D5_PN_108_0000

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:02 am

@Sanchize06 wrote:CMC is way west, similar to GFS as far as track goes

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 GZ_D5_PN_102_0000
Wow thanks. Cmc on tt is acting up. If euro does same we are on. I hear ukmet though is east...
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:02 am

Landfalls on Cape Cod narrowly missing LI

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by SoulSingMG Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:05 am

Can we sound alarms yet?
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2787
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:06 am

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Sanchize06 wrote:CMC is way west, similar to GFS as far as track goes

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 GZ_D5_PN_102_0000
Wow thanks. Cmc on tt is acting up. If euro does same we are on. I hear ukmet though is east...

Yeah, that did go east. UKMET has went from Florida to NC to OTS lol So even though it did well with Irma, it has been all over the place with Jose

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:08 am

I don't think UKMET is even running yet, Jman, and from the look of the hurricane model it wouldn't support that claim. But we'll see lol back to bed for this guy for a little while, I'll check back in a couple hours.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:10 am

UKMET

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 GZ_D5_PN_120_0000

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 GZ_D5_PN_144_0000

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1011
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:11 am

I stand corrected, it is, but the site I use for its extended isn't updated yet.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 2 Empty Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 21 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 11 ... 21  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum