Re: January 16th-17th Snow Event

by **amugs** Tue Jan 16, 2018 1:38 pm

If the bands can merge Arctic front with the LP which is possible then we can see more lift and greater totals - I think this is true for a swath from EPA, NWNJ (to say Western Passaic County through the LHV, HV into CT.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Jan 16, 2018 1:49 pm

Math23x7 wrote:Here in the office in Midtown, the sun is out. I could see this further increasing temperatures here. I am becoming more skeptical of getting good snow here. North and west has a nice shot of good snow. Not here though.

You know I love you so take this as constructive criticism, but I get the feeling if you won the lottery you'd be depressed about all of the taxes you'd have to pay.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Jan 16, 2018 1:55 pm

As I stated earlier I'm not ready to buy these sharp cutoffs for NYC and LI andnow parts of NNJ but take it for what it's worth.

I also have to mention that yesterday and the day before a few people kept mentioning how Red Sox Suck, was going to be crushed by this storm. This map again shows never assume fantasy maps are what's going to happen to a certain area today's map shows crushed as 0 inches of snow.

Always look at final results, not what's predicted to be, it almost never verifies.

January 16th-17th Snow Event - Page 6 Imagep10

January 16th-17th Snow Event - Page 6 Imagep10

by **mikeypizano** Tue Jan 16, 2018 2:32 pm

1.25" here so far, I measured it on ground on top if the current icepack we had.

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 16, 2018 2:37 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:As I stated earlier I'm not ready to buy these sharp cutoffs for NYC and LI andnow parts of NNJ but take it for what it's worth.

I also have to mention that yesterday and the day before a few people kept mentioning how Red Sox Suck, was going to be crushed by this storm. This map again shows never assume fantasy maps are what's going to happen to a certain area today's map shows crushed as 0 inches of snow.

Always look at final results, not what's predicted to be, it almost never verifies.

I agree with you CP, too much of an abrupt cutoff.When I lived in Mahwah, maybe 25 miles south of here, when you guys in the HV got 6 to 8, often the total was halved in Mahwah, not 0 as shown in this map.

28 degrees, light snow increasing in intensity, ground coated again.

by **amugs** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:07 pm

801
WWUS41 KOKX 162004
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
304 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>073-162115-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0004.180117T0500Z-180117T2300Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
304 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Snow totals will now average around an inch with localized amounts
up to 2 inches. The majority of the precipitation is now forecast
to fall as rain with some snow mixing in at times.

$$

by **amugs** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:08 pm

NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ069-070-170415-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0004.180116T2300Z-180117T1700Z/
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Western Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
304 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on slippery road conditions,
including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Total snow
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New
York.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon EST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.
The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

by **jimv45** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:09 pm

30 degrees, moderate snow. 6-8 would be nice doc

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:11 pm

Winter Storm warning just issued for Orange and Putnam Counties, 5-7 inches expected so barely warning criteria (6 inch minimum).

The warning doesn't mean anything to me, lets see what the ruler says at noon tomorrow.

by **jimv45** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:12 pm

Winter storm warning 6-10 in Dutchess County.

by **aiannone** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:13 pm

Ughh up to 40 degrees here and a DP of 40

by Guest Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:13 pm

I throw in the towel. Doesn’t feel like snow out here. Temps up near 40. The sky doesn’t look right. We’re gonna rain. I say rain even into ne NJ and coastal CT with on,y accumulations once you get into central westfhester on north or west and north of 287 in Jerse. Doc and CP deserve this one. I think my dad goes a solid 6-8” in Ulster County. Good luck all.

by **frank 638** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:14 pm

I am guessing the MTA is not taking any chances .I seen couple NYC buss has snow chains on them

by Guest Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:14 pm

Just finished posting and saw the changes in the advisories. Good timing

by **amugs** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:15 pm

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:18 pm

jimv45 wrote:Winter storm warning 6-10 in Dutchess County.

GOOD, jim!!! I was wondering when we would get WSW, we were sandwiched beyween NW NJ and areas further North that had them.As CP says, looks nice on paper, but Mother Nature can be a cruel Mistress with these snowstorms in the tri state area,lol.Still, I'm glad to be up in the HV for this one!!!

Light snow on and off the last hour.Had a good burst but quiet again.

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:20 pm

amugs wrote:

TY, Mugsy, CP and I and the guys further N and W will love that "mellow yellow" .

by **jimv45** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:26 pm

Yea Doc never feel good until i see the radar later, and then on the white gold on the ground.

by **RJB8525** Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:41 pm

by **Taffy** Tue Jan 16, 2018 4:42 pm

Winter Weather Advisories are still saying 3-5 for my area.

by **dkodgis** Tue Jan 16, 2018 4:52 pm

Struggling for an inch so far. 32 degrees. Unless this horse come to town tonight and into tomorrow, ain’t no action up here. I counted my chickens before they hatched ?

by **aiannone** Tue Jan 16, 2018 4:55 pm

down to 35 from 41 here on LI. Trying to stay optimistic, but's it's dwindling.

by **aiannone** Tue Jan 16, 2018 5:16 pm

Now down to 33, hmmmm...

by Guest Tue Jan 16, 2018 5:22 pm

aiannone wrote:down to 35 from 41 here on LI. Trying to stay optimistic, but's it's dwindling.

Fat lady sang already for us Alex
Train left the station.

Should have known better than to have faith. Frank and Scott have been silent

by **aiannone** Tue Jan 16, 2018 5:44 pm

Officially dropped to the freezing mark now. 32.8

by **jmanley32** Tue Jan 16, 2018 5:47 pm

I knew calling a wwa for nj and southern Westchester was a mistake by nws. Oh well we can't get them.all
Those cut off still amaxing.

by **Dunnzoo** Tue Jan 16, 2018 5:48 pm

31.3° here now, figuring on getting a few inches

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