March 2nd Nor'easter Update

algae888 wrote:Rb I did mention the HR DPS also did you take a look at the UK i e 35 mm of precipitation after temperatures crash below zero at 850 in New York City that's impressive

Did you? My bad!! We must have posted at similar times hahaha and I wasn't trying to call anybody out, it was more of like a probing question to raise excitement levels ahahaha and yeah, I peeped it H5 was literally GORGEOUS. And again, that is ALL I care about. Surface maps can go pound salt for all I care lmao

What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

rb924119 wrote:FOR THE RECORD OUR PRIMARY LOW IS ALREADY FILLING IN #SURPRISE

The strength of the primary low and when it transfers is one of the big keys to the forecast. RB please keep us updated!!!

aiannone wrote:What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

Mass hysteria, back tracking, and trying to save face with broad, and untrue PR statements about how this is a last-second shift of cold air and the entire system lmfao

aiannone wrote:What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

My best guest is widespread disappointment lol. Ever since those two blunder blizzard forecasts by the NWS, they've been uber conservative.

aiannone wrote:What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

WWA for NYC metro LI (not eastern Suffolk) and coastal CT. Interior NENJ and LHV for 2-4”. WSW
N and W of there’s for 6-18”. Highest Poconos Catskills

My guess

I still like my map rb

nutleyblizzard wrote:

rb924119 wrote:FOR THE RECORD OUR PRIMARY LOW IS ALREADY FILLING IN #SURPRISE

The strength of the primary low and when it transfers is one of the big keys to the forecast. RB please keep us updated!!!

Unfortunately, my time here is limited, as I'm going to be heading to work soon :/ but I will try to check in as much as I can.

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Soul I think that map may be low. The hww for eastern areas is 70 mph. I think we reach hww criteria. Small changes could also greatly change where highest winds are.

Jerez you and your wind fetish............I meant obsession   This storm looks likely to provide me with my firewood for next winter.  Tons of trees coming down with the soft ground.  I have my chainsaw sharpened and ready.

I only got 1 chain thats sharp... I hope I don't need mine...

syosnow94 wrote:

aiannone wrote:What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

WWA for NYC metro LI (not eastern Suffolk) and coastal CT. Interior NENJ and LHV for 2-4”. WSW
N and W of there’s for 6-18”. Highest Poconos Catskills

My guess

I still like my map rb

As do I!!! And the best part is that we can objectively verify it once the storm is over to see who was right, wrong, or closer!!!

rb924119 wrote:

aiannone wrote:What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

Mass hysteria, back tracking, and trying to save face with broad, and untrue PR statements about how this is a last-second shift of cold air and the entire system lmfao

I am a big fan of mayhem and chaos when it comes to snow. Bring it on. Let the schemers scheme!!!! Fascinating watching the forecasts this week.

mikeypizano wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Soul I think that map may be low. The hww for eastern areas is 70 mph. I think we reach hww criteria. Small changes could also greatly change where highest winds are.

Jerez you and your wind fetish............I meant obsession   This storm looks likely to provide me with my firewood for next winter.  Tons of trees coming down with the soft ground.  I have my chainsaw sharpened and ready.

I only got 1 chain thats sharp... I hope I don't need mine...

I got my Husky 395xp that I bought last summer on standby, and I couldn't be more excited to have to possibly bring it with me to cut my way into work tomorrow afternoon!!!! An East Coast Axe Man!!!! Still breaking it in, though, so I can't run it full-throttle yet - need about another five hours of run time first lol But every little bit helps ahahaha

RB - quick question, what kind of work do you do?

rb924119 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

aiannone wrote:What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

WWA for NYC metro LI (not eastern Suffolk) and coastal CT. Interior NENJ and LHV for 2-4”. WSW
N and W of there’s for 6-18”. Highest Poconos Catskills

My guess

I still like my map rb

As do I!!! And the best part is that we can objectively verify it once the storm is over to see who was right, wrong, or closer!!!

By the way. I hope really hard that I am wrong and you are right because 6”+ here would be miraculous

OH. MY. EURO.

rb924119 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Soul I think that map may be low. The hww for eastern areas is 70 mph. I think we reach hww criteria. Small changes could also greatly change where highest winds are.

Jerez you and your wind fetish............I meant obsession   This storm looks likely to provide me with my firewood for next winter.  Tons of trees coming down with the soft ground.  I have my chainsaw sharpened and ready.

I only got 1 chain thats sharp... I hope I don't need mine...

I got my Husky 395xp that I bought last summer on standby, and I couldn't be more excited to have to possibly bring it with me to cut my way into work tomorrow afternoon!!!! An East Coast Axe Man!!!! Still breaking it in, though, so I can't run it full-throttle yet - need about another five hours of run time first lol   But every little bit helps ahahaha

Hurricane Sandy was orgasmic. A wood lovers dream

rb924119 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Soul I think that map may be low. The hww for eastern areas is 70 mph. I think we reach hww criteria. Small changes could also greatly change where highest winds are.

Jerez you and your wind fetish............I meant obsession   This storm looks likely to provide me with my firewood for next winter.  Tons of trees coming down with the soft ground.  I have my chainsaw sharpened and ready.

I only got 1 chain thats sharp... I hope I don't need mine...

