NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

+76
sabamfa
AlphaOrionis42
essexcountypete
kcarnegie275
Artechmetals
richb521
Dunnzoo
crippo84
SNOW MAN
jbnyy224
dfig529
elkiehound
SkiSeadooJoe
phil155
nutleyblizzard
kalleg
Radz
docstox12
snowlover78
sroc4
Sparky Sparticles
Taffy
dkodgis
jaydoy
2004blackwrx
marin1804
hyde345
dsix85
stAtic9
gigs68
Zhukov1945
Scullybutcher
Mike1984
oldtimer
rb924119
1190ftalt
AMD95
aiannone
snowday111
Irish
Snownyc
Math23x7
mmanisca
adamfitz1969
algae888
Fededle22
mwilli
Gator99
brownie
Vinnydula
lglickman1
SENJsnowman
emokid51783
bloc1357
lznachu
CnWestMilford76
WeatherBob
jtswife
amugs
Angela0621
DAYBLAZER
heehaw453
weatherwatchermom
SoulSingMG
Joe Snow
GreyBeard
Grselig
colosa4
CPcantmeasuresnow
Rooster89
larryrock72
frank 638
billg315
jmanley32
CDF24
Frank_Wx
80 posters

Page 3 of 29 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 16 ... 29  Next

Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:15 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 EtFhxv5W8AMnE3I?format=png&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12383
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:15 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
less than equal too or greater than lol well that covers him completely. And 1 foot? I think it's go be the greater than.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18381
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by lznachu Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:18 pm

@colosa4 wrote:Congrats on the 1000 members. I also want to thank everyone for the wonderful analysis that is always present on this board. I've been lurking since the 7 online days and always found the posts here to be very educational.


Yes same here, was a lurker on 7online and came over here. One of my fav things to do when a major snowstorm is approaching is following the excellent analysis here. Thanks for all your input! Congrats on the 1000 members! Thumbs up

lznachu

Posts : 1
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-01-21

Blondie likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:18 pm

@Rooster89 wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@Rooster89 wrote:Yeah I’ll take that firmly planted in the 20-25+ zone. My almost 5 year old and my 3 year old have not seen a real snow yet and this is looking like it.

Hey where are you, I think we are close.
hey neighbor

Middletown.
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 3016
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 57
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:18 pm

@amugs wrote:February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 EtFhxv5W8AMnE3I?format=png&name=medium
wow area wide 18 to 24. Nothing else to say. Oh and the winds wow.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18381
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:21 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 940658682_sn10_acc.us_ne(6).png.f2a28bd531c15fddc2c78d2201a049be

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20054
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:21 pm

Wonder when nws pulls trigger for blizzard warnings. Oh and the grocery store. Totally insane. Finally home. Was just our normal shop just a bad day to pick. Got less perishables in case lose power.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18381
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by bloc1357 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:22 pm

Congrats on the 1000 members! It is great being here with all of you, been around since the old ABC 7 board here!

bloc1357

Posts : 311
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-03-05
Age : 44
Location : West Babylon, NY - 11704

Blondie likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by frank 638 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:24 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Wonder when nws pulls trigger for blizzard warnings. Oh and the grocery store. Totally insane. Finally home. Was just our normal shop just a bad day to pick. Got less perishables in case lose power.
forget it about it I was at shoprite in new Rochelle Just to get to the self checkout lane I spent almost 40 minutes on line Then I want to Conti’s bakery in Morris Park Another long line

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2361
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 38
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by WeatherBob Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:25 pm

That’s the total at 42 hrs, NAM continues the snow until tues night!
WeatherBob
WeatherBob
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 601
Reputation : 82
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Caldwell, NJ - NW Essex County - Altitude 480 ft

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:25 pm

NAM does not look right to me with the precip distribution across SE PA/SNJ. Really underdone compared to other models.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20054
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:30 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:NAM does not look right to me with the precip distribution across SE PA/SNJ. Really underdone compared to other models.

I think it is underdone in the south and overdone in the north

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Image-thumb-png-b8d8d9d2d9e2a6d2a10fe55388980a8b


Last edited by Frank_Wx on Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:30 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20054
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:30 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:NAM does not look right to me with the precip distribution across SE PA/SNJ. Really underdone compared to other models.

Agree 100%.  With this track and explosive development of the mid-levels Mason-Dixon Line on north should be in game for banding.  NAM is chopping that way too far north IMO of course.  I think it'll be north of Baltimore but not too far north of there gets in the banding based on the track and intensification.

It also chopped the westward progression of the banding before it finally decided that west was in the game.

heehaw453

Posts : 1599
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:32 pm

UMM HOUSTON WE HAVE A REBOOT!!

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_41

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12383
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:33 pm

WTH!!! WEDNESDAY MORNING 4AM STILL SNOWING!!

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_44

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12383
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:35 pm

There's still dry air trying to mix out over our area. Once the dry air is gone, you should see more of a steady snowfall. Based on your observations, already seems like PA and WNJ is out of the dry air cycle.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20054
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by WeatherBob Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:36 pm

It might have it right since the mid level system centers are pretty close to S NJ and S PA
WeatherBob
WeatherBob
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 601
Reputation : 82
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Caldwell, NJ - NW Essex County - Altitude 480 ft

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:38 pm

@amugs wrote:WTH!!! WEDNESDAY MORNING 4AM STILL SNOWING!!

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_44
A few other model runs hinted at this, craziness. Will it verify? This is go be one heck of a observation thread lol
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18381
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:38 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Captur12

Already seeing frontogenesis across central jersey

told ya told ya

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20054
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:39 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Namconus_asnow_neus_21

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12383
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:40 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Captur12

Already seeing frontogenesis across central jersey

told ya told ya

Great friggin sign - not progged on models yesterday until later tonight early AM.

ALL that latent heat from teh storm out in teh midwest working here

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12383
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:42 pm

3km name doesnt go past 60 hrs and its still snowing thats redonkulus even NYC area sees over 20 inches on this run. Add another inch or so and I would say its done.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 3km_na11

jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18381
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:42 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 8963355A-C167-400A-8340-F77322466B75.png.7dda7b9e79233a0ff08e50ae4a347a3f

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12383
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:45 pm

@amugs wrote:February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 8963355A-C167-400A-8340-F77322466B75.png.7dda7b9e79233a0ff08e50ae4a347a3f
snikeys!! They just keep raising and raising it, local mets better get on this, oh and Yonkers still has not treated any roads!! Other Frank did the Bronx treat the roads or New Rochelle? Yonkers hills and that will be a disaster lots of stranded people if they dare go out.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18381
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by bloc1357 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:48 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 14509210

bloc1357

Posts : 311
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-03-05
Age : 44
Location : West Babylon, NY - 11704

amugs, CPcantmeasuresnow, RJB8525 and Grselig like this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 3 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 3 of 29 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 16 ... 29  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum