Re: JAN 29th 2022 “Heart Ache” Nor’easter Part II

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:16 am

SREF is giving KNYC a 60-70% chance of more than a foot.

by **frank 638** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:16 am

Wow what a great way to wake up please tell me this is for real

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:17 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Well I'm obviously dreaming but when I wake up I can't wait to tell everyone about the dream I had. NYC overtakes Boston on this run and I get over 20 inches in the HV when 18 hours ago I was bracing for zero.

It is the Crapola s of course way overdone and no other models support these kind of totals yet so 12Z's will be interesting. And nerve wracking. God I hope I can get back to sleep, unless as stated earlier I am still asleep.

Trust the process, CP Smile

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:18 am

Blizzard warnings issued NJ coast

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:19 am

Frank_Wx wrote:PS no one trust crapola you gotta use them as a tool not take them verbatim

It's the middle of the night one can only dream...

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:32 am

Sref 3Z, more realistic than the NAM and yet still good.

JAN 29th 2022 “Heart Ache” Nor’easter Part II - Page 9 Sref_310

by **SENJsnowman** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:34 am

What? Huh? Death band? 3-4 feet? Going back to sleep…

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:37 am

Can't wait to see Frank's updated snowmap

by **SENJsnowman** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:38 am

Blizzard Warning. 8-12” tonight, 5-8” tomorrow. Is this really true? One can dream…back to sleep.

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:38 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Sref 3Z, more realistic than the NAM and yet still good.

This is only 10:1, too, mind you.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:45 am

rb924119 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Sref 3Z, more realistic than the NAM and yet still good.

This is only 10:1, too, mind you.

.

I know that was my point. Let’s look on a lower scale but still see what we’re looking at. Just to lower expectations some. I mean at this rate people are going to be bummed if they ONLY get 20 inches.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:48 am

NWS has a winter weather advisory for 3-5 inches for Orange County, the 6Z NAM K uchera has me for 22 inches. I’m sure the answer lies somewhere in between that’s my only point. Expect little, give much, as I always say.

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:49 am

We are in for one hell of a storm.

JAN 29th 2022 “Heart Ache” Nor’easter Part II - Page 9 Nam-2110

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:49 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

OH WTH TI was hoiping to come back to good news only 30+ in yonkers! LOL JK...woof

by **SENJsnowman** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:49 am

Before I go back to sleep, I’d like to say a little prayer:

Go straight to hell January 2015 and don’t ever show your face around here ever again. I pray to the Weather Gods to keep us safe from, and clear of, such a diabolical, and dastardly, curse! Amen. .

by **frank 638** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:52 am

SENJsnowman wrote:Before I go back to sleep, I’d like to say a little prayer:

Go straight to hell January 2015 and don’t ever show your face around here ever again. I pray to the Weather Gods to keep us safe from, and clear of, such a diabolical, and dastardly, curse! Amen. .

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:52 am

NJ coast is going to get nuked I can't wait

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:53 am

SoulSingMG wrote:We are in for one hell of a storm.

My lord, honestly if this verified even close I will sadly have to take back my not many power issues for the coastal areas and just inland, 70mph!! NWS still has me 6-9 and lowered winds to 45mph....I bet tney didnt see sref or NAM yet.

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:54 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:NJ coast is going to get nuked I can't wait

We keep adjusting, we’ll rain told ya

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:57 am

rb924119 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:NJ coast is going to get nuked I can't wait

We keep adjusting, we’ll rain

I'm not worried about that Very Happy

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 28, 2022 4:58 am

RB YOU THE MAN!! And AL and FRANK you all said last night the westward lean wasn't done, I know the K map is to be taken grain of salt not expecting almost 3 ft snow but even the 10:1 (which it will be more, likely at least 15:1) are amazing balls now as mugs would say. Working today my clients are go be telling me they are depressed and im go be saying uh hu a lot while i watch models AND I am working from home lol (in all seriousness no I take my job as a therapist very seriously, mental health is no joke). But I think I am NOW allowed to get excited. If I get over a foot I'll be happy, under, it is what it is, 3 ft almost, no words. And the area is def not prepared for that. I think blizzard warnings go up here later today all way to boston do you guys agree?

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 28, 2022 5:04 am

Weird the 3km NAM has less snow than the 12km, can someone explain that? By A lot too.

by Mathgod55 Fri Jan 28, 2022 5:07 am

Take time to enjoy this. It will be a once in a lifetime event!

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 28, 2022 5:07 am

rb924119 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:NJ coast is going to get nuked I can't wait

We keep adjusting, we’ll rain

LOL I think we are safe I posted yesterday the Euro from the morning of 26th and it looks nearly like 06z NAM : ) Check it out.

JAN 29th 2022 “Heart Ache” Nor’easter Part II - Page 9 Fkccjw11

by **mmanisca** Fri Jan 28, 2022 5:14 am

Actual snow ratios anyone? Seems like 15:1 is probably reasonable!

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 28, 2022 5:15 am

mmanisca wrote:Actual snow ratios anyone? Seems like 15:1 is probably reasonable!

oh ya at least, its gonna be bone cold, especially if those winds verify, i love to go out in big snowstorms but this one might be a bit difficult.

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 28, 2022 5:19 am

Thanks, Jman, but it ain’t happening…….yet lol I’m excited, but I also realize Mother Nature doesn’t care what our opinions and guesses are as to what she’s crafting for us, so I’m not celebrating yet hahaha

And, I don’t try to predict what other outlets will do. I just stick with the weather, Jman haha

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