Search found 5 matches for cold

Long Range Discussion 23.0

amugs wrote:

Was the focus of this week's blog but latest #PolarVortex (PV) animation suggestive of yet another stretched PV in early February that favors #cold/#snow in eastern N America possibly followed by a bigger PV disruption as troposphere becomes more favorable to exciting wave energy pic.twitter.com/8qGuHYPUUU

— Judah Cohen (@judah47) January 25, 2022

Right on cue, baby! Trust the process - all proceeding according to plan

Long Range Discussion 23.0

Was the focus of this week's blog but latest #PolarVortex (PV) animation suggestive of yet another stretched PV in early February that favors #cold/#snow in eastern N America possibly followed by a bigger PV disruption as troposphere becomes more favorable to exciting wave energy pic.twitter.com/8qGuHYPUUU

— Judah Cohen (@judah47) January 25, 2022

Long Range Discussion 22.0

amugs wrote:You guys are using OP 500mb maps a week out in this most volatile pattern with HUGE changes between the MJO in Phase 8, SOI crash, a cut off low in the Baja of Cali = Split Flow and STJ injection happening not to mention a NAO going Negative, EPO and PNA flipping with a PV entering the picture?
ENS peeps are teh way to go. In no way can one say this is a miss at the 15-17th time frame at this stage with all the aforementioned IMO.
Time will tell. GEFS and EURO ENS are showing some very good LP positions and indicy members. Just like Friday's storm models are going o struggle mightily until we are in a few days.
Time will tell but the Massive Ocean storm has a huge role in the follow up system. If that system doesn't exit quick enough than we may very miss the 15-17th but if it does than the follow up storm can come N.

Bump that's all.

EPO on EURO is insanely Negative - this would rival the 93-94 January MLK week cold outbreak



Saturday and Sunday are colder than today - the Arctic air comes N NW not NW which allowed the Great Lakes to help modify the air a bit than modeled a few days ago.

This is exactly what we want to see for a sustained cold adn stormy pattern

GEFS is locked into a well-oiled machine at the moment. Low in Scandi/Barents, High in E Asia, Low in the Aleutians, Highs dropping down E of the Rockies. It's quite a sight pic.twitter.com/qrS3Q0ThPa

— griteater (@griteater) January 11, 2022

Stretch it real good!! You may say well the PV is very strong and yes very looking at Zonal wind charts BUT we an elongation that has taken place and looks to be sustained through the end of the month and maybe beyond as a result of teh MJO phase 6 adn the +EAMT along with the SCAN HP through the last 2.5 week of December.

"Once, twice, three times a stretched PV" This morning's GFS suggestive of two more stretched polar vortex events for the hattrick this month. This would likely persist #cold & possibly #snowy pattern across eastern North America. Confident about the first, second is speculative. pic.twitter.com/AF98FBHVYl

— Judah Cohen (@judah47) January 11, 2022

Buckle up peeps we are gonna be tracking for a nice period of time. Don't fret if every storm isn't a bomb etc and please have patience to the pattern and not live n die by every OP run. Recognize the pattern is conducive for opportunities and as I said in my rant above - this is a volatile pattern and even the ENS will struggle to pick up on things BUT we can see Friday storm guidance dance with some of these storms. Ala 14-15 and 17-18 IMO.
The Aleutian Low recycling is very important to blocking the Pac Jet and its retraction as is the Siberian and Korean Peninsula Systems. This will allow teh EPO to stay and PNA to rise.

April 2021 Observations and Discussion

My Asparagus is up and already being harvested, may throw in some broccoli for the cool start as well...

amugs wrote:Mail it in this sucks for April. Not planting until middle of May again.

Is April the new March? Models predicting plenty of relatively #cold temperatures and even #snow for the Northeastern US through the end of the month. Is Mother Nature hinting at our upcoming summer? pic.twitter.com/UGdtk0UyhU

— Judah Cohen (@judah47) April 18, 2021

April 2021 Observations and Discussion

Mail it in this sucks for April. Not planting until middle of May again.

Is April the new March? Models predicting plenty of relatively #cold temperatures and even #snow for the Northeastern US through the end of the month. Is Mother Nature hinting at our upcoming summer? pic.twitter.com/UGdtk0UyhU

— Judah Cohen (@judah47) April 18, 2021