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October 2018 Observations & Discussions

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SoulSingMG
CPcantmeasuresnow
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skinsfan1177
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docstox12
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Radz
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Oct 14, 2018 3:38 am

Wow 42° here this morning

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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 14, 2018 5:39 am

38 degrees, blue frost advisory over my area and turned the boiler on first time this heating season.Trees rapidly changing in color here.A wonderful change from the cloudy, humid warm weather of the past season! Looks cool for the foreseeable future!

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Post by Radz Sun Oct 14, 2018 7:42 am

39° frost on the roof tops only, feels October finally
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Post by SENJsnowman Sun Oct 14, 2018 9:35 am

50* and very brisk, light air. Feels great! Trees at the shore are still all green, but the change should be right around the corner. I love the fall season...

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Oct 14, 2018 12:40 pm

38.8° was my low overnight, nice looking week coming up after tomorrow, daytime highs in the 50's, maybe a 60° day...awesome!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by dkodgis Sun Oct 14, 2018 8:08 pm

Up here in northern Orange county, I think this Thursday we will get our first frost. Looking forward to it.
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Post by amugs Sun Oct 14, 2018 9:51 pm

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 3 DpgANEfV4AAHee8

Equals end of the month timeframe Coastal Storm

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Sun Oct 14, 2018 10:26 pm

38.9* last night on Long Island. Coldest of the season so far

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Oct 14, 2018 11:46 pm

amugs wrote:October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 3 DpgANEfV4AAHee8

Equals end of the month timeframe Coastal Storm
18z Gfs fantasy land shows a huge storm come up the coast and phase right in time to put Halloween in jeopardy again like years ago.
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Post by dkodgis Mon Oct 15, 2018 7:44 am

One storm was on October 29, 2011.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Oct 15, 2018 8:29 am

Quite a nasty morning. Dark and rainy.

We're the new Seattle.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Oct 15, 2018 8:30 am

We may not get out of the 40's on Thursday

October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 3 Gfs_T2m_neus_15


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Post by algae888 Mon Oct 15, 2018 12:42 pm

Well the CMC has a first fantasy snow storm of this upcoming fall / winter season one to two feet of snow four areas north and west of New York City even get snow down to the coast for our viewing pleasure can someone post the map in the banter thread to maybe wake CP up and come out of hibernation
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Post by algae888 Mon Oct 15, 2018 12:43 pm

All kidding aside I really feel that we will see our first flakes for parts of our area before the end of the month that's how good the pattern is
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Post by sroc4 Mon Oct 15, 2018 1:05 pm

algae888 wrote:All kidding aside I really feel that we will see our first flakes for parts of our area before the end of the month that's how good the pattern is

Agreed Al. Maybe not me on the coast but N&W of NYC has great chance

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by docstox12 Mon Oct 15, 2018 2:48 pm

algae888 wrote:All kidding aside I really feel that we will see our first flakes for parts of our area before the end of the month that's how good the pattern is

That checks, Al, with what I've seen living in the Northern areas all my life.First flakes can be expected after October 15.Usually just flurries but there can be accumulating snows as well.
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Post by amugs Tue Oct 16, 2018 9:04 pm

Peeps,

Holy crap winter incoming Thursday! Could see some flakes, graupel or sleet, hard freeze and frost for HV, LHV and NNJ Wenesday night into Thursday morning. Wind Chills 20''s brrrrr
October 2018 Observations & Discussions  - Page 3 Img_2016

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:01 pm

Euro ensembles are honking at a massive coastal around 26-29th time frame, some of them are better than a hurricane with sub 970mb and just off the coast, might actually have another halloween snowstorm, we will see.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:06 pm

algae888 wrote:Well the CMC has a first fantasy snow storm of this upcoming fall / winter season  one to two feet of snow four areas north and west of New York City even get snow down to the coast for our viewing pleasure can someone post the map in the banter thread to maybe wake CP up and come out of hibernation
Its a godzilla inland lol
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Post by Radz Wed Oct 17, 2018 6:54 am

38.8° this AM, should be down near 32 tomorrow at this time...
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Oct 17, 2018 7:41 am

36.6° was my low overnight..... wind chills tomorrow!

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by algae888 Wed Oct 17, 2018 10:29 am

these are all in jeopardy tomorrow
CLIMATE...
Here are the record Minimum High Temperatures for Oct 18th.

Location.................Temp/Year
Central Park...............45/2009
John F Kennedy Airport.....49/2009
LaGuardia Airport..........47/2009
Newark, NJ.................47/2009
Bridgeport, CT.............47/2009
Islip, NY..................47/2009



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Post by frank 638 Wed Oct 17, 2018 5:15 pm

had a early high of 63* now temps are dropping and its getting windy to finally we have below temps i love this time year

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Oct 17, 2018 5:46 pm

Got nowhere near 63 here coat weather all day amazing a few miles north makes.
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Post by frank 638 Wed Oct 17, 2018 6:35 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Got nowhere near 63 here coat weather all day amazing a few miles north makes.
that's strange because when I left work in Manhattan it was 62 degrees then when I get off the 5 train at Pelham Parkway the wind has picked up and we had a brief shower and when I got to my car I see my temperature was at 57 * .

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Post by amugs Wed Oct 17, 2018 7:09 pm

Frost and Freeze watches and warnings up for NNJ, HV, and LHV. Can't post maps.
Last week of month FV3 the new GFS and old one crush us with a wicked storm.

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:20 pm

amugs wrote:Frost and Freeze watches and warnings up for NNJ, HV, and LHV. Can't post maps.
Last week of month FV3 the new GFS and old one crush us with a wicked storm.
holy crap gfs 10 days!!! What a wind storm that would be not go b much snow too close then right over us.
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