Re: 01/31 Possible Winter Storm

by **dsix85** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:06 pm

How is Long Island looking ?

by **sroc4** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:07 pm

Nam is def going to come in a trade more N W

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:08 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The SREFs just went NUCLEAR

A widespread Godzilla. They captured the storm, meaning, it was a full phase and negatively tilted trough. The storm literally rots over our area until it snows itself out.

wowwee I don't think anyone can complain there!$ 00z go be interesting if shows any similar

JMan???? Pretty sure the Shore folk from GSP EXIT 127 to Exit 53 who just went from >12 to <6 got plenty to complain about from that.

But, that is the outcome I'm expecting, actually. 100%.

I didn't compare too well I apologize. It still looks like the sweet spot is just spread put but they still get 12+. Where are you talk bout?

by **dkodgis** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:13 pm

I was interested in/asking about this storm coming north. Looks like I got my wish. I am thinking the wind will be significant enough and there will be enough snow to cause among other things, power issues here and there

by mwilli Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:17 pm

is hempstead gonna get slammed?

by **Irish** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:21 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The SREFs just went NUCLEAR

A widespread Godzilla. They captured the storm, meaning, it was a full phase and negatively tilted trough. The storm literally rots over our area until it snows itself out.

If the storm is so killer that it goes nuclear, then why are the highest snow amounts there only just over a foot?

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:21 pm

dkodgis wrote:I was interested in/asking about this storm coming north. Looks like I got my wish. I am thinking the wind will be significant enough and there will be enough snow to cause among other things, power issues here and there

didnt cause too much issue today and was really fierce, highest gust recorded was 57mph in LI but many recordings of 50+, but there will possibly be you know what warnings, possibly. Dec they said was likely and did not happen, its just symantecs anyways.

by **Irish** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:24 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
SENJsnowman wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The SREFs just went NUCLEAR

A widespread Godzilla. They captured the storm, meaning, it was a full phase and negatively tilted trough. The storm literally rots over our area until it snows itself out.

wowwee I don't think anyone can complain there!$ 00z go be interesting if shows any similar

JMan???? Pretty sure the Shore folk from GSP EXIT 127 to Exit 53 who just went from >12 to <6 got plenty to complain about from that.

But, that is the outcome I'm expecting, actually. 100%.
I didn't compare too well I apologize. It still looks like the sweet spot is just spread put but they still get 12+. Where are you talk bout?

On that map the costal section gets 4-5 in compared to the 12+ earlier shown.

by **crippo84** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:25 pm

Irish wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The SREFs just went NUCLEAR

A widespread Godzilla. They captured the storm, meaning, it was a full phase and negatively tilted trough. The storm literally rots over our area until it snows itself out.

If the storm is so killer that it goes nuclear, then why are the highest snow amounts there only just over a foot?

You're a tough crowd. When's the last time you saw over a foot of snow in your location?

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:28 pm

I’m not gonna lie, I’m totally fangirling on the 00z NAM right now lol

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:29 pm

Absolutely TREMENDOUS changes aloft. WOW.

by **heehaw453** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:33 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The SREFs just went NUCLEAR

A widespread Godzilla. They captured the storm, meaning, it was a full phase and negatively tilted trough. The storm literally rots over our area until it snows itself out.

A little early for sref's, but holy crap.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:36 pm

rb924119 wrote:I’m not gonna lie, I’m totally fangirling on the 00z NAM right now lol

Don’t think you’ll be going to your parents for this one

bananadude

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:36 pm

NAM

by **heehaw453** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:37 pm

rb924119 wrote:Absolutely TREMENDOUS changes aloft. WOW.

The depth of the trough goes to the Bahamas.

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:39 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I’m not gonna lie, I’m totally fangirling on the 00z NAM right now lol

Don’t think you’ll be going to your parents for this one

I do. This run actually gave me huge confidence boost in my forecast. LOVED what I saw at H5.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:42 pm

It’s still snowing at this hour

Unbelievable run

01/31 Possible Winter Storm - Page 20 4b6e5710

by **heehaw453** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:43 pm

I just looked. Wow that is a lot of consolidate energy at the mid levels.

01/31 Possible Winter Storm - Page 20 Nam11

by **Irish** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:43 pm

crippo84 wrote:
Irish wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The SREFs just went NUCLEAR

A widespread Godzilla. They captured the storm, meaning, it was a full phase and negatively tilted trough. The storm literally rots over our area until it snows itself out.

If the storm is so killer that it goes nuclear, then why are the highest snow amounts there only just over a foot?

You're a tough crowd. When's the last time you saw over a foot of snow in your location?

I'm thrilled with a foot! However when I saw nuclear, I was expecting 2 feet, especially with some of the recent maps that were posted.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:44 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:It’s still snowing at this hour

Unbelievable run

who said NAm often follows in sref steps? Spot on but madonne NAM!! RB I thought your forecast was one we would not like, this is very liked by many i am sure lol

by **dsix85** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:45 pm

Frank- is this a 36 hour duration event ?

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:47 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:It’s still snowing at this hour

Unbelievable run

who said NAm often follows in sref steps? Spot on but madonne NAM!! RB I thought your forecast was one we would not like, this is very liked by many i am sure lol

That would be yours truly Wink

and I need another 75 miles north to verify my snow axis. This run just came 50 miles north. One more like what we just saw would make a lot of people very unhappy lol

by **Irish** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:49 pm

rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:It’s still snowing at this hour

Unbelievable run

who said NAm often follows in sref steps? Spot on but madonne NAM!! RB I thought your forecast was one we would not like, this is very liked by many i am sure lol

That would be yours truly and I need another 75 miles north to verify my snow axis. This run just came 50 miles north. One more like what we just saw would make a lot of people very unhappy lol

I want nothing to do with another shift north, this visual/ run is perfect! Thank you.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:51 pm

rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:It’s still snowing at this hour

Unbelievable run

who said NAm often follows in sref steps? Spot on but madonne NAM!! RB I thought your forecast was one we would not like, this is very liked by many i am sure lol

That would be yours truly and I need another 75 miles north to verify my snow axis. This run just came 50 miles north. One more like what we just saw would make a lot of people very unhappy lol

I think even 75 miles I would still be in the goods but lets hope this is where it stops, who cares if you verify, you got a lot right, if you go to ofar north you dont see snow either.

by **sroc4** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:55 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I’m not gonna lie, I’m totally fangirling on the 00z NAM right now lol

Don’t think you’ll be going to your parents for this one

I do. This run actually gave me huge confidence boost in my forecast. LOVED what I saw at H5.

Let’s keep in mind the different models forecast bias’ here and not get crazy. Lol. We all know the NAM likes to be the most amped soln.

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:55 pm

kaboom!

by **SENJsnowman** Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:56 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:It’s still snowing at this hour

Unbelievable run

who said NAm often follows in sref steps? Spot on but madonne NAM!! RB I thought your forecast was one we would not like, this is very liked by many i am sure lol

So, this one I would be ok with. Not 1-2 feet at extreme coastal Ocean County, but it looks like 6-8" or even 7-9" imby. That's a real snow storm by my standards. But still, hoping for twice that!!

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