JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021

sroc4 wrote:That pesky euro insists on snow down into MbY

The track of the H5 is very good for North Shore.  I also believe that area could be very pleasantly surprised with this.  The only reason we aren't more excited is the air mass quite honestly.

NYC may also get quite a surprise out of this.

heehaw453 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:That pesky euro insists on snow down into MbY

The track of the H5 is very good for North Shore.  I also believe that area could be very pleasantly surprised with this.  The only reason we aren't more excited is the air mass quite honestly.

NYC may also get quite a surprise out of this.

I was talking to Scott earlier how a few weeks ago when we had a coastal with marginal cold air we had flakes mixing in when winds went due north and sound temps were in the mid 50s. Now we have sound temps in the low 40s (around 42) and a bit better if an airmass to work with. Models have due north winds at the time of the heaviest Precip with the possible ccb band swinging through. That might be enough to thump. We will see.

Fairly close range now and the NAM is completely unimpressed with this storm. Weak and sheared out mess with absolutely no dynamics for the eastern areas. It's very different than Euro at this time for the eastern areas particularly LI and SNE.

heehaw453 wrote:Fairly close range now and the NAM is completely unimpressed with this storm.  Weak and sheared out mess with absolutely no dynamics for the eastern areas.  It's very different than Euro at this time for the eastern areas particularly LI and SNE.  

Latest HRRR is the same story

According to that I may see 1-4 inches, is that right? I do not think it will be cold enough.

Sticking with my call of 4-6 inches for I-84 and north. 2-4 inches just S-SW of there and 1-3 inches across NW NJ. NYC Metro including NE NJ and LI up to one inch.

Up here it looks like temps are going to hover at 32 daytime. It will be interesting to see what comes down

Snow and sleet mixture. 31.5 ground is coated including street.

850s are above freezing. 925s are below.

The Para GFS 06Z run is spot on with the setup so far.  Let's see.

You can clearly see a CAD signature.  If the track remains favorable I expect more frozen than liquid out of this.  I78 on northward.  Doesn't mean there won't be mixing there, but just not rain per se.

Snowing now in Bloomfield, temp 34.

Snowing!!  32°. Big flakes.  Sticking to everything, even though it’s only been snowing for 5-10 minutes!

35* and sleeting...you can hear the pinging. Winds out of the north at 12 mph Stay safe everyone!!

Was coming down nicely and has now stopped. Big dendrites. Dropped about 3/4".

Light sleet and snow, no stickage.

Wow radar is pathetic, has one small strip of snow from south to north and thats it, not even width of NJ.

Snowing nicely here. Sicking To everything

The snow has arrived in northern Orange county. Light flurries at 10:30 am

phil155 wrote:Icy mess but looking at radar it looks like it should end soon. Should we expect precip to fill in and start again later on

jmanley32 wrote:Wow radar is pathetic, has one small strip of snow from south to north and thats it, not even width of NJ.

That was not the storm. It was enhanced precip ahead of the main event.

Moderate sleet mixed with some flakes here on the north shore. Damn..

Snow has stopped.  It’s not doing anything right now.  I got 1/2 inch on my deck.  I’ll take it!  Hoping for more later, but not optimistic with temps supposed to rise.

Still 32° though.