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December 2018 Observations and Discussions

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Post by rb924119 on Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:32 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:EPS!!!!!!

December 2018 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 7384b910

Image courtesy of Allsnow on another forum. If I had time to draw a forecast, this would be pretty darn close to what I think.

Yes I know this was supposed to be rain and now maybe some
N and W areas may see some
Frozen BUT doesn’t this just show 1-3” for the majority of our board at most?  If so why the excitement?

Yes, but there would also be sleet too. Secondly, it would verify my forecast haha

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Post by algae888 on Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:15 am

Still very intrigued for tomorrow and tomorrow night with the upper level low passing to our South while temperatures are marginal at best I think if there is enough lift and heavy precipitation will see some form of Frozen precip as that should cool the column enough. we also have the CCb on the backside of this low nam continues to look good
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Post by Guest on Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:19 am

Rain and sleet mixing in. Higher elevations of the Catskills and Poconos May see 1-2”. Total non-event for 99% of this forum. It’s coming up on late December. Very disappointing start to this “ epic” winter pattern. Yes I know it’s still early but I post facts

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Post by amugs on Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:31 am

This may turn out to be a mix fest for N&W of NYC with snows in the higher elevations.
TJay pro met posted a skew T diagram that shows this inversion in the atmosphere pointing towards this. If this were to occur Monday mornings commute would be bad.

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Post by amugs on Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:44 am

Here is the skew t - circled area shows the freezing rain

December 2018 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 E0B6FF24-570F-4B5C-9BCE-CB9610A8303C.thumb.png.d7de745b9d21b50e26f5ff7ed4aeab41

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Post by Frank_Wx on Sat Dec 15, 2018 12:02 pm

Burst of snow, and maybe a few inches, possible N&W of NYC tomorrow night

December 2018 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_35

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Post by Guest on Sat Dec 15, 2018 12:32 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Burst of snow, and maybe a few inches, possible N&W of NYC tomorrow night

December 2018 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_35

Self imposed 1 week ban for mental health reasons for me. I’ll check back Friday.

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Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 15, 2018 12:42 pm

And here come the advisories Smile

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Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 15, 2018 12:55 pm

GEFS look pretty good

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Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 15, 2018 1:08 pm

AND HERE COMES THE EURO

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Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 15, 2018 1:09 pm

December 2018 Observations and Discussions - Page 4 73d67810

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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Dec 15, 2018 1:15 pm

Doesn't impact me or e en work which is around 287 where often it can snow bit. Ore than here so I'm done. If it ices which by looks of that snow map its all rain for southern Westchester than I could see a delay min if it ices but looking imprOBABLE.
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Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 15, 2018 1:22 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Doesn't impact me or e en work which is around 287 where often it can snow bit. Ore than here so I'm done. If it ices which by looks of that snow map its all rain for southern Westchester than I could see a delay min if it ices but looking imprOBABLE.

Light to moderate snow/sleet/ice accumulations and/or accretion as far south as I-80 and as Far East as I-95 with corresponding advisories has been my call, and I see no reason to change that. This was a HUGE step in that direction and darn near matches it as is, but think we can get an earlier transition by 1-3 hours yet, which is the wild card right now for southern and eastern zones of my outlines region. Don’t sleep on it, Jman.

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Post by Vinnydula on Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:25 am

Heavy rain at 36. Just yucky
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Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:31 am

Yup this is definitely colder than most modeling. Just drove from Fishkill, NY to Greentown, PA after work and drove through snain the whole way. Then when I climbed to the Pocono Plateau we have freezing snain up here. Really interesting; can’t say I’ve ever experienced this before lol

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Post by docstox12 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:05 am

LOL, freezing snain love it! Brings back to me and old song "the snain in Spain stays mainly in the Plain",LOL.How are things in Greentown rb?I get off that exit on 84 and pass Frank's Family Restaurant to get to Wallenpaupack to my old Frat Pal's house these past 43 years.I think it's Route 507 or 502.

Here just plain rain, 35 degrees.
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Post by Radz on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:31 am

Moderate to occasionally heavy rain, 38°, some gusty winds as well- Santa is supposed to make his rounds today on the fire truck... horrible
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Post by docstox12 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:46 am

Heavy rain 35 degrees WHOOPEEEEE!
NOT!!!
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:50 am

December is not looking snowy now
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Post by dkodgis on Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:03 am

Here I am about 20 miles northwest of Doc and at 33 degrees. I have a bit of sleet out here.
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Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:06 am

@docstox12 wrote:LOL, freezing snain love it! Brings back to me and old song "the snain in Spain stays mainly in the Plain",LOL.How are things in Greentown rb?I get off that exit on 84 and pass Frank's Family Restaurant to get to Wallenpaupack to my old Frat Pal's house these past 43 years.I think it's Route 507 or 502.

Here just plain rain, 35 degrees.

Right now things are icy haha and yeah, it’s 507!! But did you mean John’s; the Italian restaurant right off 84?

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Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:07 am

@docstox12 wrote:Heavy rain 35 degrees WHOOPEEEEE!
NOT!!!

Give it time, buddy Wink

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Post by dkodgis on Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:09 am

And I have a window open an inch to listen to the rain falling before everyone is up. Peaceful.
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Post by docstox12 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:19 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@docstox12 wrote:LOL, freezing snain love it! Brings back to me and old song "the snain in Spain stays mainly in the Plain",LOL.How are things in Greentown rb?I get off that exit on 84 and pass Frank's Family Restaurant to get to Wallenpaupack to my old Frat Pal's house these past 43 years.I think it's Route 507 or 502.

Here just plain rain, 35 degrees.

Right now things are icy haha and yeah, it’s 507!! But did you mean John’s; the Italian restaurant right off 84?

Yes, rb, JOHN'S, my bad!!!! My wife and I had breakfast there last October on the way to my Pal's daughters wedding on the Lake further up on 507.That spot right around John's is where time has stood still,LOL.Looks exactly like the first time I passed through there in 1975.

Heavy rain still here.Radar looks kind of ragged behind it.
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Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:25 am

up to .77" of rain, 37°. Feel bad for my son who is going to the Giants game. just ick!

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