Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
Their 4-6" was blown out of he water in NNJ yesterday. Chill out and 2-4 for areas around NYC and 3-6" 25/30 miles away plus. Upton is as tight as a machine bolt tolerance on a 747 jet.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
@amugs wrote:Their 4-6" was blown out of he water in NNJ yesterday. Chill out and 2-4 for areas around NYC and 3-6" 25/30 miles away plus. Upton is as tight as a machine bolt tolerance on a 747 jet.
HAHAH. What concerns me is that last week's event that ushered in a South wind spiked the temp from 28 to 41 in a matter of 2 hours so I understand their concern and can see how that map even verifies too cold/snowy south of I-84 and into NYC/LI
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
Snow map for tomorrow. Looking at a 4am start and 3pm finish


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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
Is freezing rain a possibility south of 78?
bobjohnsonforthehall- Posts : 279
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
21.8* with a dew point of 10. Going to be really hard to get this cold air out of here given the snowpack in place and cold temps. Going to need a howling wind off the ocean. I’m afraid upton is not recognizing this and will be too low along the coast.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
Hope so!@aiannone wrote:21.8* with a dew point of 10. Going to be really hard to get this cold air out of here given the snowpack in place and cold temps. Going to need a howling wind off the ocean. I’m afraid upton is not recognizing this and will be too low along the coast.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
@aiannone wrote:21.8* with a dew point of 10. Going to be really hard to get this cold air out of here given the snowpack in place and cold temps. Going to need a howling wind off the ocean. I’m afraid Upton is not recognizing this and will be too low along the coast.
This DEEEEEEPPP Snow pack is not going to allow much of this warm air to win out, sorry.
Good map Frank.
R/S Line - by a Pro Met

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
GEFS coming N for Friday


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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
@amugs wrote:@aiannone wrote:21.8* with a dew point of 10. Going to be really hard to get this cold air out of here given the snowpack in place and cold temps. Going to need a howling wind off the ocean. I’m afraid Upton is not recognizing this and will be too low along the coast.
This DEEEEEEPPP Snow pack is not going to allow much of this warm air to win out, sorry.
Good map Frank.
R/S Line - by a Pro Met
Hmm interesting.
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
@aiannone wrote:@amugs wrote:@aiannone wrote:21.8* with a dew point of 10. Going to be really hard to get this cold air out of here given the snowpack in place and cold temps. Going to need a howling wind off the ocean. I’m afraid Upton is not recognizing this and will be too low along the coast.
This DEEEEEEPPP Snow pack is not going to allow much of this warm air to win out, sorry.
Good map Frank.
R/S Line - by a Pro Met
Hmm interesting.
Yellow line. I’ve seen this one before.

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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
not a big storm but nice to be in the potential bulls eye
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
17* right now with a dew point of 8*. Hard time believing I change to rain tomorrow. Freezing rain, with a warm nose above? Maybe. But plain rain? I’m skeptical.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
22 degrees here. I'm hoping whatever I see is only snow or nothing. Don't want rain to harden it all up. Or worse slush bomb.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
22 degrees here too. Never got above 25 today, but boy was the sun strong melting snow.
Last edited by 2004blackwrx on Mon Feb 08, 2021 10:19 pm; edited 2 times in total
2004blackwrx- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
Seems as though models are coming to a consensus that the 10–11th event will be passing south of NYC and will be a SNJ and mid Atlantic event.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
well that stinks, well lets hope for the 14th then. That's still far enough off that there's time for change.@aiannone wrote:Seems as though models are coming to a consensus that the 10–11th event will be passing south of NYC and will be a SNJ and mid Atlantic event.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
@aiannone wrote:Seems as though models are coming to a consensus that the 10–11th event will be passing south of NYC and will be a SNJ and mid Atlantic event.
The writings been on the wall for that one since yesterday, it sinks further south every run. Plenty more after it and hopefully tomorrow delivers for the people of the North and West.
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
lets hope thats not the new trend
2004blackwrx- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
@aiannone wrote:Seems as though models are coming to a consensus that the 10–11th event will be passing south of NYC and will be a SNJ and mid Atlantic event.
It is ticking North, 0Z NAM jumped up by 75 ~100miles?Like I said let's get tomorrow done before we talk Thursday/ Friday. Heights are rising on NAM and other models. Give it a few more runs to see if this is a trend.
NAM comes further south as did 3K, RGEM, 18ZGFS, HDRPS as well to about Driscoll Bridge
Last edited by amugs on Mon Feb 08, 2021 10:17 pm; edited 1 time in total
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
The trend this winter has been for heights to rise before the storm. Dont be surprised if by tomorrow night we see this trend another couple of jumps N. Time will tell but WE TRACK!!
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
wow so the latest run went from delmarva to jersey
2004blackwrx- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th
My guess is Thursday’s wave stays mostly south. I’m thinking Trenton and points south. Then the Friday wave will be more north bringing snow as north as NYC. So many fluctuations at the moment
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