JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
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docstox12
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
sroc4 wrote:That pesky euro insists on snow down into MbY
The track of the H5 is very good for North Shore. I also believe that area could be very pleasantly surprised with this. The only reason we aren't more excited is the air mass quite honestly.
NYC may also get quite a surprise out of this.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
heehaw453 wrote:sroc4 wrote:That pesky euro insists on snow down into MbY
The track of the H5 is very good for North Shore. I also believe that area could be very pleasantly surprised with this. The only reason we aren't more excited is the air mass quite honestly.
NYC may also get quite a surprise out of this.
I was talking to Scott earlier how a few weeks ago when we had a coastal with marginal cold air we had flakes mixing in when winds went due north and sound temps were in the mid 50s. Now we have sound temps in the low 40s (around 42) and a bit better if an airmass to work with. Models have due north winds at the time of the heaviest Precip with the possible ccb band swinging through. That might be enough to thump. We will see.
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Fairly close range now and the NAM is completely unimpressed with this storm. Weak and sheared out mess with absolutely no dynamics for the eastern areas. It's very different than Euro at this time for the eastern areas particularly LI and SNE.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
heehaw453 wrote:Fairly close range now and the NAM is completely unimpressed with this storm. Weak and sheared out mess with absolutely no dynamics for the eastern areas. It's very different than Euro at this time for the eastern areas particularly LI and SNE.
Latest HRRR is the same story
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
According to that I may see 1-4 inches, is that right? I do not think it will be cold enough.
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Sticking with my call of 4-6 inches for I-84 and north. 2-4 inches just S-SW of there and 1-3 inches across NW NJ. NYC Metro including NE NJ and LI up to one inch.
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Up here it looks like temps are going to hover at 32 daytime. It will be interesting to see what comes down
Last edited by dkodgis on Sun Jan 03, 2021 8:15 am; edited 1 time in total
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
The Para GFS 06Z run is spot on with the setup so far. Let's see.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Snowing in New Hope, PA, 33, street coated, grass barely covered...
kalleg- Posts : 96
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Snowing now in Bloomfield, temp 34.
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Snowing!! 32°. Big flakes. Sticking to everything, even though it’s only been snowing for 5-10 minutes!
brownie- Posts : 354
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
35* and sleeting...you can hear the pinging. Winds out of the north at 12 mph Stay safe everyone!!
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Was coming down nicely and has now stopped. Big dendrites. Dropped about 3/4".
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Light sleet by me
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Light sleet and snow, no stickage.
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Icy mess but looking at radar it looks like it should end soon. Should we expect precip to fill in and start again later on
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Wow radar is pathetic, has one small strip of snow from south to north and thats it, not even width of NJ.
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
33* and snow, nice size flakes.
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Snowing nicely here. Sicking To everything
Vinnydula- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
The snow has arrived in northern Orange county. Light flurries at 10:30 am
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
phil155 wrote:Icy mess but looking at radar it looks like it should end soon. Should we expect precip to fill in and start again later on
jmanley32 wrote:Wow radar is pathetic, has one small strip of snow from south to north and thats it, not even width of NJ.
That was not the storm. It was enhanced precip ahead of the main event.
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Moderate sleet mixed with some flakes here on the north shore. Damn..
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Snow started about an hour ago, have around 1/2 inch and light snow now.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021
Snow has stopped. It’s not doing anything right now. I got 1/2 inch on my deck. I’ll take it! Hoping for more later, but not optimistic with temps supposed to rise.
Still 32° though.
Still 32° though.
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