I got my Husky 395xp that I bought last summer on standby, and I couldn't be more excited to have to possibly bring it with me to cut my way into work tomorrow afternoon!!!! An East Coast Axe Man!!!! Still breaking it in, though, so I can't run it full-throttle yet - need about another five hours of run time first lol   But every little bit helps ahahaha

Stihl MS250 here, Was using it past 2 days. One of my chains is pretty bad from hitting rocks and i really dulled one out on Tuesday when I was cutting a trail for someone and some stuff was near a metal chainlink fence... If you ever want to talk saws, text me anytime.

WeatherBob wrote:RB - quick question, what kind of work do you do?

By degree, and as you can probably see, by heart, I'm a met. In reality, I currently work for a ship routing company as a data analyst/QC-tech. Certainly an interesting and fun job, but it doesn't compare to stuff like this lol I eventually intend to return to the private forecasting sector, but this job is too good for me to leave it for anything I have seen posted recently. That said, I am also actively pursuing other avenues as well lol However, on top of that, I do firewood and help a friend of mine with his pool business on the side when I can.

syosnow94 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

aiannone wrote:What’s everyone’s best guess for warning/advisory updates for the afternoon package?

WWA for NYC metro LI (not eastern Suffolk) and coastal CT. Interior NENJ and LHV for 2-4”. WSW
N and W of there’s for 6-18”. Highest Poconos Catskills

My guess

I still like my map rb

As do I!!! And the best part is that we can objectively verify it once the storm is over to see who was right, wrong, or closer!!!

By the way. I hope really hard that I am wrong and you are right because 6”+ here would be miraculous

Hahaha I am pretty sure that you don't have to clarify this statement, as I think it's easily implied lmao however, I personally believe borderline likely that you at least get close to 6".

rb924119 wrote:OH. MY. EURO.

Care to explain lol?

What does the EURO show?

aiannone wrote:

rb924119 wrote:OH. MY. EURO.

Care to explain lol?

That did not sound positive

EUROOOOOOO SHE'S BACK IN BIZNESSSS

syosnow94 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Soul I think that map may be low. The hww for eastern areas is 70 mph. I think we reach hww criteria. Small changes could also greatly change where highest winds are.

Jerez you and your wind fetish............I meant obsession   This storm looks likely to provide me with my firewood for next winter.  Tons of trees coming down with the soft ground.  I have my chainsaw sharpened and ready.

I only got 1 chain thats sharp... I hope I don't need mine...

I got my Husky 395xp that I bought last summer on standby, and I couldn't be more excited to have to possibly bring it with me to cut my way into work tomorrow afternoon!!!! An East Coast Axe Man!!!! Still breaking it in, though, so I can't run it full-throttle yet - need about another five hours of run time first lol   But every little bit helps ahahaha

Hurricane Sandy was orgasmic.  A wood lovers dream

Oh absolutely. I never such destruction at my home in PA as I did with that. And up there, we don't have these "little" 50 and 60 footers. Our land is true old-growth forest with the average height of our trees between 100-120'. When they start swaying toward 55°, it get's scary QUICK lol Sandy just took dozens, four stacked like cordwood (pun intended) right in our dooryard. Three were laid one on top of the other chest high - to get into our shed we had literally climb over them. But the winds were so fierce they did something I had never seen before, and believe me, I've seen my share of trees and tree damage. The hardwoods weren't just snapped; they were either splintered (like something exploded inside of them), or the knuckle where the roots start fanning out from the base of the trunk, were twisted right off the root system. I could literally pick the the trunk and knuckle out of the ground as one unit because they were just spun and sheared right off. Absolutely amazing to see; I've never seen anything like it.

mikeypizano wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Soul I think that map may be low. The hww for eastern areas is 70 mph. I think we reach hww criteria. Small changes could also greatly change where highest winds are.

Jerez you and your wind fetish............I meant obsession   This storm looks likely to provide me with my firewood for next winter.  Tons of trees coming down with the soft ground.  I have my chainsaw sharpened and ready.

I only got 1 chain thats sharp... I hope I don't need mine...

I got my Husky 395xp that I bought last summer on standby, and I couldn't be more excited to have to possibly bring it with me to cut my way into work tomorrow afternoon!!!! An East Coast Axe Man!!!! Still breaking it in, though, so I can't run it full-throttle yet - need about another five hours of run time first lol   But every little bit helps ahahaha

Stihl MS250 here, Was using it past 2 days. One of my chains is  pretty bad from hitting rocks and i really dulled one out on Tuesday when I was cutting a trail for someone and some stuff was near a metal chainlink fence... If you ever want to talk saws, text me anytime.

Oh Mikey, as a seasoned saw vet you should know better than to stone your chain!!!! Smh, man lol JK!! 250 is a great saw; not too big, but just big enough for most jobs and still versatile enough to be up in a tree with.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

aiannone wrote:

rb924119 wrote:OH. MY. EURO.

Care to explain lol?

That did not sound positive

Oh it was VERY POSITIVE. Still lagging on surface maps, but mid-levels looks phenomenal. Still improved on surface maps, though, too.

Still unimpressed with the EURO. The urban heat island will likely rear its ugly head in NYC tomorrow. I'm not expecting much stickage from this.