Re: The PLAY PEN-- Banter Thread 4.0

by mwilli5783 Mon Jan 28, 2019 2:13 pm

lets see what pux says on groundhog day....probably early spring at this point

by **heehaw453** Mon Jan 28, 2019 2:17 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Ladies and gentlemen rockin' February may not rock like we were hoping for. The long range Euro/CMC ensembles are kind of dog poop 10-15 days out, but would it surprise anyone if February had equal or less snowfall than January?

Isn't this good news though since the 10-15 day ensembles have busted all winter.

Oh, that's right, those types of trends only matter when they lead to it NOT snowing on the eastern seaboard. Ok...got it now.

LOL! I wouldn't have the audacity to post about promising ensembles at this point. That'd just be wrong based on this year's results. But you're right, this could be the break we need!

by **mikeypizano** Mon Jan 28, 2019 2:29 pm

mwilli5783 wrote:lets see what pux says on groundhog day....probably early spring at this point

I won't lie, I am hoping for early spring. I want to get into a new hobby and I need warm weather for that... Well, more of a different section of a hobby I already do... RC helicopters.

by **SENJsnowman** Mon Jan 28, 2019 2:49 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
mwilli5783 wrote:lets see what pux says on groundhog day....probably early spring at this point

I won't lie, I am hoping for early spring. I want to get into a new hobby and I need warm weather for that... Well, more of a different section of a hobby I already do... RC helicopters.

There's a RC flight club that meets down the block from me...some of those things are amazing!

by **mikeypizano** Mon Jan 28, 2019 3:06 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
mwilli5783 wrote:lets see what pux says on groundhog day....probably early spring at this point

I won't lie, I am hoping for early spring. I want to get into a new hobby and I need warm weather for that... Well, more of a different section of a hobby I already do... RC helicopters.

There's a RC flight club that meets down the block from me...some of those things are amazing!

I am quite good with a drone but they are easy lol

by **sroc4** Mon Jan 28, 2019 5:44 pm

heehaw453 wrote:Ladies and gentlemen rockin' February may not rock like we were hoping for. The long range Euro/CMC ensembles are kind of dog poop 10-15 days out, but would it surprise anyone if February had equal or less snowfall than January?

MJO at it again

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 28, 2019 5:48 pm

Winter. Time to get up. Don’t you think!

by **HectorO** Mon Jan 28, 2019 6:26 pm

sroc4 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Ladies and gentlemen rockin' February may not rock like we were hoping for. The long range Euro/CMC ensembles are kind of dog poop 10-15 days out, but would it surprise anyone if February had equal or less snowfall than January?

MJO at it again

To be honest, I don't think anyone here thought "rockin February" was actually a thing. Everyone here is in "we'll believe it when it happens" mode.

by **heehaw453** Mon Jan 28, 2019 6:48 pm

Let there be no doubt in the mythical elusive blocking!!! Book it.

The PLAY PEN-- Banter Thread 4.0 - Page 23 1-28-211

by **SENJsnowman** Mon Jan 28, 2019 6:55 pm

Yes, for me that makes it all better. Come to papa...

by **HectorO** Tue Jan 29, 2019 7:15 am

heehaw453 wrote:Let there be no doubt in the mythical elusive blocking!!! Book it.

Not booking a damn thing LOL.

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 29, 2019 7:19 am

HectorO wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Let there be no doubt in the mythical elusive blocking!!! Book it.

Not booking a damn thing LOL.

LOL, Hector!!

These maps are like mirages of an oasis in the desert this season.When you get closer they just POOF,LOL.

by Guest Tue Jan 29, 2019 7:58 am

I quit posting awhile ago (for me anyway) but I can’t resist. I check in periodically and am in absolute shock that you people still have hope. I’m actually laughing at the latest LR and some of our Mets being optimistic. How many times do you have to see the same thing happen before you realize what’s up? What do they say about insanity. Repeating the same thing over and over but expecting different results.

Post after post about pattern changes and assured snow chances.

Freaking out over TPV coming in and record cold gripping us as if we haven’t experienced these temps EVERY WINTER. Winter of 2018/19 epic bust. PERIOD. And don’t expect things to change going forward

Sheesh. How many times you gotta see the same thing folks. No matter what anyone posts about chances going forward. Give it up.

by **docstox12** Tue Jan 29, 2019 8:42 am

syosnow94 wrote:I quit posting awhile ago (for me anyway) but I can’t resist. I check in periodically and am in absolute shock that you people still have hope. I’m actually laughing at the latest LR and some of our Mets being optimistic. How many times do you have to see the same thing happen before you realize what’s up? What do they say about insanity. Repeating the same thing over and over but expecting different results.

Post after post about pattern changes and assured snow chances.

Freaking out over TPV coming in and record cold gripping us as if we haven’t experienced these temps EVERY WINTER. Winter of 2018/19 epic bust. PERIOD. And don’t expect things to change going forward

Sheesh. How many times you gotta see the same thing folks. No matter what anyone posts about chances going forward. Give it up.

