Sneaky Coastal Wave - Saturday March 2nd 2019

@sroc4 wrote:

@amugs wrote:

@sroc4 wrote:

@sroc4 wrote:Euro  with another tick colder

And a tick warmer with the Sunday into Monday event

Wrong thread Scott - start one for Sunday into Monday

At work..no time.  Quick update on euro overall.  

Tend to the animals Noah and I'll start one my man - no worries

@amugs wrote:3-5" baby!!NYC and N , LI, SW CT!

Very much inline with short range mesos. Approved!!!

You know its been a bad winter when people are getting this excited over 3"

@gigs68 wrote:You know its been a bad winter when people are getting this excited over 3"

So true

We don't live in Tug Hill or Truckee CA - so 3" is a decently solid storm for this area, the spoils of the last 10 years is at play.
The way this winter has gone you should be excited over this storm cause it has impacts on the next one bigly. Big Picture.

Who wants some Thunder??

18z NAM is nice for everyone north of CNJ

317 PM EST Fri Mar 1 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and sleet expected. Total accumulations of 2 to 4
inches expected, with the higher amounts expected farther west
and closer to the north shore.

* WHERE...Nassau and Northwestern Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to noon EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

@aiannone wrote:18z NAM is nice for everyone north of CNJ

that 32* line runs right thru my town!!!

Mt Holly and Upton's take on tonight.  Seems reasonable to me.   I think coastal NJ gets something out of this too. Seems pretty cold to me at midlevels.

NWS went from 2" at 7AM to 5" they read my posts here LOL!

I think the NWS is much too high outside of southereastern New England. But that’s just me lol Scott’s map is much more reasonable, and even 4” I think will be largely unattainable. Personally my max would be a narrow strip of 1-3” just north of the City on a SW-NE axis.

@amugs wrote:NWS went from 2" at 7AM to 5" they read my posts here LOL!

Or my FB page! Lol I started at 3-4 this morning and bumped it up to 4-5" earlier this afternoon..

@rb924119 wrote:I think the NWS is much too high outside of southereastern New England. But that’s just me lol Scott’s map is much more reasonable, and even 4” I think will be largely unattainable. Personally my max would be a narrow strip of 1-3” just north of the City on a SW-NE axis.

Beware the North Shore of LI. #microclimate.

Latest Hrrr getting more aggressive with totals. 4”+.

@sroc4 wrote: Ill adjust pending todays High res S/R models if needed.  

After a long day and week and now two glasses of vino, I don’t think I’m going to change much. Enjoy what you get and try not to get upset.

18Z euro about 5” for nyc area and epa. Not sure I believe that but at least it’s moving in right direction with support from mesos.

Latest HRRR looking amped. Has some localized 5 inch totals over northern Jersey.

It is looking like the snow is starting later like about 3 am. Will it go longer then into tomorrow and end closer toward the start of Sat/Sun systemv

D starting by you about 1amish and ending around 7/8amish

NICE BUMP on HI RES MODEL ENS

Here it comes

Precip has started by me, all rain.