Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

by **nutleyblizzard** Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:41 pm

EPS are west of EURO OP

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:42 pm

I dunno sroc euro is east too cut off is CT for warning level snows. We have time but no good.

by **aiannone** Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:44 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:EPS are west of EURO OP

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by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:49 pm

Ok didn't read ur posts first my bad. Man that still means beantown benefits most. Can't shift to far west but 50 miles and I'll b in warning snows.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:52 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Perfect position right now. With the block in place it's going to back west a little

Agree completely. MET Mike Masco out of Philly points out (see his map below) how the Euro "is pulling the storm more east as a linkage it's trying to model between a tiny weakness in the expansive ridge over Greenland." Expect westward correction by 00z tonight or def by 12z Monday.

I dont know if I agree with that graphic comparing both models (looks like variations in handling of 500mb cut off low and vorticity wrapping around said negative tilted trough (timing of cut off/position of vorticity maximum around the trough base) is main culprit in track variations).....but carry on.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:54 pm

aiannone wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:EPS are west of EURO OP

That looks pretty similar to me. There is pretty good consensus between deterministic and ensemble guidance on the track of the system. The spread for the range we are at is fairly small.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:56 pm

I would also keep a eye on your 850/700mb lows....they are fairly close to your guys area. Strength of warm air advection in the mid-levels could be tricky...

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:13 pm

So yet possibly another miss west of central LI other than maybe a few inches...I am not holding out on this one, waiting on NAM. Even though it was wrong last storm at least IMBY. I have some pretty incredible pics from damage from the storm near me I will post later as I need black out license plates of cars.

by track17 Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:14 pm

You guys are talking about this shifting west but not south. So I am guessing jersey is out or is that not a concern

by Guest Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:18 pm

jmanley32 wrote:So yet possibly another miss west of central LI other than maybe a few inches...I am not holding out on this one, waiting on NAM. Even though it was wrong last storm at least IMBY. I have some pretty incredible pics from damage from the storm near me I will post later as I need black out license plates of cars.

Dude stop living and dying with every model run. Scott said we are in a perfect spot. Chill

Plus frank has the sci at 70% already

by track17 Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:37 pm

But syo I ma just asking a question when you say we do you mean all of the board or just NYC and Long Island. I am not complaining but just asking so I have an idea

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:39 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:So yet possibly another miss west of central LI other than maybe a few inches...I am not holding out on this one, waiting on NAM. Even though it was wrong last storm at least IMBY. I have some pretty incredible pics from damage from the storm near me I will post later as I need black out license plates of cars.

Dude stop living and dying with every model run. Scott said we are in a perfect spot. Chill

Plus frank has the sci at 70% already

Did I not say earlier I am NOT living by each run, did not see franks sci, good. Hoping for ST at least.

by **aiannone** Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:44 pm

holy NAM

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by **aiannone** Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:45 pm

by hurrysundown23 Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:49 pm

This dude says feet of snow for New York Tri State area Wed-Thurs than another week of the 12th

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=95ACnBdUsiU&feature=push-u&attr_tag=J7PDIIcEvKslZIg9-6

by Guest Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:51 pm

track17 wrote:But syo I ma just asking a question when you say we do you mean all of the board or just NYC and Long Island. I am not complaining but just asking so I have an idea

Yes. The whole board. Scott said LI is actualły in a real good spot but he would like to see it come west a bit so the whole board benefits. There’s still 3 days of model runs

by track17 Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:54 pm

Ok thanks syo just trying to make travel plans

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:59 pm

hurrysundown23 wrote:This dude says feet of snow for New York Tri State area Wed-Thurs than another week of the 12th

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=95ACnBdUsiU&feature=push-u&attr_tag=J7PDIIcEvKslZIg9-6

Man I wish I could find where he got his degree from..... Rolling Eyes

by **aiannone** Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:05 pm

still snowing...
March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 2 28685810

by Guest Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:05 pm

aiannone wrote:holy NAM

Verbatim this is a Godzilla for the coast easy

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:05 pm

aiannone wrote:

SNikeys no school for me yipee (I know it will change but thats beautiful)! Great time to start work the winter time LOL

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:06 pm

hurrysundown23 wrote:This dude says feet of snow for New York Tri State area Wed-Thurs than another week of the 12th

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=95ACnBdUsiU&feature=push-u&attr_tag=J7PDIIcEvKslZIg9-6

Ya okay, and who is this "GUY" does he have any merit? Nothing on you just that seems a bit much.

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:09 pm

NAM, and its stil lsnowing a bit, remember this is tail end of NAM so take it with a grain of salt for now, well maybe a bit more than that. Syo yep close to a godzilla, and lookie if anything that run your right on target on ur map, you score lol

March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 2 Nam_3h11

March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 2 Nam_3h11

And after looking at the times, looks like there will be school as this comes in on NAM anyways in the afternoon. Thats okay.

by **aiannone** Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:14 pm

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:18 pm

aiannone wrote:

Great start and as we know they are conservative oh boy! Funny how they are on this one days ahead but last one were all up in the air.

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:20 pm

It looks like winds could be a issue yet again but nowhere near the magnitude of Friday, depends on how much this is able to bomb out before pulling away.

by **Vinnydula** Sun Mar 04, 2018 5:06 pm

Seems to be alot of hype on fb about this storm. So soon

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