JAN 3rd Storm: I-84 First Snow of 2021

Snow started about an hour ago, have around 1/2 inch and light snow now.

Snow has stopped.  It’s not doing anything right now.  I got 1/2 inch on my deck.  I’ll take it!  Hoping for more later, but not optimistic with temps supposed to rise.

Still 32° though.

About 1/2 OTG here. Nice little pre before the storm tonight. Woke up to beautiful flakes falling!

Managed to sleep in, thinking no snow until the afternoon. Woke up with just over an inch on the ground here in Hopatcong, sticking to all surfaces.

Nice little appetizer! Hoping for a few more inches later during the football games.

HRRR says snow this afternoon and tonight, ticked colder.

amugs wrote:HRRR says snow this afternoon and tonight, ticked colder.

That loop is a sick joke for us LI’ers. I vote to take it down

aiannone wrote:

amugs wrote:HRRR says snow this afternoon and tonight, ticked colder.

That loop is a sick joke for us LI’ers. I vote to take it down

very very fine line for my and the city too, the snow line literally wanes through southern westchester to the bronx, yeah LI gets skunked.

Frank_Wx wrote:

phil155 wrote:Icy mess but looking at radar it looks like it should end soon. Should we expect precip to fill in and start again later on

jmanley32 wrote:Wow radar is pathetic, has one small strip of snow from south to north and thats it, not even width of NJ.

That was not the storm. It was enhanced precip ahead of the main event.

Yeah I see that now, hehe havent been following closely my bad.

Never been high on this event, and I won’t beat a dead horse after this post, but beware of low-level divergence beneath and south of your mid-level low tracks. Best precipitation/snow should be north/west of this area, which looks to be along and even slight north of the NY/Pa border in our forecast area. Even there, I think only 2-3” will max out most places based on decaying lift/poor snow growth. We will certainly see, but it’s certainly a fun battle between friends oo also, sun has been in and out down here for the last two hours lol pretty tranquil “winter” day with temps nearing 50 haha

rb924119 wrote:Never been high on this event, and I won’t beat a dead horse after this post, but beware of low-level divergence beneath and south of your mid-level low tracks. Best precipitation/snow should be north/west of this area, which looks to be along and even slight north of the NY/Pa border in our forecast area. Even there, I think only 2-3” will max out most places based on decaying lift/poor snow growth. We will certainly see, but it’s certainly a fun battle between friends oo also, sun has been in and out down here for the last two hours lol pretty tranquil “winter” day with temps nearing 50 haha

wow, that warm? We have been in solid cloud cover here in Bergen County with temp at 34* and holding. Got a nice dusting earlier.

Dunnzoo wrote:

rb924119 wrote:Never been high on this event, and I won’t beat a dead horse after this post, but beware of low-level divergence beneath and south of your mid-level low tracks. Best precipitation/snow should be north/west of this area, which looks to be along and even slight north of the NY/Pa border in our forecast area. Even there, I think only 2-3” will max out most places based on decaying lift/poor snow growth. We will certainly see, but it’s certainly a fun battle between friends oo also, sun has been in and out down here for the last two hours lol pretty tranquil “winter” day with temps nearing 50 haha

wow, that warm? We have been in solid cloud cover here in Bergen County with temp at 34* and holding. Got a nice dusting earlier.

Regrettably haha KACY currently 48°. On an east-northeast wind coming off water that’s still near 50°, it makes sense lol

30 degrees and snowing lightly with a coating at 2:50 pm. Must be because the Giants are winning and the Jets are tied.

Rb you live on a sand bar in a bathtub of warmth my man. LOL You do not have to be high on this event now one really was - we just went from a week out of warmth to a wintry event brother - beats the last 2 winters kid. 2-3 more inches that what we had. Glass half filled!
925 Cold

850 COld

34 and light drizzle in Bloomfield.

32 with steady light snow, coating.

