12/16-12/17 Godzilla: Final Snow Map & Obsevations

@SoulSingMG wrote:I still hate the GFS inherently, but this is another step in the right direction for our relationship.

12z

@dsix85 wrote:Frank-anticipated start & end time still holding firm to your prediction?

@sroc4 wrote:Here are the majoir differences in why the GFS and the NAM are different.  At 700mb you can clearly see the orientation on the NAM is SW to NE and further N overall.  GFS on the other hand is oreinted more W to E and is further S.

This means less warm nosing into the coast plain on the GFS  

While I didnt post the map below the 850 low passes south of LI which keeps that level below freezing for all.  Its a subtle detail but little wobbles to these mid level features will mean ALLLLL the difference.  

@mikeypizano wrote:...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 18 to
24 inches.

* WHERE...Southern Wayne, Pike, Lackawanna, Luzerne and Wyoming
counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
hazardous conditions will likely impact the evening and
Thursday morning commutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour
are possible late this afternoon and through the overnight.
East to northeast winds at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph,
especially at higher elevations, may cause some blowing snow and
isolated power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorist to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit
www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic
conditions.

&&

Looks like I will be getting hammered!

@billg315 wrote:Current radar situation:

@weatherwatchermom wrote:

@Frank_Wx wrote:Today is going to be an epic battle between warm vs cold air. Tracking it will be lots of fun.

Current temps:



Current wet bulb temps. Based off these two images, you can kind of tell where the R/S line might be.



Current surface depiction. Our storm is getting going off the coast of NC. The red line is the latest GFS track. This is what you want to track all day long. Does the low follow the due north-northwest path, or does it stay more north-northeast.

Good Morning,
I did not follow along yesterday(had a migrane and threw a tantrum..when I saw things going down hill..) back to my self today!! so I have a question on the first map..the cold line is the purple line. I am a tiny bit above the battle zone area..so I want to understand as I follow along. Currently at 31* with the real feel of 26 feel and smells like snow!! what ever we get we get..TIA winds are steady at 10  funny some coming out of north east other out of south east..is that part of the battle????

@Frank_Wx wrote:Today is going to be an epic battle between warm vs cold air. Tracking it will be lots of fun.

Current temps:



Current wet bulb temps. Based off these two images, you can kind of tell where the R/S line might be.



Current surface depiction. Our storm is getting going off the coast of NC. The red line is the latest GFS track. This is what you want to track all day long. Does the low follow the due north-northwest path, or does it stay more north-northeast.