Re: 01/31 Possible Winter Storm

by **dsix85** Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:48 am

sroc4 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:Looks like less mixing issues along the coast with this run, correct?

With this run yes def less smixing issues, but I still think some mixing gets into the eastern 1/2-2/3rds of LI for a period. There was def a shift SE with 12z on the NAM elative to 6z in all levels but the overall evolution was weird soIm not sure how much I want to buy into it just yet. NAM is still being a bit erratic with some pretty noticeable shifts from run to run with some of the upper level features. Red flag to the idea that it is locked in just yet. Lets see what the rest of the 12z shows.

Thanks Sroc- Wading River/Manorville always a battle line with these storms. We tend to do quite well when it's a battle line but time will tell

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:50 am

NAM shows precip falling from 9pm Sunday until 9pm Tuesday

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:53 am

3k NAM

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by **dsix85** Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:54 am

I would be shocked if that actually verifies, the 9pm Sunday-9pm Tues timeframe. My gut tells me more like Late Sunday night through mid morning Tuesday

by **TheAresian** Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:58 am

The worst thing about storms like this is the waiting between model runs.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:03 am

Wide view for my fellow weenies.
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by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:05 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

wow and the fact that it lists yonkers I have not ever seen on another map. 14.8! Signed

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:05 am

Winds for WINDJMAN

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by **TheAresian** Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:06 am

Thanks, mugs. I let my WxBell sub run out because I didn't think there'd be any more storms to track. I'd be happy with 8-10".

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:07 am

Frank_Wx wrote:3k NAM

ummm it's still snowing at HR 60 a lot those totals extrapolated out will be nuts.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:16 am

National blend of models QPF

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