March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map

mikeypizano wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:State of Emergency declared for New Jersey.

Knowing PA, we won't have one...

and school will be open lol

Frank_Wx wrote:

My god it's jackpotting right over my town. We CANNOT have this happen, this area will be devastated....

RJB8525 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:State of Emergency declared for New Jersey.

Knowing PA, we won't have one...

and school will be open lol

Only one...

Notice my updated snow map says *2nd* and not final...

Frank_Wx wrote:Notice my updated snow map says *2nd* and not final...

I am prett much on the line... Any chance you can add a dot for Scranton?

HEY GUYS PLEASE TELL ME WHAT MONMOUTH COUNTY NJ WILL BE LOOKING AT IN TERMS OF ACCUMULATION. LAST REPORTS BY FORECASTERS SHOWED A LOT LESS!

Boy 12-18 plus if I get that there goes the power, trees are in bad shape up here from last one.

Frank_Wx wrote:Notice my updated snow map says *2nd* and not final...

I'll sign up right now for that 3-6" at the Jersey Shore right now considering the bleak forecast that I've been seeing.

Blaze wrote:HEY GUYS PLEASE TELL ME WHAT MONMOUTH COUNTY NJ WILL BE LOOKING AT IN TERMS OF ACCUMULATION. LAST REPORTS BY FORECASTERS SHOWED A LOT LESS!

Frank has western/northern Monmouth County at 6-10" and southern/eastern Monmouth County at 3-6". That is a pretty good consensus prediction at this point.

My map has most of the county 3-6" due to some mixing issues, but if there is less mixing and more snow interior Monmouth County Frank's current map will likely be on target.

Frank_Wx wrote:Notice my updated snow map says *2nd* and not final...

Which areas are you still a bit unsure about...in terms of possible changes for a final map later?

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Notice my updated snow map says *2nd* and not final...

Which areas are you still a bit unsure about...in terms of possible changes for a final map later?

NE NJ, NYC, Jersey Shore, LI

Looks like they are also discounting the GFS

Frank_Wx wrote:

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Notice my updated snow map says *2nd* and not final...

Which areas are you still a bit unsure about...in terms of possible changes for a final map later?

NE NJ, NYC, Jersey Shore, LI

potential to decrease or increase?

The National Weather Service is TOSSING the GFS. Thank Oz.

Grselig wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Notice my updated snow map says *2nd* and not final...

Which areas are you still a bit unsure about...in terms of possible changes for a final map later?

NE NJ, NYC, Jersey Shore, LI

potential to decrease or increase?

Either way. Gut tells me increase but if current trend continues, then decrease.

Who's ready to get NAM'D?

SoulSingMG wrote:Who's ready to get NAM'D?

ME

How about EPS'ed??? All 50 members for your viewing pleasure

Folks are losing their minds right now on Twitter after Mt. Holly just released this... Lmao

I really think completely tossing the GFS is very foolish here. I'm not saying to ride it until death, but I think it, the NAM and their respective ensemble suites should be weighted 60/40 with the EURO/EPS/UKMET. Maybe 65/35. Just my opinion, but I'm telling you, this is going to be a very wrapped up system.

sroc4 wrote:How about EPS'ed???  All 50 members for your viewing pleasure

Not gonna lie. That's a piece of art right there.

18z NAM...H5 trough looks a bit more positively tilted. Would suggest a further east track. Let's see

Def more pos through hr 16

Surface pressure further west. 18z run, I wouldn't put stock in it either way. The SREFS coming further west is indication enough to me as to the eventual fate given other guidance in the last 18 hours.

I would argue we have pretty strong consensus at this point. Shoot we are inside of 12 hours till start time. West and North of NYC is being shown as a Godzilla plus in all guidance. They are locked in. The only areas still up I need the air is the 95 corridor on either side. If you look at all 50 panels Scott posted it was about a 6-8” avg for NYC. More west less east and south. My. Holly’s latest map shows very little east of 95 all the way up to Staten Island it would be about 3-5” for NYC. Frank and the short range are offering some hope for us on the coast but time is running out. Either way congrats interior. It’s your winter. If I can personally eek out 5-6” and a snow day at this point I’ll be thrilled, but not holding my breath

Tucked in by hr 21