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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:59 pm

@bloc1357 wrote:February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 14509210
this just keps getting better and better!! Where are the locals with their updated forecasts, now is the time to freak people out lol (on a serious note to prepare people but it is far to late now).
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Post by bloc1357 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:03 pm

Not very often that the ENTIRE board on here gets in on the goods....Looks like this one is area wide and everyone cashes in!! Let it snow!!!!!

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:06 pm

@bloc1357 wrote:Not very often that the ENTIRE board on here gets in on the goods....Looks like this one is area wide and everyone cashes in!!  Let it snow!!!!!
right?!! Its rather surreal and I almost do not believe it, but I think the hammer comes down this time, everything is lining up for a prolific snowstorm and blizzard for the coast and even pretty far inland by looking at the wind maps, surprised NWS hasn't upgraded or at least upped totals on the WSW, i think they have a update at 6pm, prolly waiting for that.
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Post by emokid51783 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:07 pm

Accuweather still holding fast with jersey city in the 10-15 slot.

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Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:11 pm

So pre-treated roads only works so long. The roads, parking area around my complex was treated and when the snow started at Noon was just wet. It is now officially snow covered. This first wave of snow will make effective treating of the roads tougher as the heavier stuff kicks in tomorrow.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:14 pm

@billg315 wrote:So pre-treated roads only works so long. The roads, parking area around my complex was treated and when the snow started at Noon was just wet. It is now officially snow covered. This first wave of snow will make effective treating of the roads tougher as the heavier stuff kicks in tomorrow.
i get that but they did NOTHING here.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:15 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 8329c610
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 519df410

18z Icon and RGEM

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:21 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 8329c610
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 519df410

18z Icon and RGEM
Wow, it just gets better and better rgem 24-28 for my area and many others!! This will be so interesting to see if any of these insane totals verify, is a lot going to happen tonight or should I get my rest and get up early to track?
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:22 pm

RGEM SAYS NESIS 5 FOR THE PHI TI NYC CORRIDORFebruary 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 Rgem-all-nystate-total_snow_kuchera-2281600.png.68f25691be9dced6cbbb42f28a24d57f

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by SENJsnowman Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:22 pm

That band brought Bayville NJ our first measurable inch of snow since December 2019. Looks another one might be rolling in. All the kids on the block been playing for 2 hours already. Probably at 1.5" so far.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:24 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 8329c610
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 519df410

18z Icon and RGEM

This makes more sense synoptically to me. Banding goes down to Mason Dixon Line. Amounts will be what they will be, but NAM just isn't getting it IMO.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:26 pm

@SENJsnowman wrote:That band brought Bayville NJ our first measurable inch of snow since December 2019. Looks another one might be rolling in. All the kids on the block been playing for 2 hours already. Probably at 1.5" so far.

Are you kidding me SENJ that there has been no measurable snowfall down there in 14 months?  That has to be a record of some kind then.  Well congrats and hopefully many more inches of the white gold come your way!

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:28 pm

@amugs wrote:RGEM SAYS NESIS 5 FOR THE PHI TI NYC CORRIDORFebruary 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 Rgem-all-nystate-total_snow_kuchera-2281600.png.68f25691be9dced6cbbb42f28a24d57f
Thats crapola ration but ya still even without still has most of us 20-25 inches, nuts mugs
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Post by lglickman1 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:32 pm

The radar show snow over the whole tri-state area but at least here in New Rochelle nothing is reaching the ground, any idea when the virga will end and snow will hit the ground?

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:34 pm

Upton is all in.  Unreal.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 Upton12

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Post by Vinnydula Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:34 pm

Flakes are up to the north Bronx should be seeing something here in Westchester soon
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:36 pm

21/19 moderate to heavy snow occurring.

2 otg.

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Post by frank 638 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:37 pm

@Vinnydula wrote:Flakes are up to the north Bronx should be seeing something here in Westchester soon
nothing yet cloudy still waiting come on snow

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:40 pm

@frank 638 wrote:
@Vinnydula wrote:Flakes are up to the north Bronx should be seeing something here in Westchester soon
nothing yet cloudy still waiting come on snow
its up there, just not hit ground, i can smell it, if that makes any sense.
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:40 pm

This is from Accu-Weather. I agree this area gets the very worst of the storm.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 4 Worsto10

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:40 pm

Just measured.INCH(measured again)..and we just got the sad call..School will be VIRTUAL tom..listen I have a teenager..but wow..all the little kids with their rituals of pj's inside out waiting for that snow day..just sad..


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:44 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:41 pm

I have to say major props to algae and heehaw. Last weekend when many of us, ahem (me included), were focused on the system last Monday that fizzled and the one Thursday that never was, algae kept saying he was more interested in the 1/31-2/1 system. And heehaw kept asking if anyone else was as intrigued by the impressive setup for this system as he was. Those guys sniffed this out for what it seems to be waaaay in advance. I know others had their eye on this too (like mugs, Frank and sroc) but I just remember algae and heehaw harping on this event.
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:46 pm

@billg315 wrote:I have to say major props to algae and heehaw. Last weekend when many of us, ahem (me included), were focused on the system last Monday that fizzled and the one Thursday that never was, algae kept saying he was more interested in the 1/31-2/1 system. And heehaw kept asking if anyone else was as intrigued by the impressive setup for this system as he was. Those guys sniffed this out for what it seems to be waaaay in advance. I know others had their eye on this too (like mugs, Frank and sroc) but I just remember algae and heehaw harping on this event.

Thanks Bill. What I think I've been steadfast about is we don't have a bad pattern. Actually a good one that just needed a little help to kick start something. The -AO/-NAO gives us a very good chance at large scale events so long as there is cooperation from the Pacific. We also just needed a little more cross polar flow to bleed the cold air in from the TPV lobe that dropped into NE this weekend. What's frustrating as hell as how long it can take for these things to render something. Even in the best pattern we may not cash in if things don't line up.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:49 pm

No snow here yet, I imagine in next few hrs or less we will see it break out. virga for some reason can be pesky here.
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Post by lglickman1 Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:50 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Just measured.INCH(measured again)..and we just got the sad call..School will be VIRTUAL tom..listen I have a teenager..but wow..all the little kids with their rituals of pj's inside out waiting for that snow day..just sad..

Yeah, should be a right of passage to have a snow day. My kids are off too, snow day tomorrow with no zoom, but if Tuesday Tuesday weather is still bad they will be in zoom, which is fair

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