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Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:13 pm

sroc4 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Euro  with another tick colder

And a tick warmer with the Sunday into Monday event
Wrong thread Scott - start one for Sunday into Monday

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Post by sroc4 Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:17 pm

amugs wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Euro  with another tick colder

And a tick warmer with the Sunday into Monday event
Wrong thread Scott - start one for Sunday into Monday

At work..no time. Quick update on euro overall.

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:46 pm

sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Euro  with another tick colder

And a tick warmer with the Sunday into Monday event
Wrong thread Scott - start one for Sunday into Monday

At work..no time.  Quick update on euro overall.  

Tend to the animals Noah and I'll start one my man - no worries Smile

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:55 pm

amugs wrote:3-5" baby!!NYC and N , LI, SW CT!

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 ?format=go&jsonp=vglnk_155146371399713&key=e1e7dc862af11f29652fc542d68928ac&libId=jsqdeluz0102n0l7000DAfauor2oy&loc=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain.com%2Ftopic%2F1598-friday-31-saturday-32-sn-sneaky-coastal%2F%3Fpage%3D28&v=1&out=https%3A%2F%2Fs3.amazonaws.com%2F33andrain%2Fmonthly_2019_03%2F5c79715987cbe.png.edf58f84e5042b9f56e9d1dd99546ab4.png&ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 5c79715dcf85c.png.3e0302134a2cf22a1ab2431d7ac50709

Very much inline with short range mesos. Approved!!!

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Post by gigs68 Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:57 pm

You know its been a bad winter when people are getting this excited over 3"
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 01, 2019 2:01 pm

gigs68 wrote:You know its been a bad winter when people are getting this excited over 3"

So true

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 01, 2019 2:37 pm

We don't live in Tug Hill or Truckee CA - so 3" is a decently solid storm for this area, the spoils of the last 10 years is at play.
The way this winter has gone you should be excited over this storm cause it has impacts on the next one bigly. Big Picture.

Who wants some Thunder??

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 D0mJkQcX4AIv2UD

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Post by RJB8525 Fri Mar 01, 2019 2:59 pm

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 Screen11
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Post by aiannone Fri Mar 01, 2019 3:18 pm

18z NAM is nice for everyone north of CNJ
Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 Captur24

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Post by aiannone Fri Mar 01, 2019 3:32 pm

317 PM EST Fri Mar 1 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and sleet expected. Total accumulations of 2 to 4
inches expected, with the higher amounts expected farther west
and closer to the north shore.

* WHERE...Nassau and Northwestern Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to noon EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Mar 01, 2019 4:05 pm

aiannone wrote:18z NAM is nice for everyone north of CNJ
Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 Captur24
that 32* line runs right thru my town!!!
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 01, 2019 4:29 pm

Mt Holly and Upton's take on tonight.  Seems reasonable to me.   I think coastal NJ gets something out of this too. Seems pretty cold to me at midlevels.

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Post by frank 638 Fri Mar 01, 2019 4:36 pm

Upton has the city for 3 to 4 inches of snow I will take it after having a miserable horrible winter so far

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 01, 2019 4:54 pm

NWS went from 2" at 7AM to 5" they read my posts here LOL!

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Post by rb924119 Fri Mar 01, 2019 5:45 pm

I think the NWS is much too high outside of southereastern New England. But that’s just me lol Scott’s map is much more reasonable, and even 4” I think will be largely unattainable. Personally my max would be a narrow strip of 1-3” just north of the City on a SW-NE axis.

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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Mar 01, 2019 6:09 pm

amugs wrote:NWS went from 2" at 7AM to 5" they read my posts here LOL!

Or my FB page! Lol I started at 3-4 this morning and bumped it up to 4-5" earlier this afternoon..

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by sroc4 Fri Mar 01, 2019 6:24 pm

rb924119 wrote:I think the NWS is much too high outside of southereastern New England. But that’s just me lol Scott’s map is much more reasonable, and even 4” I think will be largely unattainable. Personally my max would be a narrow strip of 1-3” just north of the City on a SW-NE axis.

Beware the North Shore of LI. #microclimate.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 01, 2019 6:33 pm

Latest Hrrr getting more aggressive with totals. 4”+.

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Post by sroc4 Fri Mar 01, 2019 6:39 pm

sroc4 wrote: Ill adjust pending todays High res S/R models if needed.  

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 First_10

After a long day and week and now two glasses of vino, I don’t think I’m going to change much. Enjoy what you get and try not to get upset.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by frank 638 Fri Mar 01, 2019 7:00 pm

sroc4 wrote:
sroc4 wrote: Ill adjust pending todays High res S/R models if needed.  

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 First_10

After a long day and week and now two glasses of vino, I don’t think I’m going to change much.  Enjoy what you get and try not to get upset.
thank you for your map u put up I'm happy when you put up for me I just want I will take anything for a lousy winter we were having so far

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 01, 2019 7:39 pm

18Z euro about 5” for nyc area and epa. Not sure I believe that but at least it’s moving in right direction with support from mesos.

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Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Mar 01, 2019 9:19 pm

Latest HRRR looking amped. Has some localized 5 inch totals over northern Jersey.
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Post by dkodgis Fri Mar 01, 2019 9:36 pm

It is looking like the snow is starting later like about 3 am. Will it go longer then into tomorrow and end closer toward the start of Sat/Sun systemv
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 01, 2019 10:29 pm

D starting by you about 1amish and ending around 7/8amish

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 Hrrr_asnow_neus_18

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 01, 2019 10:48 pm

NICE BUMP on HI RES MODEL ENS

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 D0n5kdqWkAA8ITy

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 01, 2019 10:50 pm

Here it comes

Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019 - Page 3 Bgm_None_anim

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Irish Fri Mar 01, 2019 11:57 pm

Precip has started by me, all rain.
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