As former Assistant Director of the OTI Sanitarium, you do have to realize there is insanity amongst snow lovers.It's a LONG stretch from May 1 to Oct 1 so I hang in there until Mar 15th before throwing in the towel.I don't listen to the long range model readers I look at the calendar and right now I see over 2 months of snow time left.

by **mikeypizano** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:00 am

syosnow94 wrote:I quit posting awhile ago (for me anyway) but I can’t resist. I check in periodically and am in absolute shock that you people still have hope. I’m actually laughing at the latest LR and some of our Mets being optimistic. How many times do you have to see the same thing happen before you realize what’s up? What do they say about insanity. Repeating the same thing over and over but expecting different results.

Post after post about pattern changes and assured snow chances.

Freaking out over TPV coming in and record cold gripping us as if we haven’t experienced these temps EVERY WINTER. Winter of 2018/19 epic bust. PERIOD. And don’t expect things to change going forward

Sheesh. How many times you gotta see the same thing folks. No matter what anyone posts about chances going forward. Give it up.

EXACTLY! Everytime I hear the crap like pattern change, its coming etc etc etc I just want to scream! This winter SUCKS! I don't care if we had FOUR 20 inch storms next month, it doesn't change anything... Get over it. Its a bad winter... It happens...

by **RJB8525** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:21 am

long range models ARE THE DEVIL. they constantly set us up for 300 hours out and choke within under 200. it's our fault for looking at them with an ounce of hope

by **mikeypizano** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:22 am

RJB8525 wrote:long range models ARE THE DEVIL. they constantly set us up for 300 hours out and choke within under 200. it's our fault for looking at them with an ounce of hope

I am seriously starting to think these models should only be available to actual meteorologists who have a degree...

by **RJB8525** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:30 am

mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:long range models ARE THE DEVIL. they constantly set us up for 300 hours out and choke within under 200. it's our fault for looking at them with an ounce of hope

I am seriously starting to think these models should only be available to actual meteorologists who have a degree...

you have so many weather pages on Facebook and Twitter who have access and post them hyping it up...that's what killed weather modeling

by **mikeypizano** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:31 am

RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:long range models ARE THE DEVIL. they constantly set us up for 300 hours out and choke within under 200. it's our fault for looking at them with an ounce of hope

I am seriously starting to think these models should only be available to actual meteorologists who have a degree...

you have so many weather pages on Facebook and Twitter who have access and post them hyping it up...that's what killed weather modeling

Like NYC Weather Alerts...

by **RJB8525** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:32 am

mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:long range models ARE THE DEVIL. they constantly set us up for 300 hours out and choke within under 200. it's our fault for looking at them with an ounce of hope

I am seriously starting to think these models should only be available to actual meteorologists who have a degree...

you have so many weather pages on Facebook and Twitter who have access and post them hyping it up...that's what killed weather modeling

Like NYC Weather Alerts...

You question these people and they instantly ban you because they can't answer any questions and get pissed

by **mikeypizano** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:35 am

RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:long range models ARE THE DEVIL. they constantly set us up for 300 hours out and choke within under 200. it's our fault for looking at them with an ounce of hope

I am seriously starting to think these models should only be available to actual meteorologists who have a degree...

you have so many weather pages on Facebook and Twitter who have access and post them hyping it up...that's what killed weather modeling

Like NYC Weather Alerts...

You question these people and they instantly ban you because they can't answer any questions and get pissed

Or lock threads because its not going their way...

by **HectorO** Tue Jan 29, 2019 7:03 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:long range models ARE THE DEVIL. they constantly set us up for 300 hours out and choke within under 200. it's our fault for looking at them with an ounce of hope

I am seriously starting to think these models should only be available to actual meteorologists who have a degree...

you have so many weather pages on Facebook and Twitter who have access and post them hyping it up...that's what killed weather modeling

Like NYC Weather Alerts...

You question these people and they instantly ban you because they can't answer any questions and get pissed

Or lock threads because its not going their way...

To be fair (other than this year) the many who put the time in on this board have been right on several occasions. And I know we can say things like "wishing those with degrees" would be privileged to be on here and talking to us about weather. But this is an amateur page as well. Just like there are amateur astronomers.

by **Dunnzoo** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:29 pm

Anyone who continues to bash ANYONE on this board will be banned. We are all disappointed in how this winter has turned out so far, but all this bashing is NOT ACCEPTABLE. I don't care if it's in the playpen thread...knock it off, you've been warned.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Jan 29, 2019 9:56 pm

Upstate New York will be in my version of heaven for the next couple of days. Notice it says additional snow accumulations of 3-4 feet in areas, so who knows what they've already received. I keep meaning to drive up there for one of these.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 142 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019 NYZ007-008-300245- /O.UPG.KBUF.WC.A.0002.190130T2200Z-190131T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WC.W.0002.190130T2200Z-190131T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190201T1200Z/ Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville 142 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 4 feet in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero expected. * WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties with highest snow amounts over the Tug Hill Plateau.

by **GreyBeard** Tue Jan 29, 2019 10:11 pm

You should take that drive CP and cross that off your bucket list. That tug hill plateau always gets bombed. I'm surprised the lakes aren't frozen by this time though.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 30, 2019 7:40 am

Bored.

by **billg315** Wed Jan 30, 2019 9:04 am

Ditto.

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