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April 2020 Observations and Discussion

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SkiSeadooJoe
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Apr 12, 2020 2:28 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:12z Euro, widespread 70-80mph wind gusts

April 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 EVbBvWNWkAYnwiw?format=jpg&name=medium

Tomorrow looks horrid. 1-2" of rain and 50+ mph wind gusts. Not buying into anything higher than 50-55 mph right now but even that is quite windy

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Apr 12, 2020 2:28 pm

I think the Euro is probably too widespread with 75mph winds, probably more isolated for those gusts. Definitely all models support for 60-70 mph wind gusts though

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Apr 12, 2020 2:31 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:12z Euro, widespread 70-80mph wind gusts

April 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 EVbBvWNWkAYnwiw?format=jpg&name=medium
Huh, thats 010z Tuesday which is what 5am? I thought this was only a monday thing?

I think that's just the max gust through that time, it definitely happens earlier than the timestamp here. Probably just a later time to show high gusts in New England also

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Apr 12, 2020 2:46 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:12z Euro, widespread 70-80mph wind gusts

April 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 EVbBvWNWkAYnwiw?format=jpg&name=medium
Huh, thats 010z Tuesday which is what 5am? I thought this was only a monday thing?

I think that's just the max gust through that time, it definitely happens earlier than the timestamp here. Probably just a later time to show high gusts in New England also
Oh this is accumulated, I did not notice that. NVM
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Apr 12, 2020 3:58 pm

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
354 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

CTZ009-010-NYZ071>075-176>179-130830-
/O.UPG.KOKX.HW.A.0001.200413T1000Z-200413T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.HW.W.0002.200413T1000Z-200413T2200Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Westchester-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
354 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph
expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New
York.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
Even sturdy and well secured tent structures could be damaged.
Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
especially for high profile vehicles.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Apr 12, 2020 4:17 pm

amugs wrote:HAPPY EASTER EVERYONE!! Hope you all are safe and healthy!
JMAN - IF this comes to fruition this is going to rival some of SAndy's winds (NOT SAYING THIS IS SANDY!!)
April 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 1586815200-AquZYFdvttI

our highest gusts during Sandy were 90MPH...crazy if it comes to frutition...HOPE YOU AND YOUR FAMILY ARE SAFE AND WELL and you are enjoying virtual teaching.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Apr 12, 2020 4:21 pm

Hope this day finds everyone safe and happy with there families. Happy Easter
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Post by billg315 Sun Apr 12, 2020 4:47 pm

Torrential Rain, damaging tropical force wind gusts and thunder? What’s not to like about tomorrow morning? Ugh. Lol. Annndd. . . The NAM and GFS still showing a period of snow Wednesday morning. Very Happy
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Apr 13, 2020 12:36 am

Wow HRRR has 110kt 850mb winds over the area for a time period....thats nuts if true, easily 70mph gusts if not higher.

April 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Hrrr_m10
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Apr 13, 2020 7:19 am

Looks like winds may bust with this
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Post by Zhukov1945 Mon Apr 13, 2020 8:43 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:Looks like winds may bust with this

Rain is certainly there - thought I saw winds were supposed to crank around midday?
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Post by dkodgis Mon Apr 13, 2020 8:47 am

Wind here is 15ish mph
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Post by Zhukov1945 Mon Apr 13, 2020 8:49 am

dkodgis wrote:Wind here is 15ish mph

Noticeably picking up here in the last 30 mins or so, though still pretty light
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Post by aiannone Mon Apr 13, 2020 9:13 am

Peak wind gust so far for me on LI has been 29mph at 8:40am

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Post by frank 638 Mon Apr 13, 2020 9:14 am

When I was driving to work at 5 AM the winds are calm the only thing we had was heavy rain now the winds are picking up on the south .

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Post by phil155 Mon Apr 13, 2020 9:34 am

I thought the winds were really supposed to start cranking after this am batch of heavier rain. I would be more than happy to see the wind forecast bust on the low side as many are working from home and we need power and internet access

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Apr 13, 2020 10:05 am

The winds are blowing pretty good here. A large part of nj is under a advisory only immediate coast has warning and yes once this big batch rain drives in like right now I can hear the wind it's loud.
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Post by dkodgis Mon Apr 13, 2020 10:39 am

Some folks in Highland Falls have lost power and report the winds are howling. That is down county. Up here, near Sullivan...winds are still modest as of 10:45 am
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Apr 13, 2020 10:49 am

The wind is crazy here. Sounds like a non stop roar. Rain is sweeping across in sustained winds and in past hour power outages rose from 2000 to 4200. So far we still have ours. I'm glad I'm on break this week so I don't have worry bout my video sessions today.
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Post by billg315 Mon Apr 13, 2020 10:56 am

Heavy rain all morning with gusty winds whipping. So far about 1.3” of rain. I think the worst winds may come late this morning and this afternoon with the approaching lines of thunderstorms. There have been reports of 60-70 mph wind gusts in Central PA this morning.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Apr 13, 2020 10:58 am

billg315 wrote:Heavy rain all morning with gusty winds whipping. So far about 1.3” of rain. I think the worst winds may come late this morning and this afternoon with the approaching lines of thunderstorms. There have been reports of 60-70 mph wind gusts in Central PA this morning.
wow. It has to have been 40 to 50 gusts here trees are bending pretty far.
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Post by phil155 Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:00 am

In central NJ and luckily thus far it is not bad, the winds have picked up for sure but so far luckily we are ok here

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:31 am

Right in cue like Bill. I'm over here in Hastings on Hudson which is right by river and winds are insane. They upped our wind warning to 70mph. And I cam see why especially if this increases. Lots of small branches down snd seen 1 big tree. 7500 power outages.
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Post by billg315 Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:35 am

The National Weather Service has issued a Tornado Watch for the entire Mt Holly NWS coverage area until 6 p.m.


Last edited by billg315 on Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:38 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by dkodgis Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:37 am

Friends near Atlantic City tell me the wind is howling.
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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:43 am

Wind is howling, trees and power lines down, 1.62" of rain so far. And it is going to be worse later when the front comes through. Hang on everyone!

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
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Post by amugs Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:53 am

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 119
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020

TORNADO WATCH 119 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-
041-132200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0119.200413T1530Z-200413T2200Z/

NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX
MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN
SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX
WARREN
$$
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS
BLAIR BUCKS CAMBRIA
CARBON CENTRE CHESTER
CLINTON COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND
DAUPHIN DELAWARE FRANKLIN
FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA
LANCASTER LEBANON LEHIGH
LUZERNE LYCOMING MIFFLIN
MONROE MONTGOMERY MONTOUR
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY
PHILADELPHIA SCHUYLKILL SNYDER
SOMERSET SULLIVAN UNION
YORK

The winds are picking up 50K wout power in NJ - buddy at PSEG is expecting that number to double or even triple when the brunt comes through especially along the coastal regions.
Hold on peeps the show is about to starting

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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