Re: Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm

by **oldtimer** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:12 pm

What happened to all the sleet? Totally confused Is it only the Nam that showed all the sleet?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:12 pm

6 inch Spring Snowfalls in NYC

1.....10.2.....April 3-4, 1915
2.....10.0.....April 13, 1875
3.......9.6.....April 6, 1982
4.......9.0.....March 22, 1967
5.......8.5.....April 1, 1924
6.......6.5.....April 5, 1944
7.......6.5.....April 8-9, 1917
8.......6.4.....April 6-7, 1938

Looks like the above is definitely in Play for NYC, maybe number 1? Now I'm reaching to far. Lets get the 3 inches first and get them over 30 for the 5th straight year.

by **hyde345** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:13 pm

@jimv45 wrote:Yea Hyde I am just north of 84 on the nam its well over a foot for me but close.

Yup. 30 miles north of you gets 2-3 inches on 3k.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:16 pm

@hyde345 wrote:
@jimv45 wrote:Yea Hyde I am just north of 84 on the nam its well over a foot for me but close.

Yup. 30 miles north of you gets 2-3 inches on 3k.

I'd say somewhere between central Rockland to northern Dutchess will be in a serious cutoff zone. The question is where will that line be?

by adamfitz1969 Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:19 pm

Im about 58 miles south of Dutchess.....according to the 3K im in a prime spot, last 3 storms shafted me with two blanks even. I'd like to see 12 plus this go round along with Jman.

by **Sanchize06** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:25 pm

RGEM...still snowing heavily too

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Sn10_acc.us_ne

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:34 pm

Lots of chatter on Twitter right now regarding how dangerous and distructive this storm might be (even @cranky seems alerted finally), with inches of sleet, centimeters of ice underneath 6 inches or so of heavy wet snow. Could be a doozy.

Incidentally, my best friend is going thru a tornado right now down in ATL. March does NOT f*ck around.

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:35 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Lots of chatter on Twitter right now regarding how dangerous and distractive this storm might be, with inches of sleet, centimeters of ice underneath 6 inches or so of heavy wet snow. Could be a doozy.

yeah may be worst cause for power outages out of all the storms we have had.

by **Sanchize06** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:43 pm

GFS is west of 18z, good hit

by **Sanchize06** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:45 pm

Huge hit actually for Jersey Shore, NYC Metro, and LI. 12"+ and should be mostly all snow

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:50 pm

Gfs huge hit NYC southern wc and western long is jackpot 12 to 18.

by **Sanchize06** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:51 pm

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:51 pm

So who thinks there will be school wed and Thurs? For NYC area?

by **aiannone** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:52 pm

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:52 pm

@Sanchize06 wrote:

beautiful and I checked precip types on wxbell no rain no frz and a tiny bit sleet that's all heavy snow baby!

by **Sanchize06** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:57 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Sanchize06 wrote:
beautiful and I checked precip types on wxbell no rain no frz and a tiny bit sleet that's all heavy snow baby!

Yeah, it's nice to have the GFS finally on board with the cold unlike previous storms this month where it was very warm

by **jimv45** Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:58 pm

And that's the GFS how good has this model been of late?

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:07 am

00z UKIE just (N)UKIE'D us.

by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:12 am

I’m 18” jackpot on GFS, RGEM, 3kNAM, but on regular NAM 4-6” and tons of sleet. If EURO shows me tons of snow that’s 4 v 1. Toss the regular NAM. Oh I’m also 18-24” jackpot on the RAP.

by **Radz** Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:32 am

6z NAM no consistency... like night and day, at least for those North and West...

by **Radz** Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:39 am

by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:56 am

Wow upton being bullish. Warning now for me in Nassau on LI

* WHAT...Heavy mixed winter precipitation transitioning to heavy
snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 11 to 15 inches
and light ice accumulations are expected

by **Scullybutcher** Tue Mar 20, 2018 5:12 am

This is what Upton has for me.

* WHAT...HEAVY MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONING TO HEAVY
SNOW IS EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 10 INCHES,
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 13 INCHES, AND LIGHT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

The weather channel has me for 13 - 20”

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Mar 20, 2018 5:34 am

NWS has Orange County for 10-16 inches but I'm not buying it 100% yet.

The 6Z NAM has me concerned as do other runs that seem to hit a brick wall with the precip at certain points north and west. Nowcast as usual.

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Mar 20, 2018 5:35 am

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