Re: August 2020 Observations and Discussion

by **dkodgis** Sat Aug 22, 2020 3:32 pm

90. Sunny. Hot. Making sun tea

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:02 pm

dkodgis wrote:90. Sunny. Hot. Making sun te a

ooh sounds good I should make some too...

by **amugs** Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:56 pm

Severe weather possible TUESDAY up here and remnants of Laura poassible for the weekend.

Severe by RGEM

by **amugs** Mon Aug 24, 2020 12:02 am

Remnants Saturday??
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020082318/gfs_ref_frzn_neus_24.png August 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_ref_frzn_neus_24

August 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_ref_frzn_neus_24

by **jmanley32** Mon Aug 24, 2020 12:15 pm

amugs wrote:Severe weather possible TUESDAY up here and remnants of Laura poassible for the weekend.

Severe by RGEM

No image, maybe try clearing your cookies as you said a while back your image is stuck on a old radar.

by **jmanley32** Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:16 pm

amugs wrote:Remnants Saturday??
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020082318/gfs_ref_frzn_neus_24.png

Euro has 982mb Low off south LI from remnants of Laura, could be a breezt wet weekend, blah.

by **billg315** Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:06 pm

Hot and humid, per usual. 89* here with a dewpoint of 70*. Storms starting to fire up out in Central PA. Central and South NJ has an enhanced risk of severe storms (slight risk in the North Jersey/NYC metro) later this afternoon and evening. Could see the temp drop about 10-15 degrees as the line comes through. Keep your eye to the skies. Most likely timing between 4 and 8 p.m.

by **amugs** Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:47 pm

Lines in upstate NY and NW Pa
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=okx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

by **dkodgis** Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:56 pm

Yep. Hellzapoppin’ here

by **docstox12** Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:06 pm

T Storm here in Fort Lee NJ, heavy winds and rain, thunder.

by **1190ftalt** Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:23 pm

Big storm just rolled thru Ft Lee, from 24th floor, the next one is coming, this looking west to Teterboro Airport! Mid town Manhattan coming to you !

August 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 49f1cb10

August 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 F7deb410

by **dkodgis** Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:58 pm

It got dark quick, got way windy, and started to rain then stopped. This went on three times. We missed any heavy rain up heree

by **Dunnzoo** Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:16 pm

SPC wrong again, had Central and Southern NJ in the enhanced risk and we got nothing down the shore....

by **weatherwatchermom** Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:54 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:SPC wrong again, had Central and Southern NJ in the enhanced risk and we got nothing down the shore....

Yep not one drop and I still have severe exaggerating and nothing on radar

by **jmanley32** Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:16 pm

SPC has upped our area to enhanced severe tomorrow with a tornado and damaging wind risk, dunzoo as you say when they do this its usually the KOD but lets see what happens. Yesterdays t-storm here was boring and lasted 5 min.

by **jmanley32** Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:10 pm

I know we all focused on Laura but the severe potential tomorrow looks pretty severe saying potential for winds over 60mph and 2 inch hail.

by **dkodgis** Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:37 pm

A beautiful day today!

by **jmanley32** Thu Aug 27, 2020 8:39 am

Well let's see if today's enhanced significant severe threat pans out. It's unusual for our area to also be under significant severe. The discussion says wins potentially greater than 60mph and hail up to 2 inches. I have never seen anything other than pea hail but I really don't want my car totaled.

by **amugs** Thu Aug 27, 2020 9:39 am

August 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Image.png.90627451129e3e195a50ca5abf15d288

Close Up

August 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 EgbjW0RXkAE1W1f?format=jpg&name=medium

by **jmanley32** Thu Aug 27, 2020 2:09 pm

amugs wrote:

Close Up

holy crap tornado warnings and severe tstorm warning for 70mph winds and 2 inch hail in central NY. My god that's unusual. And dangerous.

by **essexcountypete** Thu Aug 27, 2020 2:35 pm

Crazy gusts for the last hour or so. Batten down the hatches.

by **jmanley32** Thu Aug 27, 2020 3:00 pm

essexcountypete wrote:Crazy gusts for the last hour or so. Batten down the hatches.

yeah the fact that winds have been gusty far ahead of any storms is not good. Apparently there is a touchdown of a tornado in Litchfield CT. If so that be their 4th tornado this year within past month which has to be a record. 1 is uncommon.

by **jmanley32** Thu Aug 27, 2020 3:22 pm

Tornado watch now for long Island and Westchester. There's a serious storm been prompt tornado warnings for a hour moving into CT. The parameters for sever weather are abnormally unstable. Shear is above 50kts. That's like Midwest type shear. And stp of 10 I never seen it that high. Cape is moderately high too.

by **amugs** Thu Aug 27, 2020 3:23 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Tornado watch now for long Island and Westchester. There's a serious storm been prompt tornado warnings for a hour moving into CT. The parameters for sever weather are abnormally unstable. Shear is above 50kts. That's like Midwest type shear. And stp of 10 I never seen it that high. Cape is moderately high too.

August 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 20200824

by **essexcountypete** Thu Aug 27, 2020 3:26 pm

That line stretches way back into NYS and beyond, and it's scary looking.

by **jmanley32** Thu Aug 27, 2020 3:45 pm

essexcountypete wrote:That line stretches way back into NYS and beyond, and it's scary looking.

and cells keep adding to it. If it holds together it's go get nasty. And they are moving in more of a training se so it could last quite a while.

by **jmanley32** Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:08 pm

Is it just me or does that bowing line coming off the lakes look like it has the potential to form a derecho? Thats going to take forever to get down here though and will likely die out unless it has insane power.

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