35.1* and light drizzle, so close for me and mugsy....

amugs wrote:Rb you live on a sand bar in a bathtub of warmth my man. LOL You do not have to be high on this event now one really was - we just went from a week out of warmth to a wintry event brother - beats the last 2 winters kid. 2-3 more inches that what we had. Glass half filled!
925 Cold

850 COld

So true, mugsy.......I’m convinced if I moved to central Canada I’d still find a snow hole, though lmaooooo

All I’m saying is, I wouldn’t expect the 2-3” unless you’re around the latitude of the NY/PA border (or north of it), as I think that’s where the most overlap between snow growth, forcing, and favorable thermals will be. South of the there, I think generally lighter, spottier, mixed precip. That’s all.

Got back to Albany last night. Some light snow here at the moment.

rb924119 wrote:

amugs wrote:Rb you live on a sand bar in a bathtub of warmth my man. LOL You do not have to be high on this event now one really was - we just went from a week out of warmth to a wintry event brother - beats the last 2 winters kid. 2-3 more inches that what we had. Glass half filled!
925 Cold

850 COld

So true, mugsy.......I’m convinced if I moved to central Canada I’d still find a snow hole, though lmaooooo

All I’m saying is, I wouldn’t expect the 2-3” unless you’re around the latitude of the NY/PA border (or north of it), as I think that’s where the most overlap between snow growth, forcing, and favorable thermals will be. South of the there, I think generally lighter, spottier, mixed precip. That’s all.

Got ya brother!!! R?S Line going to be somewhere around I 78. I'll take 2-3" and run to teh bank my man!

rb924119 wrote:

amugs wrote:Rb you live on a sand bar in a bathtub of warmth my man. LOL You do not have to be high on this event now one really was - we just went from a week out of warmth to a wintry event brother - beats the last 2 winters kid. 2-3 more inches that what we had. Glass half filled!
925 Cold

850 COld

So true, mugsy.......I’m convinced if I moved to central Canada I’d still find a snow hole, though lmaooooo

All I’m saying is, I wouldn’t expect the 2-3” unless you’re around the latitude of the NY/PA border (or north of it), as I think that’s where the most overlap between snow growth, forcing, and favorable thermals will be. South of the there, I think generally lighter, spottier, mixed precip. That’s all.

I tend to agree north of Scranton to Binghamton may approach 5" with this. I'd say I84 and NW NJ probably 2 or 3.

Heard thunder a few minutes ago.

Grselig wrote:Heard thunder a few minutes ago.

Oof, this hurts haha what was the precip type when it happened??

rb924119 wrote:

Grselig wrote:Heard thunder a few minutes ago.

Oof, this hurts haha what was the precip type when it happened??

freezing drizzle!

Oh wow, that’s the first I’ve ever heard of that in this area! Of course, I’ve still yet to experience thunder with ANY form of frozen precipitation :’( but I’m glad you got to enjoy it!! Haha

rb924119 wrote:Oh wow, that’s the first I’ve ever heard of that in this area! Of course, I’ve still yet to experience thunder with ANY form of frozen precipitation :’( but I’m glad you got to enjoy it!! Haha

Yes. It was weird. Took the dog out and heard a boom. Sounded like thunder but did not know for sure and was concerned about something serious. Then a lightning warning popped up on the phone. It was very cool

Rb, welcome to the Shore! From the Hook to the Cape, this is an awesome and unique micro climate.The moderating effect of the ocean current makes for less extreme and more really comfortable surface temps all year long and also the potential for extreme weather events I think is still quite potent here, perhaps even more so than the other surrounding areas.

As a total snow weenie, it’s a tough pill to swallow that the trade off is a 95% to 5% ratio in favor of the moderation. For 3 winters in a row, it’s been cutter-cutter-cutter, hugger! All it takes is one, but today wasn’t it. And truthfully, today the moderation actually helped. The high 40s and rain felt a lot better than high 30s and rain would have.

Hoping some of you got or get a good dumping today, and then...I’m just gonna pray that rb gonna tell us all how the set up for the 9th looks GREAT!!!

Here at 6:05 pm, 31 degrees and light snow. The driveway and grass have a coating. Maybe there is a half inch. Maybe there will be an inch or so if it keeps snowing until 2 am. Whatever it will be, it is a pleasure to see some snow falling. Very pleasant, indeed.

Everyone, be safe.