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October 2018 Observations & Discussions

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SoulSingMG
CPcantmeasuresnow
Snow88
aiannone
skinsfan1177
hyde345
algae888
rb924119
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docstox12
amugs
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Radz
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weatherwatchermom
jmanley32
dkodgis
frank 638
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Post by amugs Sun Oct 07, 2018 9:57 pm

Here comes the mid month flip and why - GOA HP - reminds me of 14-15 winter

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/1048908265365676033

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/1048907771243110400

Besides Canada is an absolute freezer with portions seeing record cold and snow - bodes well for our cold air source moving forward once that dam breaks watch out!
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Do6UPhjU8AIjHmN

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Post by amugs Mon Oct 08, 2018 12:24 pm

Fall like temps at night
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Fv3p_T2m_neus_22

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Fv3p_T2m_neus_62

Its just a fantasy at this range!

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Post by docstox12 Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:46 pm

Cool, cloudy, muggy, misty.Warms up to the 70's but then I see a nice very cool stretch coming up.Thank God for that, so sick of these warm, muggy cloudy days!Trees really turning on the color change switch now!!It will really feel like Fall this weekend.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 08, 2018 6:02 pm

Misted the whole day high of 66 humidity 97 percent just a depressing day...
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Post by amugs Mon Oct 08, 2018 10:18 pm

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Img_2014

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by SENJsnowman Tue Oct 09, 2018 7:19 am

I agree Doc, I can't wait until Friday! Highs in the '60s, Lows in the 40s no humidity, no bugs, no shvitzing! My 7 year old said 'pumpkin patch', I said talk to me Friday! Ha ha! Definitely my favorite time of year about to kick off!

(PS: I'm a summer time lurker, so I just wanted to say thanks so much to all you who keep the board active during the mean season!)

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Post by frank 638 Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:23 am

It's disgusting out 71* very humid I am looking forward for the cooler weather

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Post by amugs Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:47 pm

Jersey Shore needs to pay attention - He is going to still have Trop Storm affects along this portion especially SNJ - if he jogs more NW or N they could be in for a rough time tomorrow.

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7


Frost and Freeze Next week - could be if this verifies!
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_T850_neus_10

_________________
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by SENJsnowman Thu Oct 11, 2018 7:31 am

Thanks for the heads up Amugs! Southern Delmarva gets totally inundated on those maps...I don't want any part of that.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Oct 11, 2018 11:02 am

Delmarva, SNJ, Jersey Shore, and Long Island are in for heavy rain after Midnight tonight. These areas could see 2-3 inches of rain.

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_18

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_19

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Post by amugs Thu Oct 11, 2018 7:35 pm

Mr Frosty and Mr. FREEZE SAY HELLLLLLLOOOO!!

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Fb_img10
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Img_2015

_________________
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 11, 2018 9:47 pm

Michael held at 50mph TS across a huge part of the US, thats impressive, pressures are lowering and I think he may intensify as he leaves the coast fairly soon. His track is pretty set but any jog more north and we all get a ton of rain, right now futurecast shows the areas frank spoke of getting slammed with the outer rain bands, def 2-4 inches possible.
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Post by amugs Thu Oct 11, 2018 9:57 pm

NC reporting widespread power outages and a storm surge warning was posted for the outer banks - that to me was unexpected.

Okay for the first Nor'easter possibility for teh first snow Oct 22/23 timed frame

kooky see
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 DpROGNVWsAAWFTe




_________________
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Thu Oct 11, 2018 9:59 pm

WIND CHILLS SATURDAY BRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 IMG_20181011_204904.jpg.842ef79221d63445d58508e00d6fc27e

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 11, 2018 10:15 pm

amugs wrote:NC reporting widespread power outages and a storm surge warning was posted for the outer banks - that to me was unexpected.

Okay for the first Nor'easter possibility for teh first snow Oct 22/23 timed frame

kooky see
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 DpROGNVWsAAWFTe



As I said I think he is going to regain some (I think NHC has him up to 65mph tomorrow) maybe that warrented those advisories. Ha a snowstorm in late october hmmm well it did happen once in the past 10 years...
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Post by dkodgis Fri Oct 12, 2018 12:29 am

Jim, where I am at it happened 3x
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Post by rb924119 Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:16 am

Don't be surprised to see some snowflakes flying around if your in the interior higher terrain this weekend. A weak disturbance will have a marginally cold enough airmass to work with to start setting the stage for our upcoming season Wink Wink

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 12, 2018 7:54 am

Wind advisory today for coastal areas. It is quite breezy out. A big tree came down last night taking pole and wires near me. I didn't lose power. Its still a mess over there this morning.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Oct 12, 2018 12:30 pm

winds from the nw at 20 mph but a beautiful sunny day!!
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Post by Radz Sat Oct 13, 2018 8:11 am

46° with rain...
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Post by amugs Sat Oct 13, 2018 9:36 am

Great Fall day - like when we had the ol' days of fall LOL!!
45* and raining at 7:30AM

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by frank 638 Sat Oct 13, 2018 9:59 am

Finally a fall chilly morning 47* with light rain

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Post by amugs Sat Oct 13, 2018 10:10 am

Timeframe for a storm here peeps - 21-23rd - could bring first white gold of the season to dem hills!!
CP WAKE UP!!!!!!!!!!!!
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Gfs_z500a_namer_35

AND AGAIN on the 24-26th - WOW look at how deep that trough gets - OF COURSE IF IT VERIFIES!

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 2 Gfs_z500a_namer_46

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by algae888 Sat Oct 13, 2018 2:02 pm

Today's 12z GEFS 850 temp anomaly is blue/ below normal the entire run except for Monday ahead of the cold front for a 12 hour period. Amazing flip from the warm pattern we've been in.
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Post by hyde345 Sat Oct 13, 2018 10:45 pm

41* up here already. Frost warning with low around 35, brrrr.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Oct 14, 2018 3:38 am

Wow 42° here this morning
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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 14, 2018 5:39 am

38 degrees, blue frost advisory over my area and turned the boiler on first time this heating season.Trees rapidly changing in color here.A wonderful change from the cloudy, humid warm weather of the past season! Looks cool for the foreseeable future!
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