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Post by crippo84 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:52 pm

Haha everyone stay calm. Lucy pulled the football from under us right before we kicked off this weekends storm with a similar look 7 days out lol.
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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:54 pm

God we should archive these pictures so every time we get shafted we can look back and dream ahaha it doesn't get any better than this for the East Coast. I wish this was seven hours out, not days :/ too many things can still go wrong.

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Post by docstox12 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:55 pm

@rb924119 wrote:10:1

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 42 Img_1323

Ratios:

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 42 Img_1324

Well, those two are KOD worthy for my area.I'll expect a coating to an inch from this one like the 40 inch one that was supposed to hit on Saturday,LOL.Sorry, I'm not being sarcastic, just busting chops rb, you are the best and thanks for posting these.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:57 pm

@rb924119 wrote:God we should archive these pictures so every time we get shafted we can look back and dream ahaha it doesn't get any better than this for the East Coast. I wish this was seven hours out, not days :/ too many things can still go wrong.

Geez I said less than two hours ago I'm glad we're not in the bullseye 7 days out because that's always the KOD, unfortunately we are now in the bullseye.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:00 pm

@rb924119 wrote:God we should archive these pictures so every time we get shafted we can look back and dream ahaha it doesn't get any better than this for the East Coast. I wish this was seven hours out, not days :/ too many things can still go wrong.
The one thing that is going with this threat is there are no shortwave kickers crashing into the west coast this time around. That should keep any progressive nature of the pattern at bay.
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:00 pm

@rb924119 wrote:God we should archive these pictures so every time we get shafted we can look back and dream ahaha it doesn't get any better than this for the East Coast. I wish this was seven hours out, not days :/ too many things can still go wrong.

This. A week ago we were hootin' and hollerin' about this weekend's "big one." I don't have faith outside of 24-48 hrs anymore tbh. The eleventh-hour surprises are always fun too (a la Boxing Day).
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Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:01 pm

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO the jinx of the snow maps this far out ARRGHHHHHHH!!

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Post by mikeypizano Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:06 pm

Ok lets try this. It worked for the March blizzard...

WE'RE NOT GOING TO GET TWO FEET!!!
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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:07 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:God we should archive these pictures so every time we get shafted we can look back and dream ahaha it doesn't get any better than this for the East Coast. I wish this was seven hours out, not days :/ too many things can still go wrong.
The one thing that is going with this threat is there are no shortwave kickers crashing into the west coast this time around. That should keep any progressive nature of the pattern at bay.

There weren't with the one for this weekend and we see how that worked out. I'm still worried about the Pac simply because of the jet extension resulting in the same issue we saw evolve for this weekend, but also the Atlantic with a transient 50/50 low and wave spacing.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:11 pm

Jesus just when I was get over this weekend the euro has to go nuts again. Just have wait and see what happens.
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Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:12 pm

Okay originates from Fla and runs teh coast with a 50/50 LP and HP as well as it shift NE towards Greenland - we need this earlier than later for this to produce a big storm (ala NESIS type, KU one) Without this help the nina jet is wayyyyy to fast to support this as we have this weekend. The PNA is a plus and YUUGE BUT without some Atlantic help many will be at the ledge.

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 42 Ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_7

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 42 Ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_8

And look at the WPO, EPO and PNA - holy crap they are on roids here - warm up postponed - it will come but not sooner than later IF again IF this comes to fruition and the cold arctic air this storm as depicted pulls in behind it will rival what we are in now!!
Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 42 Ecmwf_z500a_namer_11

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Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:14 pm

If we dont get the timeframe of 3/4th and it is pushed back we run the risk of a coastal hugger and we go from Nina type storm of front end dump, ice to rain to backend snow.

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Post by docstox12 Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:14 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:God we should archive these pictures so every time we get shafted we can look back and dream ahaha it doesn't get any better than this for the East Coast. I wish this was seven hours out, not days :/ too many things can still go wrong.

This. A week ago we were hootin' and hollerin' about this weekend's "big one." I don't have faith outside of 24-48 hrs anymore tbh. The eleventh-hour surprises are always fun too (a la Boxing Day).

BINGO!!! I had said a few days ago I would see what is on the board for THURSDAY, and sure enough, this fizzled into MAYBE an inch or two.It is a lot of fun to see these outrageous maps a week out but I will not believe any of that until a day or two before the event.I would much rather have what somebody just said a Boxing Day Blizzard scenario.OTS or 1 to 3 inches 3 or 4 days before, and then see the day before B Word red on all the NWS maps with 20 plus inches on the way confirmed by radar on the day of the storm.
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Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:15 pm

From another board - closed low in this position just buries us

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 42 Sketched_5a4541115a9bc

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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:18 pm

@amugs wrote:If we dont get the timeframe of 3/4th and it is pushed back we run the risk of a coastal hugger and we go from Nina type storm of front end dump, ice to rain to backend snow.

Given the EURO suite verbatim (assuming it is correct which is dicey at best right now), I would expect a track inside the BM and near a coastal hugger type of track given its depiction of the whole pattern. But that's a huge assumption, and purely conjecture at this point.

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:20 pm

if it wasn't just about a week away i'd buy it...need to see the GFS get into this not just it loving Red Sox Suck
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:24 pm

New long range thread started.

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