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Tracking Weather one Storm at a Time


JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021

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NJ Strong Weather Forum  :: NJ Strong Weather Discussions :: Official Weather Talk Thread

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Post by heehaw453 Sat Jan 02, 2021 9:19 pm

Fairly close range now and the NAM is completely unimpressed with this storm. Weak and sheared out mess with absolutely no dynamics for the eastern areas. It's very different than Euro at this time for the eastern areas particularly LI and SNE.

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Post by aiannone Sat Jan 02, 2021 9:31 pm

@heehaw453 wrote:Fairly close range now and the NAM is completely unimpressed with this storm.  Weak and sheared out mess with absolutely no dynamics for the eastern areas.  It's very different than Euro at this time for the eastern areas particularly LI and SNE.  

Latest HRRR is the same story
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 02, 2021 10:52 pm

RGEM says hello Euro I have your back

JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021 - Page 2 Rgem-a10
JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021 - Page 2 Rgem-a10

JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021 - Page 2 Rgem-all-nystate-instant_ptype-1609632000-1609686000-1609761600-20.gif.45e88b4d4bf8e0e8e09595844fecd822

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 02, 2021 11:08 pm

According to that I may see 1-4 inches, is that right? I do not think it will be cold enough.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 03, 2021 1:21 am

Sticking with my call of 4-6 inches for I-84 and north. 2-4 inches just S-SW of there and 1-3 inches across NW NJ. NYC Metro including NE NJ and LI up to one inch.

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Post by dkodgis Sun Jan 03, 2021 7:55 am

Up here it looks like temps are going to hover at 32 daytime. It will be interesting to see what comes down


Last edited by dkodgis on Sun Jan 03, 2021 8:15 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 03, 2021 8:01 am

Snow and sleet mixture. 31.5 ground is coated including street.

850s are above freezing. 925s are below.

JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021 - Page 2 850s28

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 03, 2021 8:06 am

The Para GFS 06Z run is spot on with the setup so far.  Let's see.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 03, 2021 8:15 am

You can clearly see a CAD signature.  If the track remains favorable I expect more frozen than liquid out of this.  I78 on northward.  Doesn't mean there won't be mixing there, but just not rain per se.

JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021 - Page 2 Cad12

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Post by kalleg Sun Jan 03, 2021 8:50 am

Snowing in New Hope, PA, 33, street coated, grass barely covered...

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Post by essexcountypete Sun Jan 03, 2021 9:39 am

Snowing now in Bloomfield, temp 34.
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Post by brownie Sun Jan 03, 2021 9:40 am

Snowing!!  32°. Big flakes.  Sticking to everything, even though it’s only been snowing for 5-10 minutes!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 03, 2021 9:42 am

35* and sleeting...you can hear the pinging. Winds out of the north at 12 mph Stay safe everyone!!

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 03, 2021 9:51 am

Was coming down nicely and has now stopped. Big dendrites. Dropped about 3/4".

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Post by frank 638 Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:05 am

Light sleet by me

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:16 am

Light sleet and snow, no stickage.
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Post by phil155 Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:16 am

Icy mess but looking at radar it looks like it should end soon. Should we expect precip to fill in and start again later on

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:18 am

Wow radar is pathetic, has one small strip of snow from south to north and thats it, not even width of NJ.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:18 am

33* and snow, nice size flakes.

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Post by Vinnydula Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:26 am

Snowing nicely here. Sicking To everything
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Post by dkodgis Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:44 am

The snow has arrived in northern Orange county. Light flurries at 10:30 am
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:45 am

@phil155 wrote:Icy mess but looking at radar it looks like it should end soon. Should we expect precip to fill in and start again later on

@jmanley32 wrote:Wow radar is pathetic, has one small strip of snow from south to north and thats it, not even width of NJ.

That was not the storm. It was enhanced precip ahead of the main event.

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Post by aiannone Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:57 am

Moderate sleet mixed with some flakes here on the north shore. Damn..
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Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 03, 2021 11:08 am

Snow started about an hour ago, have around 1/2 inch and light snow now.
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Post by brownie Sun Jan 03, 2021 11:08 am

Snow has stopped.  It’s not doing anything right now.  I got 1/2 inch on my deck.  I’ll take it!  Hoping for more later, but not optimistic with temps supposed to rise.

Still 32° though.

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