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January 18th Winter Storm Looms

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Post by hyde345 Fri Jan 17, 2020 11:53 pm

amugs wrote:If this WRF is finally right it would be incredible. It nailed last week tornado outbreak and the storm totals in the upper midwest. So well see.
From SS at 33nRain board
January 18th Winter Storm Looms - Page 6 Sn10_acc.us_ne.png.30b094bffeabf734c3e73ed345be75a2

That's crazy but I would take the 8.7 near me, lol.

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Post by heehaw453 Sat Jan 18, 2020 2:27 am

At 0Z NAM is by far the most aggressive with the warming at 800mb. Let's see if it's right.

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Post by dkodgis Sat Jan 18, 2020 7:00 am

We track!

The Orange county gang is no different. Already we are in full tracking mode.

January 18th Winter Storm Looms - Page 6 Marx_Brothers_042__R_c07ea0b6-6d4d-4eda-9cc9-17c2fe28e87d

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 18, 2020 8:20 am

^^^^LOL!!
Radar most Virga in this
January 18th Winter Storm Looms - Page 6 Inxr1Knyca_h

Wider View
January 18th Winter Storm Looms - Page 6 RAD_MOS_REG_NE_L2NCR_ANI.gif.318bc9239d7f2619871734e1678b2507

6Z Euro holds
January 18th Winter Storm Looms - Page 6 5B488FFE-A305-4BB4-A6BC-8C917F620CF0.png.c27d229bf849cb58c10a0942877483fa


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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by bobjohnsonforthehall Sat Jan 18, 2020 8:23 am

Driving north of Baltimore under a line of what looked like would be snow but turned out to be virga.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 18, 2020 8:27 am

Appears start time is closer to 2pm now

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Post by docstox12 Sat Jan 18, 2020 8:31 am

heehaw453 wrote:At 0Z NAM is by far the most aggressive with the warming at 800mb.  Let's see if it's right.

Looks like NWS is buying that 800 mb warming.I went from all snow to 3 or 4hours of rain and up to 38 degrees after midnight.
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Post by aiannone Sat Jan 18, 2020 8:57 am

All depends on how quickly winds go south and southerly flow increases. If that little secondary low pops south of LI winds could go NE and hold the snow on a bit longer and only have a little rain to finish out the storm

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Post by dkodgis Sat Jan 18, 2020 9:01 am

I saw that about the rain. I am surprised about that because the high is projected at 29 today up here. Icing near the end?
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Post by hyde345 Sat Jan 18, 2020 10:44 am

docstox12 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:At 0Z NAM is by far the most aggressive with the warming at 800mb.  Let's see if it's right.

Looks like NWS is buying that 800 mb warming.I went from all snow to 3 or 4hours of rain and up to 38 degrees after midnight.

The precip will be basically over even if it turns to light rain/drizzle late tonite. It's going to be a mainly snow event in HV.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 18, 2020 10:56 am

For N&W crew I wouldn’t expect much rain but a period of sleet or freezing rain is likely before precip shuts off

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